Ottawa Redblacks vs Montreal Alouettes Picks and Prediction for Sunday, June 28, 2026
Use Code SSWC The Ottawa Redblacks travel to Percival Molson Memorial Stadium to face the Montreal Alouettes in a Week 4 CFL matchup on Sunday, June 28, 2026. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. ET, with television coverage on TSN and RDS in Canada, along with CBSSN and CFL+ for viewers in the United States and internationally. Montreal enters the contest atop the East Division with a 2-1 record, while Ottawa is still searching for its first victory after opening the season at 0-2. Check out all the best and free CFL picks.
The standings show a noticeable gap between these clubs through the opening weeks. The Alouettes have scored 96 points while allowing 89, giving them a positive scoring margin as they sit first in the division. Ottawa has produced 45 points while surrendering 73 through two games. Montreal also owns a 1-0 home record, while the Redblacks have started the season 0-2 on the road.
Why Ottawa Could Control This Matchup
Although the Redblacks have yet to record a victory, there are areas of their offense that have shown encouraging signs. Jake Maier has completed 47 of his 77 pass attempts for a 61.0 percent completion rate while throwing for 484 yards with two touchdowns. He has also added 21 rushing yards on three carries, giving Ottawa another way to move the football when needed.
The Ottawa rushing attack has been led by Daniel Adeboboye, who has carried the ball 13 times for 87 yards, averaging an impressive 6.7 yards per attempt with one touchdown. Greg Bell has added 29 rushing yards, while several other players have contributed limited production on the ground. If the Redblacks can continue averaging strong production from their lead runner, they may be able to sustain longer drives.
Sign Up Get $30 Premium Picks Credit + Exclusive Offers
Subscribe Now
The receiving group has spread the workload among several targets. Ayden Eberhardt leads the team with 12 receptions for 178 yards and a touchdown. Eugene Lewis has been targeted frequently while adding 95 receiving yards, and Justin Hardy has contributed six catches with one touchdown reception. Kalil Pimpleton has also been involved both as a receiver and return specialist, averaging 13 yards on punt returns and 24 yards on kickoff returns. Ottawa has also received perfect kicking from Brett Lauther, who has converted all seven of his field-goal attempts.
What Makes Montreal Dangerous
Montreal enters this matchup with a first-place record and an offense that has consistently produced through the air. Davis Alexander has completed 85 of his 124 pass attempts for a 68.5 percent completion rate while throwing for 1,133 yards, five touchdowns, and no interceptions. His efficiency rating of 110.7 reflects a productive start to the season, and avoiding turnovers has helped Montreal maintain offensive consistency.
The Alouettes have several productive receiving options. Tyson Philpot has hauled in 24 receptions for 389 yards and three touchdowns, while Tyler Snead has matched him with 33 targets and added 19 catches for 305 yards and two scores. Alexander Hollins and Jerreth Sterns have each contributed more than 100 receiving yards, giving Montreal multiple dependable options throughout the passing game.
Montreal has also received balanced production in other phases. Travis Theis has rushed for 142 yards and one touchdown while averaging 4.9 yards per carry. Defensively, Geoffrey Cantin-Arku leads the club with 19 total tackles, and Robert Kennedy III has already recorded an interception that he returned for a touchdown. Special teams have also been reliable, with Jose Maltos Diaz converting all 11 of his field-goal attempts and Joseph Zema averaging 49.6 yards on 17 punts.
Breaking Down the Matchup
The records favor Montreal entering Week 4. The Alouettes are 2-1 overall and sit atop the East Division with four points. They have already earned a home victory and own a perfect 2-0 division record. Ottawa enters at 0-2 with no points in the standings and is still looking for its first win after opening with two road defeats.
The statistical comparison also leans toward the home team. Montreal has scored 96 points while allowing 89, while Ottawa has managed 45 points and allowed 73. Montreal's passing offense has generated over 1,100 yards through Davis Alexander, while Ottawa's passing attack has totaled 484 yards with Jake Maier directing the offense. Both clubs have reliable kickers who have yet to miss a field goal, but Montreal has shown greater production across multiple offensive categories.
Playing at Percival Molson Memorial Stadium could also provide another advantage for Montreal. The Alouettes have already won at home this season, while Ottawa has yet to earn a victory away from home. With Montreal leading the division and Ottawa still searching for its first win, the overall numbers point toward the Alouettes entering this contest with momentum.
Final Prediction
Ottawa has shown flashes of offensive balance thanks to Daniel Adeboboye's rushing production and a receiving corps led by Ayden Eberhardt. The Redblacks have also received dependable special teams play from Brett Lauther and Kalil Pimpleton. Those strengths should allow them to remain competitive throughout stretches of the game.
Even so, Montreal appears to have more advantages based on the available statistics. Davis Alexander has delivered efficient quarterback play without throwing an interception, while Tyson Philpot and Tyler Snead have helped create one of the more productive passing attacks through the opening weeks. Combined with an undefeated kicking performance from Jose Maltos Diaz and a defense that has already produced an interception return touchdown, Montreal enters this matchup with stronger overall production.
The Redblacks are capable of making this a competitive contest, but the combination of Montreal's passing efficiency, balanced offense, and home-field success gives the Alouettes the edge heading into Sunday night's East Division showdown.
Picks
Moneyline: Montreal Alouettes
Spread: Montreal Alouettes
Predicted Total: Over
Predicted Final Score:Ottawa Redblacks 23 – Montreal Alouettes 31
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
New Users – Bet $5 Get $200 in Bet Reset Tokens for 5 Days
