Ottawa Redblacks vs Toronto Argonauts Picks and Prediction for Saturday September 12 2026

The Ottawa Redblacks travel to BMO Field in Toronto, Ontario, to face the Toronto Argonauts on Saturday, September 12, 2026. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 PM ET. Ottawa enters at 0-11 and remains the CFL's only winless team, while Toronto is 6-6 and sits second in the East Division. The current betting market has Toronto favored by approximately 12.5 points, with the total around 62.5. The CFL playoffs are rapidly approaching, make sure you are ready for them with our free CFL picks.

Ottawa Continues Searching for Its First Win

Ottawa's 2026 season has become increasingly difficult as the Redblacks enter Week 15 without a victory. They are 0-11 overall, 0-5 away from home and have lost each of their last 10 games listed in the current betting database.

The numbers explain much of the problem. Ottawa is averaging only 22.5 points and 335 total yards per game. The Redblacks have produced 299.3 passing yards per game but only 49.7 rushing yards, leaving them with one of the CFL's least balanced offenses.

The defensive numbers are even more concerning. Ottawa is surrendering 37.5 points and 448.5 total yards per game, including 331.9 passing yards and 133.4 rushing yards. The Redblacks rank at or near the bottom of the league in most of those categories.

Recent results haven't provided much encouragement. Ottawa lost 45-24 to BC, 46-16 at Montreal, 33-21 at Winnipeg and 42-20 at Saskatchewan during its last four games. That is 166 points allowed over four contests, an average of 41.5 per game.

Toronto has already demonstrated that it can exploit this matchup. The Argonauts defeated Ottawa 44-24 in their first meeting of the season on June 20.

Toronto Gets a Favorable Matchup at BMO Field

Toronto enters this matchup at 6-6 and remains in second place in the East Division. The Argonauts have been inconsistent, but their offensive production gives them a major advantage against Ottawa.

Toronto is averaging 29.8 points and 414.8 total yards per game. The Argonauts have been especially dangerous through the air, producing a league-leading 353.8 passing yards per contest.

The defensive numbers aren't nearly as impressive. Toronto is allowing 30.8 points and 397.2 yards per game, including 318.7 passing yards. That weakness gives Ottawa some opportunity to score enough points to keep this from becoming a complete blowout.

Toronto's recent results have also been uneven. The Argonauts lost 28-24 at Saskatchewan after defeating Hamilton 39-20. Before that, Toronto suffered a 42-12 loss at Edmonton but defeated Calgary 33-30 and BC 26-12.

The matchup itself remains highly favorable. Ottawa's inability to defend the pass lines up poorly against Toronto's biggest offensive strength, and the Redblacks have surrendered at least 33 points in each of their last seven games.

Ottawa Redblacks vs Toronto Argonauts Picks and Prediction

Pick: Toronto Argonauts -12.5

This is a substantial CFL spread, but Toronto -12.5 is still the preferred side. Ottawa has lost all 11 games and has been increasingly uncompetitive, including defeats by 21, 30, 12 and 22 points over its last four games. Toronto already beat Ottawa 44-24 earlier this season, and the statistical matchup remains heavily tilted toward the Argonauts. Toronto's passing attack should have a major advantage against an Ottawa defense allowing 331.9 passing yards and 37.5 points per game. As long as the number remains below two converted touchdowns, take Toronto -12.5.

Pick: Over 62.5

The number is high, but Over 62.5 gets the call because of Ottawa's defensive problems. The Redblacks have allowed 45, 46, 33 and 42 points over their last four games, and their first meeting with Toronto produced 68 combined points in a 44-24 Argonauts victory. Toronto is averaging 29.8 points per game and possesses one of the league's most productive passing attacks. The concern is whether Ottawa contributes enough, but Toronto's defense is allowing 30.8 points and nearly 400 yards per game. A score in the neighborhood of 41-24 or 42-24 gets us beyond the number. Take Over 62.5.

Final Picks: Toronto Argonauts -12.5 and Over 62.5