Kansas State Wildcats vs Creighton Bluejays Prediction and Picks - December 13, 2025
Saturday afternoon Big 12 vs Big East college hoops action, and we have a Kansas State vs Creighton prediction ready to rock and roll. Kansas State enters this game off a 10-8-49 home win over Mississippi Valley State to move to 6-4 on the year. Creighton comes in at 5-4 on the year, and they are off a 71-50 loss to Nebraska on the road. These teams met wast back in 2019, and Kansas State won that game on the road by a score of 69-59. Continue reading to see our Kansas State vs Creighton prediction.
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Kansas State Crushes The Valley
Kansas State’s most recent game was a 108–49 win over Mississippi Valley State on December 8, where PJ Haggerty poured in 28 points on 11-of-14 shooting, and the Wildcats drilled 19 three-pointers as a team. It was the kind of bounce-back performance Jerome Tang’s group needed after dropping four straight, including a 78–67 loss to Seton Hall just two days earlier. Against MVSU, Kansas State shot nearly 58% from the field, forced 18 turnovers, and had 30 assists, showing off the offensive firepower that has made them one of the nation’s highest-scoring teams.
On the season, Kansas State averages 86.7 points per game while shooting 49% from the field and 40.2% from three. Haggerty leads the nation in scoring at 24 points per game, while David Castillo (12.9 ppg) and Nate Johnson (12.4 ppg, 5.6 rpg) provide steady secondary production. Abdi Bashir adds perimeter shooting at 12.3 points per game, and Khamari McGriff chips in 10.1 points with his length inside. The Wildcats have scored 90 or more points in five of their first ten games, a testament to their pace and efficiency.
Defensively, Kansas State allows 77.2 points per game and opponents shoot 43.4%, with teams hitting 31% from deep. They force nearly 14 turnovers per contest and rebound at a +3 margin, but foul trouble has been an issue with nearly 19 fouls per game. The Wildcats’ ability to control tempo and hit threes will be critical against Creighton, especially in a hostile road environment where they’ve struggled before.
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Bluejays Can't Hang With the Cornhuskers
Creighton’s most recent game was a 71–50 loss at Nebraska on December 7, where Austin Swartz was the lone Bluejay in double figures with 16 points. The Bluejays shot just 31% from the field and 24% from three, while Nebraska built a 15–2 lead in the opening minutes and never looked back. Creighton was outrebounded 39–35 and committed 12 turnovers, falling to 5–4 on the season. It was their fourth loss against a ranked opponent, underscoring the difficulty of their non-conference schedule.
Offensively, Creighton averages 74.4 points per game while shooting 44.7% from the field. Josh Dix leads the team with 11.7 points per game, while Blake Harper (9.8 ppg, 5.8 rpg) and Nik Graves (9.7 ppg, 3.6 apg) provide balance in the backcourt. Jasen Green and Owen Freeman add size and rebounding inside, while Swartz has emerged as a key scoring option off the bench. The Bluejays rely heavily on perimeter shooting, averaging over 29 three-point attempts per game, but inconsistency from deep has hurt them against stronger defenses.
Defensively, Creighton allows 71.4 points per game and opponents shoot 44.1%, with teams hitting 32.5% from three. They rebound well at 37 boards per game and commit just 13.7 fouls per contest, ranking among the nation’s most disciplined teams. However, they struggle to force turnovers, averaging only 9.7 per game, which limits their ability to generate easy points in transition. Against Kansas State’s high-octane offense, Creighton will need to control the pace, defend the arc, and lean on their home-court advantage to keep the Wildcats in check.
Kansas State vs Creighton Pick
Kansas State vs Creighton Spread Pick
- Kansas State +4 (4 Units)
Kansas State catching +4 feels like the right side given how explosive their offense has been and the way they bounced back in their most recent outing. On December 8, the Wildcats crushed Mississippi Valley State 108–49, with PJ Haggerty scoring 28 points and the team hitting 19 threes while dishing out 30 assists. Kansas State averages 86.7 points per game and shoots 49% from the field, with Haggerty leading the nation at 24 points per game. David Castillo and Nate Johnson provide steady secondary scoring, and the Wildcats’ ability to spread the floor makes them dangerous against any opponent. Even though they’ve had defensive lapses, their pace and perimeter shooting give them a chance to cover in Omaha.
Creighton, meanwhile, is coming off a 71–50 loss at Nebraska on December 7, where Austin Swartz scored 16 points but the Bluejays shot just 31% overall and 24% from three. Creighton averages 74.4 points per game but has struggled against ranked opponents, dropping four of their first nine games. Josh Dix and Blake Harper lead the offense, but the Bluejays rely heavily on perimeter shooting and don’t force many turnovers, averaging fewer than 10 per game. Against Kansas State’s high-octane attack, Creighton will need to control tempo and rebound effectively, but the Wildcats’ scoring punch and recent form make +4 an appealing number.
Kansas State vs Creighton Over/Under Pick
- Under 157.5 (5 Units)
The Under 157.5 looks like the sharper angle in Kansas State–Creighton given how both teams trend offensively and defensively. Kansas State’s most recent game was a 108–49 rout of Mississippi Valley State on December 8, but that was against one of the weakest defenses in the country; in tougher matchups like their 78–67 loss to Seton Hall, the Wildcats’ scoring pace slowed considerably. On the season, they average 86.7 points per game but also allow 77.2, with tempo often dictated by opponent quality. Creighton, meanwhile, is coming off a 71–50 loss at Nebraska on December 7, where they shot just 31% from the field and 24% from three. The Bluejays average 74.4 points per game and allow 71.4, leaning on perimeter shooting but struggling to generate turnovers. With both teams capable of scoring bursts but also prone to stretches of inefficiency, especially when defenses tighten, this matchup projects closer to the mid-140s, making the Under 157.5 a strong play.
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