Calgary Stampeders vs Toronto Argonauts Picks and Prediction for Thursday August 6 2026
The Calgary Stampeders travel to BMO Field in Toronto, Ontario, for a Week 10 matchup against the Toronto Argonauts on Thursday, August 6, 2026. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET, with coverage available on TSN1 and TSN3 in Canada and CBS Sports Network in the United States. Toronto is a 1.5-point favorite, while the total is set at 67.5 points. The Stampeders enter at 4-4, while the Argonauts are 3-4. For more Canadian football predictions throughout the season, take a look at our free CFL picks.
Calgary’s Explosive Offense Returns to Toronto
Calgary has won three of its last five games, including consecutive victories over the Winnipeg Blue Bombers and Hamilton Tiger-Cats. The Stampeders defeated Winnipeg 52-30 before delivering an impressive 44-20 road win over Hamilton. Their two losses during that stretch both came against Montreal, falling 37-30 and 38-32. Calgary also opened this five-game sequence by defeating Toronto 58-36, giving the Stampeders a 3-2 record across those contests. Calgary’s latest victory improved the club to 4-4 and placed it third in the West Division.
The Stampeders have scored at least 30 points in each of their last five games, producing 216 combined points for an average of 43.2 per contest. Calgary scored five touchdowns in its victory over Hamilton, while its offense generated 58 points and 506 total yards in the first meeting with Toronto. The Stampeders finished that game with 405 passing yards, 101 rushing yards, eight offensive touchdowns and no turnovers. Calgary has also demonstrated balance by generating productive rushing numbers and creating explosive plays through both its offense and special teams.
The defining factor for Calgary is its ability to turn a competitive game into a high-scoring shootout. Toronto accumulated 471 yards in the first meeting but could not keep pace because Calgary protected the football and consistently finished its drives. The Stampeders have now scored 44 or more points in three of their last five appearances. Calgary’s defense has allowed some substantial totals, but its recent 44-20 win showed that it can also make game-changing plays and create points of its own. If the Stampeders avoid turnovers again, their offense should have an opportunity to challenge Toronto throughout the night.
Toronto Looks for Payback at BMO Field
Toronto enters this matchup at 3-4 after snapping a three-game losing streak with a 26-12 victory over the BC Lions. The Argonauts are 2-3 over their last five games, with victories over Saskatchewan and BC surrounding losses to Calgary, Winnipeg and Hamilton. Toronto defeated Saskatchewan 40-34 but then surrendered 58 points against Calgary. The Argonauts subsequently lost to Winnipeg and fell 24-23 against Hamilton before responding with their best defensive performance of the season against BC. That 26-12 result gave Toronto a much-needed victory entering its Week 9 bye.
The Argonauts demonstrated their offensive potential in the first meeting with Calgary. Toronto generated 471 total yards, including 393 through the air, and scored five touchdowns. However, the Argonauts committed two turnovers while Calgary finished without one. Toronto’s defense conceded 506 yards, six passing touchdowns and two rushing scores in that contest. The defensive unit responded much more effectively against BC, limiting the Lions to 12 points after allowing at least 24 in each of the previous four games.
Toronto’s biggest challenge is proving that its defensive improvement against BC can carry over against the league’s most productive scoring attack. The Argonauts have had additional preparation time, while Calgary will be playing its second consecutive road game on a short week. Those situational advantages explain why Toronto is favored at home. Nevertheless, the Argonauts cannot afford another uneven performance in which their offense moves the ball but turnovers and defensive breakdowns erase that production.
Calgary Stampeders vs Toronto Argonauts Pick and Prediction
ATS Pick
- Pick: Calgary Stampeders +1.5
I am taking Calgary plus the points because the Stampeders have been the more consistent offensive team and already proved they can exploit this Toronto defense. Calgary has scored at least 30 points in five consecutive games and has produced 44 or more in three of those appearances. The Argonauts should be more competitive at home after their bye, but asking Toronto to cover against an opponent that defeated it by 22 points in July feels aggressive. Calgary also enters with consecutive wins and should be capable of winning this game outright.
Total Pick
- Pick: Over 67.5
This is a high total, but I still prefer the over. Calgary’s last five games have produced combined totals of 94, 67, 70, 82 and 64 points. The first meeting between these teams produced 94 points and 977 total yards, demonstrating how favorable this matchup can become for both offenses. Toronto’s improved defensive showing against BC creates some concern, but Calgary presents a much more explosive challenge. I expect both teams to reach the 30s, with Calgary producing enough late offense to push the game beyond the listed number.
Projected Final Score: Calgary Stampeders 38, Toronto Argonauts 35