Carolina Hurricanes vs Vegas Golden Knights Picks and Prediction for Thursday June 11 2026
Use Code SSWC The Vegas Golden Knights and Carolina Hurricanes meet in Game 5 of the Stanley Cup Final on Thursday, June 11, 2026, at Lenovo Center in Raleigh, North Carolina. The series is tied 2-2, with puck drop scheduled for 8:00 PM and television coverage on ABC. Carolina enters as a -155 moneyline favorite, while Vegas is listed at +130. The total is set at 6.5 goals, with the over at +114 and the under at -135, while Vegas is +1.5 on the puck line at -198 and Carolina is -1.5 at +164. Be ready for the NHL action with our free NHL picks.
Previous Game Recap & Box Score
Carolina recently won over Vegas 5-3 in Game 4, evening the Stanley Cup Final at 2-2. The Hurricanes opened the game with a strong first period, scoring three times while Vegas answered with one goal. The Golden Knights pushed back in the second period with two goals to tie the game, but Carolina shut Vegas out in the third and added two more goals to secure the win.
For Carolina, Jordan Staal led the way with two goals, four shots, a plus-two rating, and a strong faceoff performance, winning 12 of 16 draws. Nikolaj Ehlers added a goal and two assists with three shots and a plus-two rating, while Jackson Blake finished with a goal and an assist. Logan Stankoven also scored, and Sebastian Aho, Taylor Hall, Jalen Chatfield, and Shayne Gostisbehere each added an assist. In net, Brandon Bussi stopped 18 of 21 shots in the victory.
For Vegas, Brett Howden, William Karlsson, and Mark Stone each scored in the loss. Karlsson also added an assist, while Mitch Marner, Colton Sissons, Rasmus Andersson, Brayden McNabb, and Shea Theodore each recorded one assist. Mark Stone led Vegas with five shots, while Jack Eichel added three shots. Carter Hart stopped 23 of 27 shots before the Golden Knights finished the game with a 5-3 defeat.
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Vegas Trying to Steal Back Control on the Road
The Golden Knights enter Game 5 with a 39-26-17 overall record and a 19-14-8 road record. Vegas has gone 3-2 over its last five games, but the recent playoff results have gone back and forth. The Golden Knights recently lost to Carolina 5-3 in Game 4 after recently won over Carolina 5-4 in double overtime in Game 3. Before that, Vegas recently lost to Carolina 4-3 in overtime, recently won over Carolina 5-4, and recently won over Colorado 2-1.
Vegas is averaging 3.22 goals per game while allowing 2.95 goals against per game. The Golden Knights average 29.0 shots per game and allow 24.4 shots against per game. On special teams, Vegas has 58 power-play goals with a 24.6 power-play percentage, while allowing 38 power-play goals against with an 81.4 penalty kill percentage. The Golden Knights have also scored six shorthanded goals and have not allowed a shorthanded goal.
The key strength for Vegas is that it has remained competitive throughout this series. Each of the first four games has featured plenty of scoring, and the Golden Knights have already won once in Raleigh during the series. However, the concern entering Game 5 is defensive consistency, as Vegas has allowed at least four goals in each of the four Stanley Cup Final games listed.
Carolina Returns Home With Momentum
The Hurricanes enter Game 5 with a 53-22-7 overall record and a 29-10-2 home record. Carolina has gone 3-2 over its last five games and recently won over Vegas 5-3 in Game 4. The Hurricanes recently lost to Vegas 5-4 in double overtime, recently won over Vegas 4-3 in overtime, recently lost to Vegas 5-4, and recently won over Montreal 6-1. With the series tied 2-2, Carolina returns home after winning the most recent game.
Carolina is averaging 3.55 goals per game while allowing 2.88 goals against per game. The Hurricanes average 32.2 shots per game and allow 23.9 shots against per game. Their power play has produced 60 goals with a 24.9 percentage, while the penalty kill sits at 80.6 with 45 power-play goals allowed. Carolina has also scored 12 shorthanded goals and has not allowed a shorthanded goal.
Carolina's biggest strength in the provided numbers is its overall statistical edge. The Hurricanes average more goals, generate more shots, allow slightly fewer goals, allow fewer shots, and have the stronger home record. Those categories give Carolina a strong profile entering a pivotal Game 5 at Lenovo Center.
Carolina Hurricanes vs Vegas Golden Knights Picks and Prediction
Side Pick
- Pick: Carolina Hurricanes Moneyline
Carolina is the pick on the moneyline because the Hurricanes enter with the better overall record, the better home record, and the stronger team stats in several key categories. Carolina averages 3.55 goals per game compared to 3.22 for Vegas, allows 2.88 goals per game compared to 2.95, and also holds the advantage in shots for and shots allowed. With the series tied and Carolina coming off a 5-3 win, the Hurricanes are the preferred side at home.
Total Pick
- Pick: Over 6.5
The over is the lean because the first four games of this Stanley Cup Final have all featured at least seven combined goals. Carolina recently won over Vegas 5-3, Vegas recently won over Carolina 5-4 in double overtime, Carolina recently won over Vegas 4-3 in overtime, and Vegas recently won over Carolina 5-4. Based only on the provided series results and the offensive numbers for both teams, another higher-scoring game is a reasonable expectation.
Final Score Prediction: Carolina Hurricanes 5 – Vegas Golden Knights 3
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