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Penn State Nittany Lions vs Washington Huskies Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Wednesday February 11 2026

By: Kyle Kargel Published 02/11/2026, 10:01 AM ET
Penn State vs Washington prediction

Penn State vs Washington picks center on a late-night Big Ten matchup in Seattle where the market is calling this a strong home spot for the Huskies. Washington is laying -12.5 with a total sitting at 153.5, and I am breaking this down the same way I approach all of my college basketball picks — by focusing on matchup edges, tempo, and efficiency gaps.

TLDR - Picks and Prediction

  • Spread Pick: Washington -12.5
  • Total Pick: Under 153.5
  • Projected Final Score: Washington 82, Penn State 67

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  • Washington is 12-12 overall and 4-9 in Big Ten play.
  • Penn State is 10-14 overall and 1-12 in conference play.
  • Washington is 8-4 at home this season.
  • Penn State is 1-6 on the road and has lost seven straight road games.
  • Washington averages 77.9 points per game and allows 73.5.
  • Penn State averages 76.1 points per game but allows 79.6.
  • The total has moved from 154.5 down to 153.5.

Odds and Line Movement

Current Odds

Market Penn State Washington
Spread +12.5 (-110) -12.5 (-110)
Total Over 153.5 (-115) Under 153.5 (-105)

Line Movement - Spread

Date Time Penn State Washington Public (Money, Tickets)
02/10 03:09:09PM +12.5 (-110) -12.5 (-110)

Line Movement - Total

Date Time Over Under Public (Money, Tickets)
02/11 09:44:41AM 153.5 (-115) 153.5 (-105) UN 98%, OV 50%
02/11 09:44:28AM 154.5 (-108) 154.5 (-112) UN 98%, OV 50%
02/11 09:44:01AM 153.5 (-115) 153.5 (-105) UN 98%, OV 50%
02/10 03:09:09PM 154.5 (-115) 154.5 (-105)

Penn State vs Washington Game Preview and Analysis

Washington

Washington comes in at 12-12 overall and 4-9 in the Big Ten, but the Huskies have been much stronger at home. They are 8-4 in Alaska Airlines Arena, and that home edge matters in a double-digit spread.

The Huskies average 77.9 points per game and allow 73.5. The key difference in this matchup is rebounding and defense. Hannes Steinbach leads the way with 17.5 points and 11.2 rebounds per game. If he controls the glass, Washington can create second-chance points and wear down Penn State inside.

Zoom Diallo and Wesley Yates III provide perimeter scoring and playmaking. If they get out in transition, this game can get away from Penn State quickly.

Penn State

Penn State is 10-14 overall and just 1-12 in conference play. The Nittany Lions have struggled away from home, going 1-6 on the road and losing seven straight road games.

They score 76.1 points per game, but the defense gives up 79.6. That margin makes it hard to stay competitive against a team that rebounds well and protects home court.

Freddie Dilione V leads Penn State with 14.5 points per game, while Kayden Mingo adds 13.4 points and 4.4 assists. For Penn State to stay within this number, they must slow the tempo and avoid live-ball turnovers.

PSU and WASH Key Injuries and Notes

  • Eli Rice is questionable for Penn State.
  • Saša Ciani is questionable with an ankle issue.
  • Tibor Mirtic is questionable with a leg injury.
  • Desmond Claude is questionable for Washington.
  • Jalen Mandaquit is questionable for Washington.
  • Mamadou Traore is out for the season for Washington.

Final Score Prediction

  • Projected Final Score: Washington 82, Penn State 67

ATS and Total Picks

  • ATS Pick: Washington -12.5
  • Total Pick: Under 153.5
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