Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Purdue Boilermakers Prediction and Picks - November 21, 2025
Use Code SSWC Friday evening on the college hardwood, and we have a Texas Tech vs Purdue prediction ready to rock and roll. This is the Title game of the Baha Mar Championship from the Bahamas. Texas Tech took out Wake Forest last night by a score of 84-83 to move to 4-1 on the year. Purdue comes in off an 80-71 win over Memphis last night and they are now at 5-0 on the year. Continue reading to see our Texas Tech vs Purdue prediction.
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Texas Tech Squeaks By Wake Forest
Texas Tech improved to 4-1 after a thrilling 84-83 win over Wake Forest last night at the Baha Mar Championship in Nassau. JT Toppin led the way with 21 points, nine rebounds, and four assists, while Christian Anderson added 16 points and eight assists. The Red Raiders hit clutch free throws in the final minute to secure the victory, setting up a marquee matchup with No. 1 Purdue in the tournament final.
The Red Raiders have leaned on Toppin, who is averaging 23.5 points and 11 rebounds per game, making him one of the most dominant forwards in the country. Anderson has been the floor general, dishing out 8.8 assists per game while scoring nearly 19 points. Darius Atwell has provided perimeter shooting, hitting 47.7% from three, and LeJuan Watts has added balance inside. Texas Tech’s offense averages 87.4 points per game and shoots 37.3% from deep, giving them multiple ways to attack defenses.
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Defensively, Texas Tech allows 72.8 points per game, ranking middle of the pack nationally. They’ve been solid at contesting shots, holding opponents to 42.8% from the field, and their rebounding numbers (38.6 per game) have kept them competitive. Against Purdue, the Red Raiders will need Toppin to control the paint and Anderson to limit turnovers while orchestrating the offense. If they can maintain their perimeter shooting and stay disciplined defensively, they’ll have a chance to knock off the nation’s top team.
Purdue Outlasts Memphis
Purdue stayed unbeaten at 5-0 after an 80-71 win over Memphis last night in the Bahamas. Fletcher Loyer came alive in the second half, scoring 20 points after a cold start, while CJ Cox added 18 points on 7-of-10 shooting. Trey Kaufman-Renn posted his third straight double-double with 12 points and 11 rebounds before fouling out late. The Boilermakers closed on a 21-5 run to put the game away, showcasing their depth and resilience.
The Boilermakers’ offense has been efficient, averaging 86.6 points per game while shooting 48% from the field and nearly 40% from three. Loyer leads the team with 17.6 points per game, while Braden Smith has been the playmaker, averaging nine assists per contest despite shooting struggles. Kaufman-Renn has been a force inside, averaging 16 points and 13.7 rebounds, and Oscar Cluff has added 11.4 points and 10.2 rebounds per game. Purdue’s balanced attack makes them difficult to defend, as they can score from the perimeter or dominate the glass.
Defensively, Purdue has been strong, allowing just 71.6 points per game and holding opponents to under 40% shooting. Their ability to contest shots and rebound effectively has been key, with Cluff and Kaufman-Renn anchoring the paint. The Boilermakers’ depth also allows them to withstand foul trouble, as seen against Memphis. Facing Texas Tech, Purdue will look to control tempo with Smith’s passing and rely on Loyer’s shooting to stretch the defense. If their frontcourt continues to dominate the boards, Purdue has the tools to remain unbeaten.
Texas Tech vs Purdue Pick
Texas Tech vs Purdue Spread Pick
- Purdue -4 (3 Units)
Purdue -4 looks like the right side because the Boilermakers have been steady and efficient on both ends of the floor. They’re averaging 86.6 points per game while shooting 48% from the field and nearly 40% from three, with Fletcher Loyer and Braden Smith orchestrating the offense. Trey Kaufman-Renn has been a force inside, averaging 16 points and 13.7 rebounds, and Oscar Cluff adds another double-double threat. That balance makes Purdue difficult to defend, and their ability to close games strong—as seen in the 21-5 run to finish off Memphis—shows they can cover spreads late.
Texas Tech has been impressive early, but their defense allows 72.8 points per game, and they’ll be tested against Purdue’s depth and shooting efficiency. JT Toppin is a star, but the Red Raiders lean heavily on him and Christian Anderson to generate offense, which can be tough against a disciplined defense that holds opponents under 40% shooting. Purdue’s size and rebounding edge should limit second-chance opportunities, while their perimeter shooting stretches Tech’s defense. With multiple scoring options and a proven ability to finish strong, Purdue -4 feels like the safer play in this matchup.
Texas Tech vs Purdue Over/Under Pick
- Under 156 (2 Units)
The Under 156 makes sense here because both Texas Tech and Purdue have shown they can grind games down with defense and rebounding. Purdue is holding opponents to just 71.6 points per game on 39.7% shooting, while Texas Tech allows 72.8 points per game and limits teams to 42.8% from the field. Both squads lean on their frontcourts—JT Toppin for Tech and Trey Kaufman-Renn plus Oscar Cluff for Purdue—which naturally slows tempo with half-court sets and physical play inside. Add in the fact that both teams played last night, which often leads to tired legs and less offensive efficiency, and this matchup profiles more as a defensive battle than a shootout, keeping the total under 156.
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