Toronto Argonauts vs Saskatchewan Roughriders Picks and Prediction for Saturday August 29 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 08/25/2026, 01:40 AM ET

The Toronto Argonauts travel to Mosaic Stadium in Regina, Saskatchewan, to face the Saskatchewan Roughriders on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00 PM ET with coverage on TSN1 and TSN3. Toronto enters Week 13 at 5-5, including a 3-5 mark away from home, while Saskatchewan is 6-4 and 3-2 at home. The Roughriders are currently 4.5-point favorites, with Toronto around +190 on the moneyline and Saskatchewan approximately -230. The total is 62.5 points. Be prepared for all the action in the race to the Grey Cup with our free CFL picks.

Toronto's Passing Attack Makes the Argonauts Dangerous

Toronto comes into this matchup with some momentum after defeating Hamilton 39-20 in Week 12. The Argonauts were particularly impressive after halftime, outscoring the Tiger-Cats 24-3 over the final two quarters. Toronto finished with 434 total yards, including 289 through the air and 145 on the ground, while improving to 5-5 and moving into second place in the East Division.

The season numbers show why Toronto remains dangerous despite its mediocre record. The Argonauts are averaging 414.1 total yards per game, second in the CFL, and their 347.1 passing yards per game rank first. Toronto is also scoring 30.4 points per contest. The weakness is the running game, where the Argonauts average only 86.2 yards, but this offence is capable of overcoming that deficiency through its ability to generate yards through the air.

There is also an important matchup factor working in Toronto's favor: the Argonauts have already beaten Saskatchewan this season. Toronto went into Mosaic Stadium on June 26 and handed the Roughriders their first loss of the season, winning 40-34. That result matters when evaluating a 4.5-point spread because Toronto has already demonstrated that it can generate enough offence to win in Regina.

Saskatchewan Looking to Reverse the First Meeting

Saskatchewan enters this game at 6-4 following a 30-16 loss to BC in Week 12. That followed a 26-19 defeat against Hamilton, meaning the Roughriders have suddenly dropped consecutive games after establishing themselves as one of the stronger teams in the West earlier in the season.

The offensive numbers remain strong. Saskatchewan is averaging approximately 404.5 total yards per game, including 321.8 through the air and 93.4 on the ground. The Roughriders are scoring 30.9 points per game, slightly better than Toronto's 30.4, and their 56.6% third-down conversion rate ranks among the CFL's best.

Saskatchewan should also benefit from returning to Mosaic Stadium, where it is 3-2 this season. The concern is whether the Roughriders can slow down Toronto's passing game. The Argonauts scored 40 points in the first meeting, and Toronto enters the rematch immediately after another 39-point performance. Saskatchewan may need to score into the 30s again simply to keep pace.

Toronto Argonauts vs Saskatchewan Roughriders Picks and Prediction

Pick: Toronto Argonauts +4.5

Saskatchewan deserves to be favored at home, but Toronto +4.5 is the better betting position. These teams are extremely close offensively, averaging 30.4 and 30.9 points respectively, while Toronto actually holds the advantage in total offence and passing production. The Argonauts also already won 40-34 at Mosaic Stadium earlier this season. Saskatchewan can certainly win the rematch, but asking the Roughriders to win by five or more against an explosive Toronto offence is considerably different from simply picking them straight up. Take Toronto +4.5.

Pick: Over 62.5

This is an enormous total even by CFL standards, but the matchup supports another shootout. Toronto averages 30.4 points and Saskatchewan averages 30.9, which puts their combined scoring average at 61.3 points before accounting for the matchup itself. Their first meeting produced 74 points, and Toronto comes into the rematch after scoring 39 against Hamilton. With two of the league's better passing attacks and Toronto potentially forcing Saskatchewan into another aggressive offensive game plan, there should be enough possessions and explosive plays to threaten the number. Take Over 62.5.

Prediction: Saskatchewan Roughriders 34, Toronto Argonauts 33

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