Sacramento Kings vs. Golden State Warriors, 03/24/17 – Prediction
Written by: Joseph Phelan
Sacramento Kings (27-44 SU, 33-36-1 ATS) at Golden State Warriors (57-14 SU, 35-35-1)
When and Where: Friday March 24 at 10:30 p.m. ET at ORACLE Arena in Oakland, CA
Line: Golden State -17.5
The Kings have lost 11 of their last 13 games while the Warriors have won five straight games following a rare three-game losing streak. Sacramento wants this season to end as soon as possible, while the Warriors have begun to figure out how to be dominant without Kevin Durant.
Sacramento won’t make the playoffs this year, so the Kings are now experimenting with younger players. The Kings have played rookies Skal Labissiere and Georgios Papagiannis healthy minutes recently. Labissiere has played a lot since DeMarcus Cousins was traded while Papagiannis has been getting minutes of the last few games. The Kings have some veterans in Darren Collison and Tyreke Evans that might make things interesting in some games, but Sacramento’s main focus is developing young players.
Buddy Hield has been a pleasant surprise. He’s averaging 14.5 points while shooting 48 percent from three since the beginning of March. The Kings are a total different team without Cousins, and this will be the first time these teams have met since Cousins was traded. The Kings actually beat the Warriors in early February by three points, but the Warriors bested the Kings by 23 in Oakland shortly after the win.
The Warriors hope to claim first place in the West once the season ends. Kevin Durant is nearing a return, but the Warriors probably won’t need Durant during the first round of the playoffs. Golden State swept the Thunder in the season series with its win in Oklahoma City earlier this week. The Warriors have too much talent that if they play their best, the Kings will be no match for the best team in basketball, even without Durant.
After a narrow win against the 76ers, the Warriors have been destroying opponents. Winning by 17+ points in four straight wins. The Warriors rank first in points scored per game and first in assists per game. Golden State has played with the same confidence over the past two weeks that it showed during last year’s 73-win season. Over the past five games Klay Thompson has averaged 27 points while shooting 53.2 percent from three.
- Kings are 1-4-2 ATS in their last 7 Friday games.
- Kings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Kings are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.
- Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
- Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
The Kings are a much different team than just last month. They really try new things against the tough Golden State team. Down the stretch, Sacramento will play different line-ups, hoping to find the right players for next year. The end of March and early April is always a tricky time in the NBA with teams experimenting new things while playoff-ready teams sometimes rest players. The Kings aren’t really in a position to outward tank since their first round pick might be the 76ers, but they will go young as they have been.
Pick: Golden State -17.5
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