Texas Longhorns vs UConn Huskies Prediction and Picks - December 12, 2025
Friday evening college hoops action, and we have a Texas vs UConn prediction ready to rock and roll. Texas enters this game off a 95-69 home win over Southern to move to 7-3 on the year. UConn comes in at 9-1 on the year and they are off a 77-73 win over Florida. The Huskies have won three in a row and 50 of the last six in this series. Continue reading to see our Texas vs UConn prediction.
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Longhorns Crush Southern U.
Texas’ most recent game was a 95–69 win over Southern on December 8, where Matas Vokietaitis exploded for a career-high 28 points while hitting all 14 of his free throws. Jordan Pope added 18 points, and Simeon Wilcher chipped in 14, as the Longhorns shot nearly 57% from the field and controlled the game from start to finish. It was a bounce-back performance after a tough loss to Virginia, and it showed how dangerous this team can be when their frontcourt and guards are both clicking.
The Longhorns have been one of the most efficient offensive teams in the country, averaging 89.1 points per game (25th nationally) while shooting 50.6% from the field (28th). Vokietaitis has been a force inside, averaging 15.9 points and 6.6 rebounds, while Dailyn Swain provides versatility with 15.7 points, 6.9 boards, and 3.5 assists per game. Pope has been steady in the backcourt, scoring 12.5 per game, and the team’s depth allows them to push the pace and attack from multiple angles. Texas also rebounds at a high level, pulling down 42.4 boards per game (20th nationally), which helps them control tempo.
Defensively, Texas has been more inconsistent, allowing 73.2 points per game (183rd nationally) and committing nearly 20 fouls per game (311th). They’ve struggled at times to defend without fouling, which was evident against Southern when they racked up 23 fouls. Still, their length and athleticism give them the tools to disrupt opponents, and when they stay disciplined, they can be tough to score against. Facing UConn’s balanced attack, the Longhorns will need to tighten up defensively to keep this game close.
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Huskies Squeak By Florida
UConn’s most recent game was a 77–73 win over Florida on December 9 in the Jimmy V Classic, where Solo Ball scored 19 points and Alex Karaban added 13. Tarris Reed Jr. returned from injury to contribute 12 points and five rebounds, while Malachi Smith dished out nine assists. The Huskies shot 50% from the field and held off a late Gators rally, securing their fifth straight win and another victory over a ranked opponent.
The Huskies have been excellent on both ends, averaging 79.8 points per game while shooting 49.2% from the field (49th nationally). Ball leads the team with 15 points per game, Karaban adds 13.4, and Reed provides a strong interior presence with 14.8 points and 7.6 rebounds. Silas Demary Jr. has been a steady playmaker, averaging 5.1 assists per game, and freshman Eric Reibe has added size and rim protection. UConn’s offense thrives on ball movement, with 17.9 assists per game (38th nationally), and they’ve shown the ability to score efficiently against top competition.
Defensively, UConn has been elite, allowing just 61.7 points per game (10th nationally) and holding opponents to 38% shooting (21st). They’ve been particularly strong at defending the three, limiting opponents to 26.8% from deep (17th nationally). Reed’s return bolsters their interior defense, and Karaban’s versatility allows them to switch effectively. Against Texas, UConn’s ability to slow down Vokietaitis and Swain will be critical, and their defensive discipline gives them a strong edge heading into this matchup.
Texas vs UConn Pick
Texas vs UConn Spread Pick
- Texas +16.5 (4 Units)
Texas looks like a strong play catching +16.5, especially given how explosive their offense has been. Their most recent game was a 95–69 win over Southern on December 8, where Matas Vokietaitis dominated with 28 points and Jordan Pope added 18. The Longhorns shot nearly 57% from the field and controlled the boards, showing off the balance that has made them dangerous all season. Texas averages 89.1 points per game (25th nationally) and shoots over 50% from the field, with Vokietaitis and Dailyn Swain leading a frontcourt that can score inside and rebound at a high level. Even against UConn’s elite defense, Texas has the offensive firepower to keep this game competitive.
UConn, meanwhile, is coming off a 77–73 win over Florida on December 9, where Solo Ball scored 19 points and Alex Karaban added 13. The Huskies are elite defensively, allowing just 61.7 points per game (10th nationally), but Texas’ pace and depth give them a chance to push UConn out of its comfort zone. The Longhorns rebound at a top‑20 national rate (42.4 boards per game) and have multiple scoring options that can stretch the floor. With their ability to score in bunches and stay aggressive on the glass, Texas looks well-positioned to cover the +16.5 spread, even if UConn ultimately grinds out the win.
Texas vs UConn Over/Under Pick
- Under 145.5 (5 Units)
The Under 145.5 makes a lot of sense in Texas–UConn given the way both teams play. UConn is coming off a 77–73 win over Florida on December 9, where their defense once again showed why it’s one of the best in the country, holding the Gators under 45% shooting. The Huskies allow just 61.7 points per game (10th nationally) and rank 322nd in pace, meaning they slow games down and force opponents into half-court battles. Texas, meanwhile, is coming off a 95–69 win over Southern on December 8, but despite their offensive efficiency, the Longhorns sit at 187th in pace, which also leans toward a slower tempo. With both teams preferring deliberate possessions and UConn’s ability to lock down defensively, this matchup sets up well for a grind that favors the Under 145.5.
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