Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. Oregon Ducks, Odds, Prediction and Picks for Tuesday, November 4, 2025
Two of the most Western-based teams meet up on Tuesday night, and we’ll make sure you are ready for the late tipoff with our Hawaii vs. Oregon predictions. Last season, the Rainbow Warriors (15-16 SU, 12-17-1 ATS last season) had less than 20 wins for the first time in two seasons and finished under .500 for the first time in three seasons. The Ducks (25-10 SU, 17-17-1 ATS last season) made a second straight trip to the NCAA Tournament and for the second straight season, lost in the second round. These two get the new campaign underway with a 10:30 EST tipoff from the Matthew Knight Arena in Eugene. Need quality NCAAB Predictions? This is the ultimate site for basketball winners all season long.
Hawaii poised to challenge in conference
After finishing a game under .500 last season, the Rainbow Warriors regrouped in the offseason and are now considered a contender in the Big West, where they were picked to finish third in the Preseason Coaches' Poll.
Eran Ganot, in his 11th season at the helm, has nine newcomers ready to get Hawaii back in the Big Dance for the first time in a decade. There are four returning players, with Gytis Nemeiksa standing as the team’s key piece. The Lithuanian forward started only 14 games for Hawaii but still led the team with 12.3 points per game last season on 48.8% shooting, while also grabbing 5.6 rebounds a night. Dre Bullock, a transfer from South Dakota, looks ready to contribute as well after scoring 23 points on 9-13 shooting in an exhibition win over Chaminade.
Ganot’s teams have always emphasized defense. They finished 202nd in adjusted defense last season, but should fare much better this season. Harry Rouhlideff is in his fourth season at Hawaii and should now be an everyday starter after making 17 starts a year ago. The Australian forward had 17 points and 8 rebounds in the exhibition against Chaminade. Seven-foot center Isaac Johnson, a Utah State transfer by way of Oregon, provides the Rainbow Warriors with depth and size down low.
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Team notes
- Nemeiksa was a Big West Preseason Coaches’ Team selection.
- Freshman Hunter Carter was a three-star recruit by 247Sports and ranked as the #40 point guard in the class of 2025.
- The team’s 0.842 assist-to-turnover ratio last season ranked 338th
- Averaged 30.1 rebounds per game last season, the 11th lowest average in the country.
Oregon has feathers ruffled
First, the Ducks fell to Michigan State in the quarterfinals of their first Big Ten Tournament last season, and then they were eliminated in the second round of the NCAA Tournament by former Pac-12 rival Arizona.
This will be the 16th season with Dana Altman as the head coach of the Ducks. He has led the program to four straight 20-plus win seasons and, through the years, nine NCAA Tournament appearances. Nate Bittle returns for his fifth season in Eugene after being medically exempt two years back. The 7-footer keyed the Ducks’ success last season, leading the team with 14.2 points per game. He is the perfect piece in Altman’s high-post offense. Guard Jackson Shelstad, back for his third season with Oregon, is the perfect complement to things, averaging 13.3 points in his career.
On defense, the Ducks like to throw a few different looks at their opponents, including a full-court trap with a transition to man-to-man. Bittle, a Big Ten All-Defensive Team selection last year, was also the team’s leader with 7.6 rebounds, and his 2.1 blocks per game ranked 18th in the nation. The glasswork will be bolstered by the addition of Ohio State transfer Sean Stewart, who had 5.8 rebounds with 5.8 points per game in 30 starts last season.
Team notes
- Bittle was one of 20 players on the preseason watch list for the Kareen Abdul Jabbar Center of the Year Award.
- Bittle and Shelstad were preseason All-Big Ten selections.
- The team had a 1.268 assist-to-turnover ratio last season, 97th overall.
Hawaii vs. Oregon Picks
Spread Pick for Hawaii vs. Oregon
- Oregon -11 (4 units)
These two teams have met 11 times in the past, and Oregon holds a slight, 6-5 SU lead in the series. The Ducks won by 25 when they last met back in 2019. They have two of the top players in the Big Ten back in the lineup and after losing in the same spot two straight years, they’re coming out angry. Oregon has also done well to bolster things down low, so the weight isn’t all on Bittle’s shoulders. That should allow him to be more aggressive on the offensive end as well. While Hawaii has done an outstanding job to reset, they have nine new players who are trying to figure out a new system here, so it’s going to take a little bit of time. There is also the matter of the Rainbow Warriors traveling to Eugene, and while it’s not the furthest they’ll have to go, any trip has to be a bit draining for the group. Oregon has enough to pull away and get over here.
Take the Ducks giving the points at home.
Over/Under for Hawaii vs. Oregon
- Under 144.5 (5 units)
Oregon was 12th in the Big Ten in scoring last season, and Hawaii was eighth in the Big West, and neither team shot over 46% from the field. The Ducks had the 34th-best adjusted offense in the land last season but were 131st in tempo, per KenPom. They love to control the pace of things and should be able to force their will a bit here to do so. They have the big bodies to wear down Hawaii, and they also like to take their time to set up shots. The Rainbow Warriors were 237th in adjusted offense and 260th in tempo last season. Between the two teams, the under hit in 32 games.
Take the under.
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