Arizona State Sun Devils vs Texas Longhorns Picks and Prediction - November 24, 2025
It's the Maui Invitational from Lahaina Civic Center in Maui, Hawaii on Monday evening, and we have an Arizona State vs Texas prediction ready to rock and roll. Arizona State enters this game at 4-1 on the year and off an 83-76 road win over Hawaii. Texas is also 4-1 to start the year, and they are off a 99-65 home win over Rider. Continue reading to see our Arizona State vs Texas prediction.
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Arizona State Holds Off Hawaii
Arizona State improved to 4-1 with an 83-76 win over Hawaii on November 21, a game that highlighted both their resilience and balanced scoring. Bryce Ford was the difference-maker, pouring in 20 points on 7-of-11 shooting, including three triples, while Maurice Odum added 15 points and six assists despite some struggles from the field. Anthony Johnson chipped in 16 points and was aggressive attacking the rim, going 7-of-9 at the free-throw line. The Sun Devils trailed at halftime but erupted for 49 points in the second half, using their depth and defensive pressure to turn the tide and secure the road victory.
Offensively, Arizona State showed flashes of efficiency, shooting 42% from the field and 37% from three, but their free-throw shooting at 65% left points on the table. Odum continues to be the engine, averaging nearly 15 points and over seven assists per game, while Ford’s perimeter shooting gives them a reliable scoring option. Johnson’s ability to get downhill and draw fouls adds another dimension, and Mor Diop provides interior scoring and rebounding, finishing with 10 points and five boards against Hawaii. The Sun Devils may not have overwhelming size, but their guard play and ability to spread the floor make them dangerous when shots are falling.
Defensively, ASU forced Hawaii into tough looks and held them under 45% shooting, while winning the rebounding battle 32-31. Diop and Mukeba combined for rim protection, each contributing blocks and altering shots inside, while Trouet and Grbovic added length on the glass. The Sun Devils’ perimeter defense has been a strength all season, holding opponents to 27.4% from three, and their ability to generate steals — Odum and Meeusen combined for five in this game — fuels transition opportunities. Against Texas, Arizona State will need to replicate that defensive intensity, especially on the boards, to offset the Longhorns’ deeper frontcourt rotation.
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Longhorns Have A Balanced Team
Texas enters this matchup at 4-1, and their numbers show a team that can overwhelm opponents with balance and efficiency. The Longhorns are averaging 84 points per game while shooting 46.5% from the field, and they’ve been relentless on the glass with 42.4 rebounds per game, ranking among the better rebounding teams nationally. Matas Vokietaitis has been the anchor inside, averaging 16 points and 7.2 rebounds per game on an incredible 67.5% shooting, while Dailyn Swain provides versatility with 15.2 points and 6.6 rebounds per game. Together, they give Texas a frontcourt duo that can score efficiently and control the boards.
The backcourt has been steady as well, with Tramon Mark contributing nearly 10 points per game while adding playmaking and defensive pressure. Simeon Wilcher has been a reliable shooter, hitting 52.9% from three and averaging 8.4 points per game, while Jordan Pope chips in 8.8 points per game despite streaky shooting. Cameron Heide has shown flashes of perimeter scoring, knocking down 70% of his threes in limited minutes, and Chendall Weaver adds rebounding and hustle from the guard spot. Texas doesn’t rely on one scorer — they spread the ball around, averaging nearly 17 assists per game, which keeps defenses guessing and allows multiple players to step into big roles.
Defensively, Texas has been outstanding, holding opponents to just 62.6 points per game and limiting them to 36.7% shooting from the field. Their perimeter defense has been sharp, with opponents hitting only 28.6% from three, and their length inside makes it difficult for teams to score in the paint. Traore has been a force on the boards with 8 rebounds per game, while Swain and Vokietaitis provide rim protection. The one weakness has been free-throw shooting, sitting at just 65.5%, which could hurt in close games. Still, with their ability to defend, rebound, and score efficiently across multiple positions, Texas has the tools to match up with Arizona State’s guard-heavy attack and impose their style of play.
Arizona State vs Texas Pick
Arizona State vs Texas Spread Pick
- Texas -7 (4 Units)
Texas -7 looks like a solid play given how well the Longhorns have been performing on both ends of the floor. They’re averaging 84 points per game while shooting nearly 47% from the field, and their frontcourt duo of Matas Vokietaitis and Dailyn Swain has been tough to stop. Vokietaitis is hitting 67.5% of his shots and putting up 16 points per game, while Swain adds 15 points with his ability to attack the rim and draw fouls. Add in Simeon Wilcher’s perimeter shooting and Tramon Mark’s playmaking, and Texas has multiple scoring options that can stretch defenses. Against an Arizona State team that has struggled at times with efficiency, the Longhorns’ offensive depth should give them the edge.
Defensively, Texas has been even more impressive, holding opponents to just 62.6 points per game and limiting them to 36.7% shooting. Their length inside with Traore and Vokietaitis makes it difficult for teams to score in the paint, while their perimeter defense has kept opponents under 29% from three. Arizona State relies heavily on Maurice Odum and Bryce Ford to generate offense, but Texas has the personnel to contest those looks and force the Sun Devils into tougher shots. With the Longhorns’ ability to rebound, defend, and score efficiently across multiple positions, laying the seven points feels justified in this matchup.
Arizona State vs Texas Over/Under Pick
- Under 152 (4 Units)
The Under 152 makes sense here because Texas has been one of the nation’s stingiest defenses, holding opponents to just 62.6 points per game and limiting them to 36.7% shooting. Arizona State, while capable offensively, averages only 77 points per game and has struggled with efficiency, especially at the free-throw line where they sit at 66.7%. Both teams defend the perimeter well — Texas allows just 28.6% from three and ASU holds opponents to 27.4% — which should keep scoring runs in check. With Texas’ defense dictating pace and Arizona State unlikely to push tempo, this matchup sets up for a grind that stays below the 152 mark.
