Oregon Ducks vs UCLA Bruins Prediction and Picks - December 6, 2025
Use Code SSWC Big 10 CBB action on Saturday evening, and we have an Oregon vs UCLA prediction ready to rock and roll. Oregon comes in off a tough 82-77 home loss to USC, which dropped them to 4-4 on the year. It was their 4th loss in a row. UCLA is off an 82-80 road win over Washington, and they are now 6-2 on the year. UCLA won both meetings between these teams a year ago. Continue reading to see our Oregon vs UCLA prediction.
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Ducks Take Tough Home Loss To USC
Oregon’s most recent game was an 82–77 loss to USC on December 2, where Kwame Evans Jr. led the Ducks with 23 points and nine rebounds, while Nathan Bittle added 16 points. Jackson Shelstad chipped in 14 points and five assists, but Oregon couldn’t hold off the Trojans in the second half despite shooting 47% from the field and 43% from three. It was their fourth straight loss, dropping them to 4–4 overall and 0–1 in Big Ten play.
The Ducks have struggled to find consistency offensively, averaging 74.1 points per game while shooting just 41.1% from the field. Bittle has been their most reliable scorer at 16.3 points and 7.8 rebounds per game, while Shelstad provides playmaking with 5.1 assists per game. Evans adds balance with 12.6 points and 7.1 rebounds, but Oregon’s perimeter shooting has been shaky, hitting only 31.9% from three. Their offense often relies on individual shot‑making rather than fluid ball movement, and turnovers have been an issue at over 13 per game.
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Defensively, Oregon has allowed 75.6 points per game, giving up nearly 45% shooting to opponents. They rebound well at 38.5 boards per game, but their inability to consistently defend the paint has hurt them against bigger frontcourts. The Ducks have talent across the roster, but their lack of cohesion has shown in close games. Heading into Pauley Pavilion, Oregon faces a tough challenge against a UCLA team that thrives at home, and they’ll need a sharper defensive effort to avoid a fifth straight loss.
Bruins Take Close One Against The Huskies
UCLA’s most recent game was an 82–80 win over Washington on December 3, where Skyy Clark hit six three‑pointers and scored 25 points, while Tyler Bilodeau added 21, including 20 in the second half. Donovan Dent dished out eight assists, and the Bruins held off a late Huskies rally to secure their Big Ten opener. The win pushed UCLA to 6–2 overall and 1–0 in conference play.
The Bruins have been efficient offensively, averaging 77.6 points per game while shooting 48.6% from the field. Bilodeau has been their most consistent scorer at 15.8 points per game, while Clark provides perimeter shooting and Dent runs the offense with 6.9 assists per game. Xavier Booker and Eric Dailey add frontcourt depth, and UCLA’s ability to spread the floor with multiple scoring options makes them difficult to defend. Their ball movement has been strong, averaging nearly 17 assists per game, and they’ve shown the ability to close out tight contests thanks to veteran guard play.
Defensively, UCLA has held opponents to just 65.3 points per game, limiting teams to 41.7% shooting. Jamar Brown has been a steady rebounder, and Booker’s length inside gives them rim protection. The Bruins also force turnovers effectively, averaging nearly seven steals per game, and their defensive rotations have kept opponents from finding rhythm. At Pauley Pavilion, where they are unbeaten this season, UCLA’s combination of efficient offense and disciplined defense makes them a tough matchup for Oregon. With Clark and Bilodeau in form, the Bruins enter this rivalry tilt with momentum and confidence.
Oregon vs UCLA Pick
Oregon vs UCLA Spread Pick
- Oregon +10.5 (4 Units)
Oregon +10.5 has value because the Ducks have enough scoring balance and size to keep this matchup competitive even on the road. Nathan Bittle has been their most reliable option at 16.3 points and 7.8 rebounds per game, and Kwame Evans Jr. adds versatility with 12.6 points and 7.1 boards. Jackson Shelstad provides steady playmaking with over five assists per game, and when Oregon’s perimeter shooting clicks — they average 8.3 made threes per game — they can hang with stronger opponents. Despite their recent struggles, the Ducks rebound well at nearly 39 boards per game, which helps them generate second‑chance opportunities and limit extended runs from opponents. That kind of interior presence and balanced scoring gives them a chance to stay within the number.
Defensively, Oregon hasn’t been perfect, allowing 75.6 points per game, but they do force opponents into tough looks from deep, holding teams to just 32.4% from three. Against UCLA, that matters because the Bruins rely heavily on perimeter shooting from Skyy Clark and Tyler Bilodeau. If Oregon can contest those shots and lean on Bittle and Evans to control the paint, they can slow UCLA’s rhythm and keep the game closer than expected. With veteran pieces and a frontcourt that can match up physically, grabbing the points with Oregon makes sense, as their rebounding and defensive length should help them stay inside the 10.5‑point spread.
Oregon vs UCLA Over/Under Pick
- Under 144.5 (5 Units)
The Under 144.5 makes sense because both Oregon and UCLA lean on defense and slower stretches of half‑court basketball rather than constant pace. Oregon averages just 74.1 points per game and shoots only 41% from the field, while UCLA allows opponents only 65.3 points per game on 41.7% shooting. The Ducks have struggled with turnovers and inconsistent perimeter shooting, which often drags their scoring down, and UCLA’s disciplined rotations and rebounding limit second‑chance looks. With both teams preferring to grind possessions and neither showing explosive offensive efficiency, this matchup sets up well for a game that stays below the 144.5 total.
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