Memphis Tigers vs Purdue Boilermakers Prediction and Picks - November 20, 2025
Thursday evening on the college hardwood, and we have a Memphis vs Purdue prediction ready to rock and roll. This is a part of the Baha Mar Championship from the Bahamas. Memphis enters this contest at 1-2 on the year and off a 92-78 home loss to UNLV. Purdue enters this contest at 4-0 in the year and off a 97-79 home win over Akron. Continue reading to see our Memphis vs Purdue prediction.
Need a buzzer-beater? Our College Basketball Picks are game winners!
Memphis Loses Big To UNLV
Memphis comes into this matchup after a 92–78 home loss to UNLV on November 16, where turnovers and poor shooting doomed them despite a late rally. Julius Thedford led the Tigers with 16 points and six rebounds, while Curtis Givens III added 10 points, but Dug McDaniel struggled badly, going 1-for-10 from the floor with six turnovers. The Tigers shot just 42.4% overall and 23.5% from three, committing 18 turnovers that directly led to 30 Rebel points. A late 18–5 run cut the deficit to single digits, but UNLV answered with a timely three to seal the win, snapping Memphis’ 11-game home streak.
Offensively, Memphis averages 77 points per game but ranks near the bottom nationally in efficiency, shooting 42.7% from the field and 32.3% from deep. McDaniel has been the primary playmaker, averaging 10.7 points and 5.7 assists, while Sam Parker provides consistent scoring at 11.3 points per game on 51.9% shooting. Quion Berry adds another perimeter threat at 9.3 points per game, and Givens contributes both scoring and defensive pressure with 2.3 steals per game. Still, rebounding remains a glaring weakness — just 29.7 boards per game, ranking 330th nationally — and their free throw shooting at 68.4% has limited their ability to close out tight contests.
Defensively, the Tigers have struggled, allowing 82 points per game and ranking 313th in opponent FG%. While their guards generate steals and force turnovers, they lack consistent rim protection and interior presence. T. Sylla and S. Majok provide size but haven’t been dominant in controlling the paint, leaving Memphis vulnerable against physical frontcourts. Against Purdue, the Tigers must limit turnovers, stay disciplined defensively, and find ways to compete on the glass to avoid being overwhelmed by the Boilermakers’ size and efficiency.
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rob Vincilleti | +901.00 |
| 2 |  Marc David | +500.00 |
| 3 |  Pro Sports Picks | +360.00 |
| 4 |  Will Rogers | +200.00 |
| 5 |  David Delano | +200.00 |
Sign Up for StatSalt News Alerts, Get Free Picks and Discounts
Subscribe Now
Purdue Routs Akron At Home
Purdue comes into this matchup after a 97–79 win over Akron on November 16, where their balance of size and guard play was on full display. Trey Kaufman‑Renn led the way with 17 points and 15 rebounds, while Braden Smith added 16 points and 10 assists despite some turnover issues. Fletcher Loyer chipped in 16 points, and Owen Cluff was dominant inside with 14 points and 14 boards. The Boilermakers shot 52% from the field, 39% from three, and 78% from the line, controlling the glass 43–29 and spreading production across the roster.
Offensively, Purdue has been one of the most efficient teams in the country, averaging 88.3 points per game while shooting 48.5% overall and 40.7% from deep. Kaufman‑Renn continues to be a force in the paint, while Smith and Loyer form a lethal backcourt duo combining perimeter shooting with playmaking. Cluff’s double‑double presence adds another layer of interior dominance, and O. Mayer’s 14 points against Akron showed the depth of scoring options. With multiple players capable of carrying the offense, Purdue’s versatility makes them extremely difficult to defend.
Defensively, the Boilermakers held Akron to 42% shooting and forced 12 turnovers, showcasing their ability to contest shots and control tempo. They’ve limited opponents to 71.8 points per game on just 39.1% shooting this season, ranking among the nation’s best in efficiency. While Smith’s turnovers remain a concern, Purdue’s rebounding margin and rim protection (six blocks against Akron) give them a clear edge inside. Against Memphis, their ability to dominate the boards and force low‑percentage looks should tilt the matchup heavily in their favor, especially if their shooters stay hot from deep.
Memphis vs Purdue Pick
Memphis vs Purdue Spread Pick
- Purdue -15 (2 Units)
Purdue enters this matchup with a significant edge in both talent and structure, particularly in the frontcourt where their size and physicality often overwhelm opponents. The Boilermakers’ efficient half-court offense, anchored by strong interior scoring and reliable perimeter shooting, makes them difficult to contain over 40 minutes. Memphis has struggled against disciplined teams that limit transition opportunities, and Purdue’s ability to control tempo and dominate the boards should prevent the Tigers from finding rhythm. With Purdue’s depth and execution, they are well-positioned to build separation early and maintain it throughout.
Defensively, Purdue’s disciplined rotations and rim protection will be key in neutralizing Memphis’ athleticism. The Tigers have shown inconsistency in half-court sets, and against a team that forces contested shots and limits second-chance opportunities, their scoring outlook is muted. Purdue’s ability to dictate pace and grind possessions down plays directly into their strength, while Memphis’ lack of efficiency makes it difficult to keep the game close. With the Boilermakers’ superior structure and matchup advantages, laying the -15 looks like the sharper side in this contest.
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rob Vincilleti | +1,502.00 |
| 2 | Pro Sports Picks | +1,421.00 |
| 3 |  Brick Haus Sports | +634.00 |
| 4 | David Delano | +492.00 |
| 5 |  Michael Briggs | +355.00 |
Memphis vs Purdue Over/Under Pick
- Over 159 (1 Unit)
This matchup has the makings of a high-scoring affair, as Purdue’s efficient offense and Memphis’ athletic pace should combine for plenty of possessions. The Boilermakers’ ability to score inside and stretch defenses with perimeter shooting makes them difficult to contain, while Memphis thrives in transition and can push tempo even against disciplined opponents. With Purdue likely to control the glass and generate second-chance points, and Memphis capable of creating spurts through fast breaks, both teams should find consistent scoring opportunities. Given the expected pace and offensive firepower on both sides, the total projects to clear the 159 line, making the over the sharper play.
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
Bet $5 & Get $150
