Free Picks For Will Rogers Downs - 5/19/20

Published: 11:06pm, May 18, 2020 EDT | Updated: 4:22am, May 19, 2020 EDT

Written by Daniel Benjamin

Race 2- Claiming (Purse- $11,550)

This $7,500 claiming event is slated for one mile with 10 runners. #3 Lindante is the oldest of the competitors and has cashed in 53.1% (31of 58) of his life events, doing so in 15 of 23 races since the start of last year with six wins including three this season. The nine-year-old gelding has slid down a level in this one after finishing second in a $10,000 claiming event on May 4. David Cabrera once again gets the ride on the California-bred horse, who has posted an ESpeed of over 90 in three of his last four outings. #8 Explorer recorded his highest-rated ESpeed (95), since Jan. 15, in his last outing where he gained ground late to finish a neck behind Lindante. The seven-year-old Kentucky gelding has reached the podium in five of seven meetings. Ry Eikleberry will likely try to get #5 Fallstar out front in early going -- he has the shown the most speed in the field -- like the six-year-old gelding did in his last outing when he picked up a claiming victory at this level the last time out (May 6). I expect Fallstar to improve in his second outing at Will Rogers Downs like he has the last two races. #1 Uncail could also be a factor and will want to have a better showing than the last time when the five-year-old gelding failed to threaten at all in a starter allowance even back on April 27.

Picks: I like a show bet on the #5. I also like an exacta bet of #3, #8 if there is value there which is unlikely as both are big-time morning-line favorites. I also like a trifecta bet of #3 keyed with the #8, #5, #1.

Race 5 - Allowance ($26, 400)

This six-furlong race involves nine female starters that have been pretty inconsistent. #8 Just About Right has been pretty good recently and is coming off a victory after closing extremely well as he made up three lengths and ended up winning by one and one-half lengths. Just About Right has reached the podium in each of her last four outings and the four-year-old filly is 3-for-3 at Will Rogers with two wins. #9 Bright Bling also has run consistently over the last three and Ry Eikleberry replaces Adrian Ramos in the saddle despite the fact that Ramos got the four-year-old filly up to third after going five-wide down the stretch in the last outing (April 20). She has medaled in 10 of 12 races including all five contests at Will Rogers. Eikleberry and trainer Francisco Bravo have a solid working relationship, winning 18% of the time they are together. #2 Sweet Mary M is coming off the worst performance of her career (April 20). However, the three-year picked up a victory two races ago, in her first career allowance race.

Picks: I like a win bet on the #8. I also favor an exacta and/or trifecta box bet of #8, #9, #2.

Race 9 - Cherokee Nation Classic Cup Stakes

This one and one-sixteenth mile stakes race is set to be staged by 12 colts and geldings that are three-years-old and upwards.#6 Quality Rocket has been strong in each of his last three efforts and was finally rewarded with a second-place performance in an allowance race almost a month ago. Look for Garrett Steinberg to get Quality Rocket settled among the leaders as the six-year-old gelding is one of the few runners that have shown any type of early speed. Quality Rocket has a second-place showing in three stakes events (Red Earth Stakes).

#10 Dak Da Man has not yet recorded a top-three finish in a stakes race, but the four-year-old gelding has run well over the last six outings and is coming off a victory in an allowance race the last time out on April 29 as the favorite. Dak Da Man has finished fourth in all fourth of his previous stake events, including in the Jim Thorpe Stakes back in Dec. #11 United Patriot has the second-most wins (9) in the field and has landed in the top-3 on 55.5% of his 27 starts. United Patriot has one stakes victory in a trio of events. #7 Gospel Musketeer is making his 2020 debut after a solid first year of racing where the four-year-old gelding finished in the money in all five of his events which included a third-place finish in the Jim Thorpe Stakes on Dec. 15. This will be Gospel Muskateer’s first try at this distance, although jockey Gustavo Herrera has a career WPS percentage of 40% in stake races.

Picks: I take #6 as a value bet to win. I also like an exacta or trifecta box of #6, #10, #11.