Long Beach State vs. San Diego State Picks and Prediction, Tuesday, November 4, 2025
Use Code SSWC In the season-opening game for both teams, San Diego State plays host to Long Beach State. Long Beach State looks to get over a bad last season, where they were 7-25 and finished in second-to-last place in the Big West, while San Diego State won 21 games last season and made the NCAA Tournament. In this detailed Long Beach State vs. San Diego State prediction, you can get the full score info and matchup for this non-conference season-opening game.
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A Whole New Team for Long Beach State
Chris Acker had a tough first season as the head coach for Long Beach State, and he has a whole new team, as the 49ers only return one player. The one player back is 6’10” Derrick Michael Xzavierro, who started 21 games last season and averaged 5.2 ppg and 6.8 rpg. Long Beach State has seven transfers from Division 1 schools, four incoming freshmen, and three transfers from non-D1 schools. The 49ers last faced San Diego State tw seasons back, losing by 12 points on the road.
One player for LBSU that will be familiar with the Aztecs is Shay Johnson Jr., who spent three seasons at SDSU. While appearing in 40 games, he only averaged 0.8 ppg and 0.8 rpg. Two of the better transfers on the 49ers is the guard duo of Saquil Bender, who averaged 11.2 ppg for Manhattan last season, and Isaiah Lewis, who averaged 9.4 ppg for Little Rock last season. While the 49ers brought in some proven guards, the frontcourt could be thin after Xzavierro. One player that the team may count on to help is 6’8” Syracuse transfer Petar Majstorovic, who averaged 2.6 ppg and 3.2 rpg last season. Six of Long Beach State’s seven wins last season came on the road.
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One Last Mountain West Conference Hoorah for San Diego State
San Diego State is the favorite to win the Mountain West Conference this season, and they seek their last conference title, moving to the new-look Pac-12 next season. Last season, they were upset in the quarterfinals of the MWC tournament and lost in the Big Dance First Four game.
While leading scorer Nick Boyd transferred to Wisconsin, the Aztecs return some key players. Miles Byrd returns and was the second leading scorer last season, averaging 12.3 ppg but only shot 38.1% from the floor. 7’ Magoon Gwatch returns, and the FW averaged 8.5 ppg and 5.2 rpg last season and BJ Davis is back in the fold average averaging 9 ppg last season. The team also got some solid players from the transfer portal, including guards Lattrell Davis, who averaged 11.1 ppg for San Jose State, and Sean Newman Jr., who averaged 9.9 ppg for Louisiana Tech. The frontcourt got some help in the transfer Jeremiah Oden (7.6 ppg), who was at DePaul last season, and junior Miles Heide looks to make more of an impact this season after averaging 4.1 ppg for the Aztecs last season. Last season, SDSU ranked 18th in the nation in points against per game and Brian Dutcher’s squad should be one of the better defensive teams this season.
Long Beach State vs. San Diego State Pick
Spread Pick Long Beach State vs. San Diego State
- San Diego State (+4 Units)
Last season, San Diego State won 21 games and made it to the Big Dance, while Long Beach State finished with only seven wins. The 49ers hit the transfer portal hard and had to, as they only return one player. While SDSU also picked up some transfers, it also returns some key players, including their second-leading scorer from last season. While the Aztecs are the betting favorites to win the MWC, Long Beach State has been picked to be near the bottom of the Big West again. In terms of the Long Beach State vs. San Diego State prediction, the Aztecs have more key players back and will be a strong defensive team again, and they will handle the 49ers in their house, winning and covering the spread.
Over/Under Pick for Long Beach State vs. San Diego State
- Under (+4 Units)
I am leaning towards the Under in this game, and not hard to see why. While San Diego State was one of the best defensive teams in the nation last season, they were not a high-scoring team. They only had two players who averaged in double figures, and one of them transferred. Their defense will shine again this season and they will keep the 49ers to a low score, as they are playing with a whole new team. The Aztecs picked up some solid transfers but no big-time scorers. They will also not put up a high total, as they are a slow-paced half-court team. This opener will be a low-scoring game, so the Under is the pick.
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