Oregon Ducks vs Indiana Hoosiers Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Monday February 9 2026
Oregon vs Indiana picks close out Monday’s Big Ten slate, and this matchup lines up cleanly when I look at form, efficiency, and how these teams are built right now. Oregon has struggled to score consistently and is trying to stop a long losing streak, while Indiana comes home off an emotional overtime win and has been far more reliable on both ends. That gap is why this game stands out on my college basketball picks card.
TLDR - Picks and Prediction
- Spread Pick: Indiana -10.5
- Total Pick: Over 142.5
- Projected Final Score: Indiana 80, Oregon 66
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Stats to Know and Betting Trends for Oregon vs Indiana
- Oregon enters this game 8-15 overall and 1-11 in Big Ten play.
- The Ducks are riding a nine-game losing streak.
- Indiana is 16-8 overall and 7-6 in conference play.
- The Hoosiers are coming off a 78-77 overtime win over Wisconsin.
- Indiana averages 81.1 points per game.
- Oregon averages 71.7 points per game.
- The current market has Indiana favored by double digits with a total around 142.5.
Odds and Line Movement
The market opened with Indiana as a double-digit favorite and has stayed there. The total has been steady in the low-to-mid 140s, reflecting Indiana’s scoring ability and Oregon’s defensive concerns on the road.
Current Odds
| Date | Time | Oregon | Indiana | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | 09:22:29AM | +10.5 -102 | -10.5 -120 | IND 86%, IND 90% |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Time | Oregon | Indiana | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | 03:36:37PM | +11.5 -102 | -11.5 -120 | |
| 02/08 | 03:37:47PM | +10.5 -102 | -10.5 -120 | |
| 02/08 | 03:40:40PM | +10.5 -102 | -10.5 -120 | |
| 02/08 | 06:55:43PM | +11.5 -110 | -11.5 -110 | IND 100%, IND 100% |
| 02/09 | 09:22:29AM | +10.5 -102 | -10.5 -120 | IND 86%, IND 90% |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | 03:36:37PM | 142.5 -115 | 142.5 -105 | |
| 02/08 | 03:40:40PM | 142.5 -115 | 142.5 -105 | |
| 02/09 | 07:33:42AM | 142.5 -115 | 142.5 -105 | OV 100%, OV 100% |
Oregon vs Indiana Game Preview and Analysis
Oregon and Indiana meet at Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall to close out the Big Ten slate, and the difference in current form is clear. Oregon comes in 8-15 overall and 1-11 in league play, trying to snap a nine-game losing streak.
Indiana sits at 16-8 overall and 7-6 in conference play and just pulled off a dramatic 78-77 overtime win against Wisconsin on February 7. That win followed a split West Coast trip, where the Hoosiers won in double overtime at UCLA and lost at USC.
From a matchup standpoint, Indiana’s offense is in a much better place. The Hoosiers are averaging 81.1 points per game and have been able to create efficient looks, especially at home.
Oregon has had the opposite issue. The Ducks are averaging 71.7 points per game and have struggled to generate easy offense, which becomes a bigger problem on the road against a disciplined home team.
Availability also matters here. Oregon has been without lead guard Jackson Shelstad long term, and depth has been tested with Devon Pryor and Ege Demir both uncertain. Nate Bittle gives Oregon a path to stay competitive inside, but the margin for error is thin.
Indiana has its own questions, with Tayton Conerway listed as questionable after an ankle scare that is now tagged as illness. Even so, the Hoosiers have leaned heavily on their main rotation and have been able to sustain offensive pressure.
With Indiana expected to win more possessions and Oregon’s short rotation creating risk for late-game breakdowns, the double-digit spread makes sense. Indiana’s free-throw edge and scoring ceiling also support a look toward the over.
ORE and IND Key Injuries and Notes
- Jackson Shelstad is out long term for Oregon.
- Devon Pryor is uncertain for Oregon.
- Ege Demir is uncertain for Oregon.
- Tayton Conerway is questionable for Indiana with illness.
- Jordan Rayford is out for the season for Indiana.
Final Score Prediction
I expect Indiana to control this game at home and gradually pull away as Oregon’s offense struggles to keep pace. The Ducks can have moments, but Indiana’s efficiency and ability to close possessions should decide it.
- Projected Final Score: Indiana 80, Oregon 66
ATS and Total Picks
- ATS Pick: Indiana -10.5
- Total Pick: Over 142.5
