Notre Dame vs. Kansas, Preview, Odds, Prediction and Picks, Monday, Nov. 24, 2025
We kick off the new week in Vegas for the Players Era Men’s Championship and we’re making sure you are ready to roll with our Notre Dame vs. Kansas predictions for Monday afternoon. The Fighting Irish (4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS) escaped an upset versus Bellarmine on Wednesday, winning 86-79 as -23.5 favorites at home. The No. 24 Jayhawks (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS) lost to No. 5 Duke on Monday, 78-66, as +11 underdogs. Tipoff from MGM Grand Garden Arena is scheduled for 3:30 EST and be sure to try all of our College Basketball Betting Picks.
Notre Dame nearly unblemished
The Fighting Irish are a field goal away from being an unbeaten team. They were able to follow up their loss against Ohio State by beating an upstart Bellarmine side that nearly came back from a 22-point deficit. Markus Burton scored a season-high 25 points in the win last Wednesday, shooting 10-13 from the field. The junior guard is shooting 47.8% and scoring 19.4 points a night to lead a Notre Dame offense that is averaging 82.6 points per game. The team as a whole is shooting 50.7% from the field with 9.4 threes per game. Three players on the club are scoring in double digits and freshman Jalen Haralson, who is scoring 12.5 a night, is dishing out a team-best 2.8 assists per game.
The Notre Dame scoring defense is giving up 67.6 points per game, ninth among ACC teams, and opponents are shooting 41.9% from the field against them. They’ve been forcing 12.4 turnovers from foes, on average, and the Irish are good for 5.6 steals and 1.2 blocks per game. Down low, they have snatched an average of 39.2 rebounds per game, and they have a +12.6-rebound advantage in their favor. Carson Towt ranks fourth in the country with an average of 12.6 rebounds per game, complemented by 2.6 assists and 7.6 points a night. The senior forward has two double-doubles in five games played.
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Team notes
- Braeden Shrewsbury was 12-21 from three-point range in his last three games.
- Cole Certa is a clean 10-10 from the free throw line this season.
- Haralson averaged 15.3 points over his last three games.
- Tied for 41st in the country with an average of 46.4 points per game in the second half.
- The Irish rank 206th with a 1.03 assist-to-turnover ratio.
Kansas fails early tests
Coming into the season ranked 19th, the Jayhawks, as always, have a stacked deck working against them early. Thus far, their two losses have come against ranked opponents while they’ve rolled three cupcakes. The offense versus Duke scored just 33 points in each half and shot just 43% from the field. On the year, the Jayhawks average 77.4 points per game, 12th among Big 12 teams, and they are shooting 49.1% from the field with 7.8 threes per game. Tre White had a team-high 22 points against Duke and averaged 20 points in his last two games after putting up 10 a night over his first three. The senior guard is shooting 58.2% from the field this season and is third on Kansas with 14 points per game. Top freshman Darryn Peterson, who averaged 21.5 points in the first two games, has missed the team’s last three games with a hamstring strain and will be out in Vegas.
The Kansas defense allowed Duke to shoot 47% against them but on the year, they are holding teams to 38.4% from the field and 63.8 points per game, the sixth-best mark among Big 12 defenses. They’ve only forced 10.4 turnovers from teams each night and they average 6.2 steals and 6.4 blocks per game. On the glass, the Jayhawks are grabbing 37.6 rebounds per game, led by Flory Bidunga, who is averaging 7.4 boards a night. The sophomore forward is also the team’s leading active scorer with 16.4 points and his 2.2 blocks per game rank third in the Big 12.
Team notes
- Bidunga leads the Big 12, shooting 75% from three-point range (36-48).
- White is tied for ninth in the Big 12 with 23 free throws made.
- Freshman Bryson Tiller has fouled out in two of his first five games.
- Slow to start, the Jayhawks average 38.6 points in the first quarter, 99th overall.
- The team’s 1.39 assist-to-turnover ratio ranks 87th.
Notre Dame vs. Kansas Picks
Spread Pick for Notre Dame vs. Kansas
- Notre Dame +6.5 (5 units)
Notre Dame owns a 9-2 SU advantage in the head-to-head series through the years. The last meeting between these two came back in 1988, a game the Irish won by four. The Jayhawks have had their troubles with power conference opponents thus far, while the Irish have faced just one such opponent and lost by just a point. This is a neutral site location, so that plays in Notre Dame’s hands more than the opposite. The Fighting Irish have a good balance at both ends of the floor. They may not “wow” you on a nightly basis, but they can get the job done if all facets of their game are running in harmony. With Burton leading the offensive charge, they should be able to stay in check with Kansas. Towt will make things hard on the Jayhawks down low, and control of the glass should be a key element here.
Take the Fighting Irish getting the points.
Over/Under Pick for Notre Dame vs. Kansas
- Under 142.5 (5 units)
While both sides have been able to put up decent numbers versus early mid-major opponents, neither side has done particularly well versus power schools. Kansas averaged just 70 points in their two games against ACC opponents and Notre Dame scored just 63 against a Big Ten team. Neither side pushes the pace too much either, leaning more on their defense than anything. Kansas ranks 230th in tempo, per KenPom, and Notre Dame ranks 309th overall. The Jayhawks scored 77 points or fewer in each of their last four games. The Irish put up 78 or fewer in two of their last three. Between the two teams, the under is 6-4 this season.
Take the under.
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