Florida vs. Arizona Prediction and Picks for Monday, November 3rd, 2025
The college hoops season gets underway on Monday, and we have an early-season heavyweight matchup on the schedule with the #3 Florida Gators (0-0) taking on the #13 Arizona Wildcats (0-0). This is a part of the Hall of Fame Series - Las Vegas. We’ve got you covered with our Florida vs. Arizona prediction. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:00 ET from T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV. Read on for free NCAAB picks on this game, and check out that link for other game breakdowns.
#3 Gators Looking To Repeat in 2025-26
The Florida Gators went all the way last April, beating Houston 65-63 in the NCAA tournament championship and winning the school’s first title since 2007. If they can repeat, Todd Golden’s squad will be the first to win back-to-back championships since Florida did it in 2006 and 2007. From a sports betting perspective, the Gators are priced at +1600 to cut down the nets again. They’re slim favorites (+260) to win the SEC regular-season title, and they also placed first in the preseason SEC poll. It’s safe to say the expectations are high in Gainesville.
The most notable departure for the Gators is Walter Clayton Jr., who was drafted and is playing in the NBA for the Jazz. F Alex Condon, who averaged 10.6 PPG, 7.5 RPG, and 1.3 BPG, will return, and he was named to SEC first-team preseason honors. F Thomas Haugh (9.8 PPG, 6.1 RPG) and incoming transfer G Boogie Fland were named to second-team honors. Fland put up 13.5 PPG and 5.1 APG with Arkansas last year.
- Florida is coming off of a season where they tallied 84.8 points per game (third).
- The Gators shot 47.1% from the field (45th) and hit 35.6% of their triples (82nd).
- On the defensive side, they were sixth in adjusted efficiency, allowing 91.8 points per 100 possessions.
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#13 Wildcats Made a Sweet Sixteen Run in 2024-25
The expectations are always high for the Arizona Wildcats, but Coach Tommy Lloyd has yet to make it past the Sweet Sixteen during any of his four years at the helm. The Wildcats went 24-13 (13-6 B12) last season and were bounced in the Sweet Sixteen during the Big Dance. Arizona is projected to finish fourth in the Big 12 this season, and it received one first-place vote. The sports betting market isn’t as optimistic, as the Wildcats have the sixth-shortest odds (+900) to win the conference championship.
There was quite a bit of roster turnover from last year’s squad, and no Wildcats were named to Big 12 preseason honors. The key returners will be G Jaden Bradley and F Tobe Awaka. Bradley averaged 12.1 PPG and led the team in assists (3.7 APG) and steals (1.8 SPG) last year. Awaka averaged 8.0 PPG while securing a team-leading 7.8 RPG. F Koa Peat and G Brayden Burries are two five-star freshmen who could make immediate impacts this season.
- Last season, Arizona scored 82.5 points per game, which was the 12th-best mark among D1 schools.
- The offense shot 47.4% from the field (40th) and 33.8% from three-point range (177th).
- Defensively, they were 38th in adjusted defensive efficiency, conceding 97.3 points per 100 possessions.
Florida vs. Arizona Pick
Spread Pick for Florida vs. Arizona
- Florida Gators -3.5 (-102) (5 units)
I’m fine with laying the points with Florida in this neutral-site clash. Both schools lost key guards in Walter Clayton Jr. and Caleb Love, but at least the Gators were able to replace Clayton with a solid gamer in Boogie Fland (13.5 PPG, 5.1 APG). In these early-season matchups, it comes down to team chemistry. And with Fland and the Condon-Haugh duo down low, I expect to see Florida pick up right where it left off a year ago.
Florida finished last season as a “covering machine,” going 15-4 ATS. I mean, they were pretty much blowing out everyone en route to their conference title and NCAA tournament championships. Arizona has an excellent frontcourt, but I do have questions about how things will shake out up top without Caleb Love leading the way – especially against a top-10 Florida defense. I’ll back the Gators to stretch out a multi-possession victory.
Over/Under Pick for Florida vs. Arizona
- Over 163.5 (-110) (5 units)
These are typically two of the more high-powered offenses in college hoops, so I’ll be jumping on the over. Last season, Florida ranked 57th in adjusted tempo, using 70.1 possessions per 40 minutes. Arizona was 49th in the same category (70.3). Both offenses were 11th or better in adjusted offensive efficiency as well. So, when factoring in the high pace with the excellent offensive efficiency, we can start to see a path to a higher-scoring affair.
From a trends perspective, the over is 11-2 in Florida’s last 13 games. The over went 6-2 in Arizona’s last eight outings. Let’s not overthink this one – let’s play the over.
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