Long Beach State Beach vs San José State Spartans Prediction and Picks - December 9, 2025
It's the Big West vs the MWC College Basketball action on Tuesday evening, and we have a Long Beach State vs San Jose State prediction ready to rock and roll. The Beach comes in off an 80-74 home loss to UC San Diego to fall to 2-8 on the season. San Jose State is off an 86-69 home win over San Diego to improve to 4-5. These teams met last season and the Spartans won that game at home by a score of 82-66. Continue reading to see our Long Beach State vs San Jose State prediction.
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The Beach Is Off To A Slow Start
Long Beach State’s most recent game was a 80–74 loss to UC San Diego on December 6, where freshman Gavin Sykes scored 20 points and senior guard Petar Majstorovic added 18, but the Beach couldn’t overcome a late surge by the Tritons. It was their second straight defeat, dropping them to 2–8 overall, and underscored the team’s struggles to finish games despite strong individual performances.
Offensively, Long Beach State averages 71.2 points per game, shooting 42.7% from the field and 31.4% from three. Sykes has been the breakout star, leading the team with 16.2 points per game, while Majstorovic provides balance inside with 13.1 points and 6.1 rebounds. Bender adds veteran scoring at nearly 10 points per game, but the team has lacked consistency from its supporting cast. Free‑throw shooting has been shaky at 68.6%, and turnovers (12.1 per game) have often stalled momentum.
Defensively, the Beach have struggled, allowing 77.1 points per game and opponents to shoot 48.6% from the field. They’ve been particularly vulnerable inside, giving up 55.4% on two‑point attempts, and their rebounding numbers (33.5 per game) leave them undersized against bigger frontcourts. While Sykes and Bender can keep them competitive offensively, the lack of defensive stops has been their undoing. Heading into San Jose, Long Beach State will need to tighten up defensively and find more balance if they want to avoid another road loss.
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Spartans Crush Toreros At Home
San Jose State’s most recent game was an 86–69 win over San Diego on December 5, where Colby Garland and Adrian Myers each scored 20 points, and Yaphet Moundi added 18 points with 12 rebounds. The Spartans shot 55% from the field and built a 52–34 halftime lead, cruising to their fourth win of the season. It was a strong bounce‑back after a loss to UC Irvine, and it showed how dangerous they can be when their offense clicks.
Offensively, San Jose State averages 73.6 points per game, shooting 45.2% from the field and 35.7% from three. Garland leads the team at 17.9 points per game, while Washington and Roseborough provide perimeter scoring. Moundi has been a force inside, averaging 11.7 points and 9.1 rebounds, and his double‑double against San Diego highlighted his importance. The Spartans also share the ball well, averaging 11.2 assists per game, and their free‑throw shooting sits at 68.6%, giving them steady production across the board.
Defensively, San Jose State allows 71.4 points per game and holds opponents to 44.6% shooting, with their rebounding edge (36.3 per game) helping them control possessions. They’ve been solid at limiting second‑chance opportunities, and their ability to contest threes has kept them competitive. The Spartans’ biggest strength is balance — Garland’s scoring, Moundi’s rebounding, and Myers’ spark off the bench give them multiple ways to win. Against Long Beach State, their defensive discipline and offensive efficiency should give them the upper hand, especially at home.
Long Beach State vs San Jose State Pick
Long Beach State vs San Jose State Spread Pick
- San Jose State -7.5 (4 Units)
San Jose State -7.5 looks like the right side given how much more consistent the Spartans have been compared to Long Beach State. The Spartans are coming off an 86–69 win over San Diego on December 5, where Colby Garland and Adrian Myers each scored 20 points and Yaphet Moundi added a double‑double with 18 points and 12 rebounds. They shot 55% from the field in that game and built a commanding halftime lead, showing how dangerous they can be when their offense is clicking. For the season, San Jose State averages 73.6 points per game while shooting 45.2% from the field and 35.7% from three, with Garland leading the way at nearly 18 points per game. Their balance across the roster and ability to rebound (36.3 per game) give them the tools to control tempo and wear down opponents.
Long Beach State, meanwhile, has struggled to stay competitive, dropping a 80–74 game to UC San Diego on December 6 despite Gavin Sykes scoring 22 points. The Beach average just 71.2 points per game and allow opponents to score 77.1 per game on nearly 49% shooting, one of the worst defensive marks in the country. They’ve been particularly vulnerable inside, giving up 55.4% on two‑point attempts, and their rebounding numbers (33.5 per game) leave them undersized against bigger frontcourts. While Sykes and Petar Majstorovic can provide scoring bursts, the lack of defensive stops and turnover issues (12.1 per game) make it difficult for them to hang around against stronger teams. With San Jose State’s efficiency and rebounding edge, laying -7.5 is backed by both the numbers and the recent form.
Long Beach State vs San Jose State Over/Under Pick
- Over 142.5 (5 Units)
The Over 142.5 looks appealing in Long Beach State–San Jose State because both teams have shown they can score but struggle to consistently defend. The Spartans just beat San Diego 86–69 on December 5, shooting 55% from the field and getting 20‑point nights from both Colby Garland and Adrian Myers, while Long Beach State put up 74 points in a loss to UC San Diego on December 6 behind Gavin Sykes’ 22. For the season, San Jose State averages 73.6 points per game and shoots 35.7% from three, while Long Beach State averages 71.2 points per game but allows opponents to score 77.1 per game on nearly 49% shooting. With both sides capable of pushing tempo and neither defense ranking inside the top 100 nationally, the matchup sets up for a game where scoring runs come quickly and the total climbs past 142.5.
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