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Best Bets Today - Betting Picks for May 8, 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 05/08/2026, 02:44 AM ET
Best Bets Today from Expert Handicappers at Stat Salt - May 26, 2026
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If you're looking for the top MLB betting picks today, these matchups stand out based on recent form, pitching edges, and overall team production. Here are some of the strongest MLB plays on the board heading into Friday’s action.

⚾ Milwaukee Brewers vs Washington Nationals

Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline

Milwaukee enters this matchup with the stronger overall pitching foundation, which gives the Brewers a clear edge in this spot. Their staff has consistently done a better job limiting hard contact and keeping runners off base, while Washington has struggled to contain opposing offenses throughout the season.

The Brewers are also carrying momentum into this game after several strong recent performances, including a convincing win earlier in the series. Washington has shown flashes offensively, but the inconsistency on the mound continues to create difficult situations late in games. With Milwaukee playing more balanced baseball overall, the Brewers look like the stronger side Friday night.

⚾ Chicago Cubs vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Pick: Chicago Cubs Moneyline

Chicago continues to play some of the most complete baseball among the teams on today’s slate. The Cubs have been producing consistently at the plate while also maintaining a strong home presence, which becomes important in a matchup against an Arizona team that has struggled on the mound.

The Cubs hold advantages across several offensive categories and continue finding ways to pressure opposing pitchers throughout games. Arizona’s pitching staff has had trouble limiting scoring opportunities, and that becomes even more dangerous against a lineup that has been swinging the bats well recently. With stronger overall balance and momentum on their side, Chicago stands out as the preferred play.

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MLB Team Total Best Bets

⚾ Philadelphia Phillies Team Total Over 3.5 Runs

Philadelphia enters this matchup in solid offensive rhythm after putting together several productive performances recently. The Phillies have shown the ability to generate timely offense and capitalize on scoring opportunities, particularly against pitching staffs that allow traffic on the bases.

Miami’s pitching numbers have been respectable overall, but Philadelphia already showed success in this matchup recently and should continue generating enough offense to threaten this number again. Given their recent run production and current momentum, backing the Phillies to reach at least four runs feels like the stronger angle.

⚾ Tampa Bay Rays Team Total Over 3.5 Runs

Tampa Bay continues to profile as one of the more reliable offenses on the board. The Rays consistently put runners on base while combining contact hitting with enough power to generate scoring bursts across multiple innings.

Even in lower-scoring games recently, Tampa Bay has continued applying offensive pressure throughout the lineup. Against a pitching staff that has shown vulnerability at times, the Rays should have opportunities to string together enough offense to clear this total. Playing at home only adds to the value here.

NHL Best Bets for Friday

🏒 Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens

Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning Moneyline

Tampa Bay enters this Game 7 with the stronger defensive profile and home-ice advantage, both of which become critical in elimination scenarios. The Lightning have consistently shown the ability to win tight playoff games, including the recent overtime shutout victory that extended the series.

Defensively, Tampa Bay has been slightly more efficient throughout the matchup, particularly on special teams where their penalty kill has provided stability in key moments. In what projects to be another close playoff battle, the Lightning’s experience and defensive structure make them the preferred side.

🏒 Colorado Avalanche vs Minnesota Wild

Pick: Colorado Avalanche Moneyline

Colorado comes into this game with strong momentum and one of the most balanced statistical profiles remaining in the postseason. The Avalanche continue generating offense at a high level while also limiting quality opportunities defensively.

Their ability to control shot volume and dictate pace has been a major difference recently, especially at home where Colorado has been dominant. Minnesota can compete offensively, but the Avalanche have looked like the more complete team entering this matchup. With both momentum and home ice in their favor, Colorado remains a strong NHL play Friday night.

NHL Player Prop Best Bets

  • 🏒 Nikita Kucherov Over 3.5 Shots on Goal

Kucherov has consistently been one of Tampa Bay’s most active offensive players throughout this series. His recent shot volume has remained strong, including multiple games where he comfortably cleared this number.

In a Game 7 environment where star players typically see heavier offensive usage, Kucherov should continue generating opportunities early and often. Given his recent shot totals and offensive role, the over remains the stronger play.

  • 🏒 Vladimir Tarasenko Over 1.5 Shots on Goal

Tarasenko has quietly produced steady shot volume recently while remaining involved in Minnesota’s offensive attack. He has consistently hovered around this number and continues seeing opportunities in scoring situations.

With Minnesota expected to stay aggressive offensively to keep pace with Colorado, Tarasenko should once again have enough chances to generate at least two shots on goal. Based on his recent form, the over presents solid value here.