Indiana Hoosiers vs Minnesota Golden Gophers Prediction and Picks - December 3, 2025
A couple of Big 10 foes will go at it in college hoops action on Wednesday evening, and we have an Indiana vs Minnesota prediction ready to rock and roll. The Hoosiers enter this game off a 100-56 home win over Bethune-Cookman to move to a perfect 7-0 on the year. Minnesota is off an 86-75 road loss to Santa Clara to fall to 4-4 on the year. Indiana has won the last nine games in this series. Continue reading to see our Indiana vs Minnesota prediction.
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Hoosiers Crush Cookman To Stay Perfect
Indiana’s most recent game was a 100–56 win over Bethune-Cookman on November 29, where Tucker DeVries scored 20 points, Lamar Wilkerson added 18, and Trent Sisley chipped in with 14 and nine boards. The Hoosiers shot 55% from the field, knocked down 12 threes, and dominated the boards 41–26 to stay unbeaten at 7–0.
Offensively, Indiana has been one of the most efficient teams in the country, averaging 89.6 points per game (58th nationally) while shooting 50.4% from the field (36th) and 37.8% from three (27th). DeVries leads the way at 17.9 points per game, Wilkerson adds 16.7, and Conerway has been a steady playmaker with 5.3 assists per game. The Hoosiers share the ball at an elite level (20.9 assists per game, 6th nationally) and rank top‑40 in both two‑point and three‑point shooting. Their free‑throw shooting (76.8%, 52nd) makes them reliable in closing situations.
Defensively, Indiana has been just as impressive, holding opponents to 62.4 points per game and limiting them to 36.2% shooting (10th nationally). Their length across the roster, with Bailey and Alexis anchoring the frontcourt, has allowed them to contest shots and rebound effectively (39.3 boards per game). The Hoosiers’ defensive efficiency has been a hallmark of their early season success, and heading into this matchup with Minnesota, they’ll look to continue suffocating opponents while leaning on DeVries and Wilkerson to provide the scoring punch.
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Defense Struggles In Loss To Santa Clara
Minnesota’s most recent game was an 86–75 loss to Santa Clara on November 28, where Cade Tyson carried the offense with 29 points on 8‑16 shooting and 12‑14 from the line. Isaac Asuma added 13 points and 5 assists, while Langston Reynolds chipped in 12 points off efficient shooting. Jaylen Crocker‑Johnson was quieter than usual, finishing with 6 points and 6 rebounds, and Bobby Durkin struggled from deep, hitting just one of five threes. Despite shooting 46% as a team, the Gophers couldn’t slow Santa Clara’s perimeter attack, giving up 16 made threes and falling to 4–4 on the season.
Offensively, Minnesota averages 73.5 points per game while shooting 45.7% from the field, but their three‑point shooting remains inconsistent at 31%. Tyson has been the clear centerpiece, scoring 22.4 points per game and showing he can get to the line at will, as he did against Santa Clara. Crocker‑Johnson provides balance inside with 12.4 points and 9.1 rebounds per game, though his production dipped in the last outing. Asuma has emerged as a steady playmaker with 4.4 assists per game, and Reynolds adds nearly 10 points a night. The issue has been depth scoring — when Tyson isn’t putting up big numbers, Minnesota’s offense bogs down, and their free‑throw shooting (66.7%, 298th nationally) has been a liability in tight games.
Defensively, Minnesota allows 68.4 points per game, which is respectable, but opponents have shot 43.1% from the field and nearly 39% from three, exposing their perimeter defense. Vaihola has been a strong rebounder with 7.6 boards per game, but the team’s overall rebounding margin is modest (37.1 per game) and they’ve struggled to control second‑chance opportunities. Against Indiana’s efficient offense, the Gophers will need to contest shooters more effectively than they did against Santa Clara. If Tyson continues to score at a high level and Asuma can steady the backcourt, Minnesota has a chance to keep this competitive, but their defensive lapses remain a major concern heading into December.
Indiana vs Minnesota Pick
Indiana vs Minnesota Spread Pick
- Indiana -10.5 (4 Units)
Indiana -10.5 looks like a strong angle given how dominant the Hoosiers have been early in the season. They’re averaging nearly 90 points per game while shooting over 50% from the field, and their ball movement has been elite with 20.9 assists per game (6th nationally). Tucker DeVries and Lamar Wilkerson give them two reliable scorers who can stretch defenses, while Tayton Conerway’s playmaking keeps the offense flowing. Against Minnesota, Indiana’s depth and efficiency should shine — the Hoosiers have multiple double‑digit scorers and a defense holding opponents to just 36% shooting, which makes it tough for teams to hang around once Indiana builds a lead.
Minnesota, meanwhile, has leaned heavily on Cade Tyson, who poured in 29 points in their last game against Santa Clara, but the supporting cast has been inconsistent. Crocker‑Johnson was held to just 6 points in that loss, and the Gophers’ three‑point defense has been shaky, allowing opponents to hit nearly 39% from deep. With Indiana’s shooters and ball movement, that’s a dangerous matchup problem. Minnesota averages just 73.5 points per game and struggles at the free‑throw line (66.7%), which makes it hard to keep pace if Indiana pushes tempo. Given the Hoosiers’ balance, efficiency, and defensive edge, laying the -10.5 feels justified — they have the tools to pull away and cover comfortably.
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rob Vincilleti | +1,763.00 |
| 2 |  Pro Sports Picks | +1,400.00 |
| 3 |  David Delano | +492.00 |
| 4 |  Arthur Reyes | +375.00 |
| 5 |  Michael Briggs | +355.00 |
Indiana vs Minnesota Over/Under Pick
- Under 143.5 (5 Units)
The Under 143.5 has appeal because of how these teams match up statistically. Indiana has been explosive offensively, but they also defend at a high level, holding opponents to just 62.4 points per game on 36% shooting. Minnesota, meanwhile, averages only 73.5 points per game and has struggled with efficiency, hitting just 31% from three and 66% at the line. In their most recent outing against Santa Clara, the Gophers managed 75 points but leaned heavily on Cade Tyson’s 29, while the rest of the roster was inconsistent. If Indiana’s defense forces Minnesota into long possessions and poor looks, and the Hoosiers themselves control tempo with balanced scoring rather than a frantic pace, this game has a strong chance to stay below the 143.5 total.
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