Free CS:GO Betting Picks 6/2 - Hellcase Cup 8 - Team Secret vs. SKADE Preview & Prediction

The Hellcase Cup 8 presents two interesting matchups on Tuesday, with the earlier of the two pitted between favorite Team Secret (-160 @ Bovada) and SKADE (+115). And the inclusive detail of recent struggles among both clans in their previous five games makes for added attention to the moneyline separation and where it originates from.

Team Comparisons & Points of Interest

Team Secret having lost three of three of their past five matches (and two of their last three), but have the better head-to-head record in the past month after taking down SKADE in the Home Sweet Home Cup on May 8th in a best-of-one match, 16-9.

On the other hand there’s SKADE, whose turmoil seems to recently overshadow the aforementioned instance of Team Secret’s brief woes. SKADE has lost four of their last five matches and with 27.1% of their best-of-three matches coming with result of 0-2 losses.

Impact ratings on both starting fives are a tad sour, with only one player out of both teams carrying a rating over 1.00 throughout this tournament (dennyslaw, 1.05 IR). However, in regards to impact ratings over the past three months overall, anarkez and juanflatroo of Secret come in over 1.10 a piece. SKADE brings in a talented player via Rainwaker, with a 1.18 impact rating in the past 90 days, who has clearly been having his share of issues in this event (0.83 IR in Hellcase Cup 8).

Pick: Team Secret Spread/Handicap -1.5 Maps (+175 @ Bovada)

With evident floundering of recency coming into this matchup from both sides, one can’t help but steer toward the map advantage overall, which Secret has in the overall winrate for the past three months while posting a dominant winrate on Mirage (with similar times played). However, SKADE has played more maps by sheer volume and thrive at Inferno.

Secret has also served up recent victories to notable opponents, including a 2-1 match victory over Hard Legion. And if you wanted to get wild, Secret is favored on the map spread 1.5 at +175 payout, where conservative would be leaning with SKADE on the +1.5 (-245).

With a 2.5-map under favored slightly at -125, I’m thinking sweep is very much in play, and that Team Secret moneyline at -160 isn’t the most enticing considering everything just discussed.