Virginia Cavaliers vs Texas Longhorns Prediction and Picks - December 3, 2025
It's the ACC vs SEC on Wednesday evening, and we have a Virginia vs Texas prediction ready to rock and roll. Virginia enters this contest off a 94-69 home win over Queens University to move to 6-1 on the year. Texas is now 6-2 on the year after a 102-97 home win over NC State. Continue reading to see our Virginia vs Texas prediction.
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Cavaliers Take Down Queens University
Virginia’s most recent game was a 94–69 win over Queens on November 28, where freshman Thijs De Ridder scored 21 points on 8‑for‑10 shooting and Johann Grüenloh posted a double‑double with 13 points and 10 rebounds. The Cavaliers knocked down 15 threes in that game, with six different players hitting multiple shots from deep, a sign of how balanced their offense has become under Ryan Odom.
This Virginia team has been a revelation offensively, averaging 87.6 points per game while shooting 47.2% from the field. De Ridder has been the breakout star, leading the team with 18 points per game, while Malik Thomas adds 13.4 points and Chance Mallory contributes 11.3 points and 5.4 rebounds despite being just a freshman guard. Sam Lewis and Jacari White round out a rotation where five players average double figures, and the Cavaliers have leaned on their perimeter shooting — 36.5% from three — to stretch defenses. Their rebounding has also been elite, pulling down 44.7 boards per game (10th nationally), with Grünloh and Onyenso providing rim protection and second‑chance opportunities.
Defensively, Virginia has been disruptive, holding opponents to 67.6 points per game and just 38.9% shooting. They rank second nationally in blocks, with Onyenso and Grünloh combining for multiple swats every night, and their ability to control the glass has been a difference‑maker. The Cavaliers’ style is faster than in past years, but they still force opponents into tough shots and limit clean looks from deep. Against Texas, the challenge will be keeping pace with an offense that thrives in transition while maintaining their defensive discipline. If De Ridder continues his efficient scoring and the frontcourt controls the boards, Virginia has the balance to make this a statement road win.
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Pope Leads Texas Over NC State
Texas’ last game was a 102–97 win over NC State on November 26, where Jordan Pope erupted for 28 points on 8‑for‑15 shooting and seven made threes, while Chendall Weaver added 17 points and eight rebounds. The Longhorns shot 56% from the field and 50% from three in that victory, bouncing back from a one‑point loss to Arizona State earlier in the Maui Invitational. They also hit 28 of 33 free throws.
The Longhorns have been one of the most efficient offenses in the country, averaging 90.9 points per game while shooting 51.1% from the field (28th nationally). Dailyn Swain leads the team with 16.5 points, 6.6 rebounds, and 3.3 assists per game, while seven‑footer Matas Vokietaitis adds 15.5 points and 7 rebounds inside. Pope has emerged as a dangerous perimeter scorer at 12.1 points per game, and Tramon Mark provides steady production with 10.5 points per game. Texas also gets to the line consistently, averaging nearly 20 made free throws per game, which helps them control tempo and punish opponents physically.
Defensively, Texas allows 71.9 points per game, but they rebound well at 44 boards per game and force opponents into just 40.1% shooting. Lassina Traore anchors the glass with 7.4 rebounds per game, and Weaver’s versatility gives them a guard who can rebound and defend multiple positions. The Longhorns’ biggest strength is their pace — they thrive in transition and can bury teams with quick scoring runs. Against Virginia, they’ll look to push tempo and test the Cavaliers’ rim protection. With Swain’s athleticism, Vokietaitis’ size, and Pope’s perimeter shooting, Texas has the depth and firepower to defend home court in Austin
Virginia vs Texas Pick
Virginia vs Texas Spread Pick
- Texas -2.5 (4 Units)
Texas -2.5 looks like the right side given how explosive the Longhorns have been offensively. In their last game, they outlasted NC State 102–97 behind Jordan Pope’s 28 points and seven made threes, while Dailyn Swain and Matas Vokietaitis combined for 31 points and 13 rebounds. Texas shot 56% from the field and buried 16 threes in that win, showing just how dangerous they are when the offense is clicking. With Swain leading the team at 16.5 points per game and Vokietaitis providing a steady inside presence, the Longhorns have the balance to attack Virginia’s defense from multiple angles.
Virginia has been strong, but their defense will be tested against this kind of pace. The Cavaliers allow just 67.6 points per game, yet they’ve leaned heavily on freshman Thijs De Ridder to carry the scoring load, and Texas has the length and athleticism to make him work for everything. The Longhorns rebound at a high level (44 boards per game) and thrive in transition, which could neutralize Virginia’s half‑court sets. With Pope’s perimeter shooting, Swain’s versatility, and Vokietaitis’ size inside, Texas has the depth and firepower to control tempo and cover the -2.5 spread at home.
Virginia vs Texas Over/Under Pick
- Over 149.5 (5 Units)
The Over 149.5 looks like a strong play because both Virginia and Texas have been putting up big offensive numbers while still allowing enough points to push totals higher. Virginia is averaging 87.6 points per game and just dropped 94 on Queens, while Texas comes in at 90.9 points per game after scoring 102 in their win over NC State. Both teams shoot efficiently — Virginia at nearly 47% from the field and Texas at 51% — and they rebound well enough to create second‑chance opportunities. Defensively, neither side is airtight, with Texas giving up 71.9 points per game and Virginia allowing 67.6, which means the pace and shot‑making should drive this matchup into the 150s.
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