UNLV Rebels vs Boise State Broncos Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Friday February 13 2026
UNLV vs Boise State picks are the kind of Mountain West handicap I love, because both teams are trending toward high-scoring games and both have guards who can take over a night by themselves. I am breaking this matchup down the same way I do for my daily college basketball predictions, and the total movement tells you bettors are expecting fireworks again.
TLDR - Picks and Prediction
- Spread Pick: Boise State -9
- Total Pick: Over 156.5
- Projected Final Score: Boise State 87, UNLV 76
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Stats to Know and Betting Trends for UNLV vs Boise State
- Boise State has won six of its last seven games.
- Boise State survived New Mexico with a one-point win at the Pit last Saturday.
- Boise State is scoring 92 points per game across its last four wins.
- Dylan Andrews scored 33 points vs New Mexico last Saturday.
- Dylan Andrews scored 25 points in the previous game vs Nevada.
- Boise State lost to UNLV 89-85 in overtime at the Thomas and Mack on January 13.
- Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn scored 33 points vs Boise State in that overtime win.
- Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn has scored 24 or more in four straight games entering Friday night.
- Kimani Hamilton scored 23 points in Tuesday’s win over San Jose State.
- The over has hit in six of the last seven games for UNLV.
- The over has hit in nine straight games for Boise State.
Odds and Line Movement
Current Odds
| Market | UNLV | Boise State | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | +9 (-102) | -9 (-120) | |
| Total | Over 156.5 (-108) | Under 156.5 (-112) | OV 100%, OV 100% |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Time | UNLV | Boise State | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/12 | 02:36:07PM | +9 (-102) | -9 (-120) |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/12 | 02:36:07PM | Over 155.5 (-115) | Under 155.5 (-105) | |
| 02/13 | 12:59:23AM | Over 156.5 (-110) | Under 156.5 (-110) | OV 100%, OV 100% |
| 02/13 | 04:40:09AM | Over 156.5 (-108) | Under 156.5 (-112) | OV 100%, OV 100% |
UNLV vs Boise State Game Preview and Analysis
UNLV
UNLV is one of those teams that can look ordinary for stretches, then suddenly look like a nightmare matchup when the guards get rolling. Josh Pastner’s group has proven it can be ornery on the right night, and the scoring profile lately has been strong enough to keep them dangerous as a road underdog.
The best example is the overtime win over Boise State on January 13. UNLV won 89-85, and the key reason was Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn. The Illinois transfer scored 33 points in that game, and it was not a one-off performance.
Gibbs-Lawhorn is now on a stretch of four straight games scoring 24 points or more entering Friday night. When a guard is that hot, it changes the way you have to defend, and it also raises the floor of a team’s offense.
UNLV also has support scoring behind him. Kimani Hamilton is coming off 23 points in Tuesday’s win over San Jose State, and that kind of second scorer matters when you are trying to keep pace with a Boise State team that has been putting up points in bunches.
The total trend backs up the eye test. The over has hit in six of the last seven UNLV games, and this matchup has all the pieces to keep that streak alive.
Boise State
Boise State is quietly making another late-season push, and it is the exact type of run that puts a Mountain West team back on the bubble. Leon Rice’s team has won six of its last seven games, including a massive one-point survival win at the Pit against New Mexico last Saturday night.
What stands out most to me is how the offense has changed. Boise State is scoring 92 points per game across its last four wins. That is not a small uptick. That is a completely different team than what we saw earlier in the season.
The biggest reason is Dylan Andrews. After a quiet first half of the season following his transfer from UCLA, Andrews is now arguably the hottest scorer in the Mountain West. He scored 33 against New Mexico and 25 in the previous game against Nevada.
This surge also makes Boise State dangerous in a revenge spot. The Broncos lost 89-85 in overtime at UNLV on January 13, and they are now playing their best basketball at the exact right time.
Boise State also has one of the strongest total trends in the country right now. The over has hit in nine straight Boise State games. When a team is riding a streak that long, I do not step in front of it unless there is a major reason. In this matchup, UNLV is trending over as well, so I am not fighting the math.
Key Injuries and Notes (UNLV vs BSU)
- Boise State is riding a strong late-season run with wins in six of its last seven games.
- Boise State is scoring 92 points per game across its last four wins.
- Dylan Andrews has scored 33 and 25 in his last two games.
- UNLV beat Boise State 89-85 in overtime on January 13.
- Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn scored 33 points in that overtime win.
- Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn has scored 24 or more in four straight games.
- Kimani Hamilton is coming off 23 points vs San Jose State.
Final Score Prediction
- Projected Final Score: Boise State 87, UNLV 76
ATS and Total Picks
- ATS Pick: Boise State -9
- Total Pick: Over 156.5
