Free CS:GO Betting Picks 5/27 - SECTOR: MOSTBET Season 3 - Tricked vs. HellRaisers Preview & Prediction

Free CS:GO Betting Picks 5/27 - SECTOR: MOSTBET Season 3 - Tricked vs. HellRaisers Preview & Prediction

In the SECTOR: MOSTBET Season 3, we’re faced with a bit of a lopsided affair in a match between the modest underdog in team Tricked, squaring off with the HellRaisers, who enter Wednesday morning as the odds-on favorite while sharing a 1-1 win/loss record with Tricked in this tournament.

The SECTOR 3 tournament is separated into Group Play between four teams in each Group A and Group B totaling eight teams, with three teams (SKADE, Pompa, LDLC) already eliminated from Championship play having lost two games a piece already. Thus, the team defeated in this match will join the pool of eliminated and the other will fill out the remainder of the Championship bracket, joining Hard Legion in the Lower Bracket Round 1 Playoff.

Team Comparisons & Points Of Interest

With two of their five roster members carrying HLTV Ratings over 1.00 through the tournament and over the past three months, Tricked isn’t necessarily heralded for their form factor, and rank well outside the overall Top 100 teams per current standings (Rank #113). Tricked enters Wednesday’s decider match as a slightly enticing dog bet with plus-money on the line (+125 on Bovada).

Tricked has a 6-map losing streak on Train, along with a 29% win rate on map Inferno over the past three months, which is a heavy favorite selection for HellRaisers at an 80% win rate in that same time span. However, Tricked has a sheer volume advantage over the past three months, playing 36 maps to 21 of team HellRaisers (albeit more of a trivial bullet-point).

HellRaisers step into the occasion of do-or-die as -170 book favorites (per Bovada), and with a two-man advantage in regards to stat superiority, as there are four players cresting over the 1.00 Rating mark for them over the past 90 days.

HellRaisers also rank 82nd as a team overall, but both offer a seismic contrast in handicapping stats: while Tricked has not only played twice the number of matches and maps than HellRaisers in the past three months, Tricked also has a higher overall win percentage as a whole in that sample (38.5% over 13 matches and 32 maps).

At the same time, HellRaisers have played six matches, 16 maps with a 33.14% win percentage and 50% of their overall outcomes resulting in 1-2 losses in a Best of 3 format, whereas Tricked accounts for 30% of outcomes by 0-2 loss. This adds whopping intrigue to the spread bet, with Tricked a -245 on the +1.5 round total, and HellRaisers a staggered +175 to sweep the match.

For what it’s worth, the over/under on rounds total is favoring under 2.5 (-130), with a -105 to wager on the match forcing three rounds.

Pick: Tricked ML (+125 @ Bovada)

Accounting for Tricked on the -240 round spread is quite telling if you ask me, with bookmakers not wanting to risk the probability of them forcing three rounds, and you can see where it’s accounted for in a reduced +125 moneyline for Tricked. There’s always a story to be told when looking at every betting branch of a match (all the way down to props).

With that said, map selection/ban will be key but I feel Tricked has versatility in matches played across all maps, and with Dust2, Overpass, and Mirage as subtle strengths in their arsenal. Train is essentially a push for both teams, as both account for 30% and 29% win rates in the recent three months. If Inferno gets the likely ban from Tricked, HellRaisers may be pushed against the ropes.