Texas A&M Aggies vs Florida State Seminoles Prediction and Picks - November 28, 2025
It's the SEC vs the ACC in college hoops action on Friday evening, and we have a Texas A&M vs Florida State Prediction ready to roll for you. This is part of the Battle Of The Bay, which will be played in Tampa, Florida. The Aggies enter this game off a 120-84 destruction of Mississippi Valley State to move to 5-2 on the year. The Seminoles are now 5-1 on the year after an 89-59 home win over Cal-State Bakersfield. These teams last met back in 2011 and Texas A&M won that game by a score of 57-50. Continue reading to see our Texas A&M vs Florida State prediction.
Need a buzzer-beater? Our College Basketball Picks are game winners!
Aggies Easily Top Mississippi Valley State
Texas A&M rolled past Mississippi Valley State on November 25, winning 120-84 in College Station. Forward Mackenzie Mgbako led the way with 19 points, while Jalen Vinson added six rebounds and Jace Lane chipped in five assists. The Aggies shot 50% from the field and buried 16 three-pointers, showcasing the offensive firepower that has carried them to a 5-2 start. It was their third straight win, and the kind of performance that highlighted their depth across the roster.
The Aggies’ offense has been explosive, averaging 93.6 points per game while shooting 47.9% from the field. Guard Ruben Dominguez has been the headline scorer, putting up 14.9 points per game and shooting nearly 47% from three, while Marcus Hill adds balance with 12.3 points per game. Texas A&M’s perimeter shooting has been a major weapon, with multiple guards capable of stretching defenses. Their free-throw shooting at 76.8% also gives them reliability in close games, though rebounding has been a weakness at just 31 boards per game (308th nationally).
Defensively, the Aggies have been vulnerable, allowing 77.7 points per game and opponents shooting 48.4%. Their biggest issue has been defending the three-point line, where opponents are hitting at a 42% clip, ranking near the bottom nationally. Still, they’ve shown the ability to generate turnovers, with guards like Josh Holloway and Rylan Griffen combining for strong steal numbers. Against Florida State, the Aggies will need to tighten perimeter defense and avoid giving up second-chance opportunities if they want to keep pace.
Sign Up for StatSalt News Alerts, Get Free Picks and Discounts
Subscribe Now
Seminoles Crush CS Bakersfield At Home
Florida State earned a convincing 89-59 win over Cal State Bakersfield on November 25, shooting 45% from the floor and forcing 17 turnovers to control the game from start to finish. Chauncey Wiggins led the way with 17 points, Robert McCray added 14, and Alex Steen posted a double-double with 13 points and 10 rebounds. The Seminoles’ defensive pressure and balanced scoring quickly overwhelmed Bakersfield, and the win pushed them to 5-1 on the season heading into this matchup with Texas A&M.
Beyond the boxscore, what stood out most was Florida State’s ability to spread production across the roster. Martin Somerville knocked down four threes en route to 14 points, while McCray continued to show his value as a facilitator despite committing seven turnovers. Lajae Jones had a quieter scoring night with just five points, but his six rebounds and two blocks highlighted the kind of versatility he brings. The Seminoles also converted 23 of 29 free throws, an impressive 79% clip that gave them a cushion whenever Bakersfield tried to mount a run. That kind of efficiency at the line is a weapon in close games, and it reflects the poise of a team that doesn’t waste opportunities.
Defensively, Florida State’s length and athleticism were the difference. Steen controlled the glass, pulling down 10 boards, while McCray and Somerville combined for five steals to disrupt Bakersfield’s rhythm. The Seminoles held their opponent to just 25% from three-point range, closing out shooters and forcing them into contested looks. That defensive discipline has been a hallmark of their early-season success, and it will be critical against Texas A&M’s perimeter-heavy attack. Florida State has shown they can dictate tempo by turning defense into offense, and if they replicate that intensity, they’ll be in position to neutralize the Aggies’ scoring depth and control the flow of the game.
Texas A&M vs Florida State Pick
Texas A&M vs Florida State Spread Pick
- Texas A&M +1.5 (4 Units)
Backing Texas A&M +1.5 has real appeal because of the Aggies’ offensive firepower and the way they can stretch defenses. They’re averaging nearly 94 points per game while shooting close to 48% from the field, and their perimeter attack has been sharp with a 37% clip from three. Guards like Ruben Dominguez and Marcus Hill give them multiple scoring options, while Josh Holloway adds playmaking and defensive pressure. Florida State has been strong defensively, but the Aggies’ ability to spread the floor and knock down shots from different spots makes them a tough matchup, especially in a neutral-site setting where pace can swing quickly.
Defensively, Texas A&M has its flaws, but this line gives them room to lean on their strengths. Florida State thrives on forcing turnovers, yet the Aggies have shown they can withstand pressure by moving the ball and creating open looks. Their free-throw shooting at 76.8% is another edge in a close contest, as it allows them to convert late opportunities and protect a narrow lead. With Florida State’s offense more balanced than explosive, the Aggies’ scoring depth and efficiency give them a strong chance to cover the +1.5, even if the game turns into a back-and-forth battle.
Texas A&M vs Florida State Over/Under Pick
- Over 168.5 (4 Units)
The Over 168.5 feels like the right angle because both Texas A&M and Florida State thrive in uptempo, high-scoring environments. The Aggies are averaging nearly 94 points per game with a 37% mark from three, while the Seminoles sit just behind at 93 points per game and have multiple guards capable of pushing pace and creating turnovers that lead to easy buckets. Neither team is particularly strong defensively — A&M allows almost 78 points per game, and Florida State’s pressure sometimes leaves them vulnerable in transition — which sets the stage for a track meet. With both sides comfortable playing fast and deep rotations keeping the tempo high, this matchup has all the ingredients to clear the total.
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
Bet $5 & Get $150
