Calgary Stampeders vs. Montreal Alouettes Picks and Prediction for July 11, 2026
Use Code SSWC The Calgary Stampeders travel to Montreal for a Saturday evening matchup against the Montreal Alouettes at Percival Molson Memorial Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 5:00 p.m. MT and 7:00 p.m. ET on July 11, 2026. Calgary enters the game with a 2-2 record, while Montreal holds a 3-1 mark through its first four contests. Get all of our free CFL picks.
The standings give Montreal a narrow early advantage, but the information supplied for this matchup shows two offenses capable of moving the football in different ways. Calgary’s provided 2024 statistics feature several productive pass catchers and a rushing attack that generated explosive gains. Montreal’s 2026 numbers show an efficient passing offense that has protected the football while creating consistent production downfield.
This matchup could come down to which team is more successful at establishing its preferred offensive identity. Calgary has the statistical profile of a balanced attack with several rushing options, while Montreal has received strong quarterback play and meaningful production from multiple receivers. With the Alouettes owning the better record and playing at home, Calgary will need to turn its offensive versatility into sustained drives and scoring opportunities.
Why Calgary Could Control This Matchup
Calgary’s supplied 2024 passing numbers show that Jake Maier completed 357 of 494 attempts for 3,841 yards, 22 touchdowns, and 14 interceptions. His completion percentage of 72.3 and efficiency rating of 97.7 demonstrate that the Stampeders received steady production from their passing game. Matt Shiltz added 438 passing yards and two touchdowns, while Logan Bonner contributed 378 yards.
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The Stampeders also had several productive receiving options. Reggie Begelton led the supplied receiving statistics with 92 catches for 1,150 yards and four touchdowns. Marken Michel recorded 68 receptions for 774 yards and six touchdowns, while Jalen Philpot finished with 66 catches for 659 yards and three scores. Clark Barnes added 590 receiving yards and four touchdowns, giving Calgary another player capable of producing significant gains.
Calgary’s rushing numbers provide another reason the Stampeders could control the matchup. Dedrick Mills carried the ball 163 times for 923 yards, averaging 5.7 yards per attempt and producing six runs of at least 20 yards. Peyton Logan averaged 5.8 yards per carry while gaining 355 yards, and Tommy Stevens scored 10 rushing touchdowns on 60 attempts. Matt Shiltz averaged 9.5 yards on his 14 carries, while Jalen Philpot gained 115 yards on only 15 attempts. That variety gives Calgary several ways to generate yardage on the ground and could help the Stampeders maintain possession.
What Makes Montreal Dangerous
Montreal’s 2026 offensive statistics are led by Davis Alexander, who has completed 107 of 154 passes for 1,478 yards and seven touchdowns. Most importantly, he has not thrown an interception in the supplied statistics. His 69.5 completion percentage, 9.6 yards per attempt, and 115.1 efficiency rating reflect an offense that has combined accuracy, explosiveness, and ball security through its first four games.
Tyson Philpot has been Montreal’s leading receiver in the supplied data, catching 36 passes for 587 yards and three touchdowns. His average of 12.8 yards per reception and five catches of at least 30 yards show his ability to create major gains. Tyler Snead has added 25 receptions for 384 yards and three touchdowns, including a long reception of 70 yards. Alexander Hollins has contributed 181 yards and a touchdown on 10 catches, giving the Alouettes another productive downfield option.
The Alouettes have also generated useful rushing production from several contributors. Travis Theis has recorded 165 yards and two touchdowns on 34 carries, averaging 4.9 yards per attempt. Shomari Lawrence has averaged 6.8 yards on 12 carries, while Stevie Scott III has gained 65 yards on 10 attempts and produced a 31-yard run. Dustin Crum has scored three rushing touchdowns on 11 carries. Montreal’s ground production may not be concentrated in one player, but the supplied numbers show multiple players capable of contributing.
Breaking Down the Matchup
Montreal enters this game with the stronger record at 3-1, while Calgary is 2-2. That one-game difference gives the Alouettes the early advantage in the standings, and they will also have the benefit of playing this matchup at Percival Molson Memorial Stadium. Calgary, however, has an even record and enough offensive production in its supplied statistics to make this a competitive contest.
The statistical comparison is complicated by the different seasons represented in the supplied information. Calgary’s offensive numbers come from the 2024 season, while Montreal’s statistics are from the 2026 campaign. The available data still provides a clear picture of each team’s offensive capabilities. Calgary’s numbers highlight balance, receiving depth, and several productive rushing options. Montreal’s current-season statistics highlight efficient quarterback play, downfield passing production, and excellent protection of the football.
Montreal’s seven passing touchdowns without an interception stand out as one of the most important figures in the matchup. Calgary’s supplied rushing production is equally significant, especially the 923 yards and 5.7-yard average produced by its leading runner. If Calgary can establish that type of ground success, it could limit Montreal’s possessions. If the Alouettes continue receiving accurate and efficient passing production, they will have an opportunity to create scoring drives without exposing themselves to costly turnovers.
Final Prediction
The Stampeders have enough offensive variety to challenge Montreal. Their supplied statistics show a productive passing game, a deep group of receivers, and several players who can contribute as runners. Calgary’s best path to controlling the contest is to produce steady gains on the ground, stay in manageable situations, and avoid allowing Montreal to dictate the pace with its passing attack.
Montreal nevertheless has the more convincing current profile in the information provided. The Alouettes are 3-1, are playing at home, and have received highly efficient quarterback production through four games. Completing 69.5 percent of passes while averaging 9.6 yards per attempt and throwing seven touchdowns without an interception is a strong combination. Montreal’s top two receivers have also combined for 971 yards and six touchdowns, giving the Alouettes multiple ways to attack through the air.
Calgary should be competitive because of its potential balance and rushing production, but Montreal’s current record, home setting, passing efficiency, and ball security provide the stronger foundation for a prediction. The Alouettes are the pick to win a game in which both offenses should have opportunities to produce, with Montreal making enough plays in the second half to protect its home field.
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Picks
- Moneyline: Montreal Alouettes
- Spread: Montreal Alouettes
- Predicted Final Score: Calgary Stampeders 24 – Montreal Alouettes 30
