Wake Forest vs Texas Tech Prediction and Picks - November 20, 2025
Thursday evening on the college hardwood, and we have a Wake Forest vs Texas Tech prediction ready to rock and roll. This is a part of the Baha Mar Championship from the Bahamas. Wake enters this contest off a dominant 109-75 home win over UMass Lowell to move to 3-1 on the year. Texas Tech is also at 3-1 on the year, and they are off an 80-63 home win over Milwaukee. These teams last met back in 2011 and Wake Forest won that game at home by a score of 70-61. Continue reading to see our Wake Forest vs Texas Tech prediction.
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Wake Pounds UMass Lowell
Wake Forest comes into this matchup after a dominant 109–75 victory over UMass Lowell, where their offense was firing on all cylinders. Juke Harris led the way with 21 points and six rebounds, while Tyrese Spillers matched him with 21 points on an efficient 8-of-9 shooting. Nate Calmese was the floor general, scoring 15 points on 5-of-6 shooting and dishing out seven assists, while Omaha Biliew added 13 points and four rebounds, hitting all three of his three-point attempts. The Demon Deacons shot 56% from the field, 43% from deep, and 83% from the line, showcasing their ability to score at every level. Even with Mason Mason struggling (1-for-9 from the floor), Wake Forest’s depth carried them to a convincing win.
Offensively, Wake Forest has been explosive all season, averaging 90.5 points per game. Harris has emerged as the centerpiece, averaging 21.8 points while shooting nearly 58% from the floor, and his ability to attack off the dribble makes him a constant threat. Spillers provides a strong interior presence at 16.3 points per game on 65% shooting, while Calmese adds balance with 9.5 points and six assists per game, hitting 46.7% from three. Mason remains a double-digit scorer despite inconsistency, and Michael Colvin’s 13 points against UMass Lowell highlighted the team’s depth. Their rebounding at 39.5 per game is solid, and their free throw shooting at 73.7% gives them stability late in games.
Defensively, Wake Forest allows 74.8 points per game, but their perimeter defense has been elite, holding opponents to just 23.1% from three — one of the best marks nationally. Harris and Calmese combine for over four steals per game, giving them disruptive backcourt pressure, while Spillers adds rim protection with a block per contest. Against UMass Lowell, they forced 14 steals and seven turnovers, showing how their defense can fuel transition offense. Still, turnovers remain a concern, with Harris and Mason combining for 18 through four games. Against Texas Tech’s efficient offense, Wake Forest will need to stay disciplined, limit second-chance opportunities, and continue contesting perimeter shots. If they can replicate the balance and efficiency from their last outing, the Deacons have the firepower to keep pace with the Red Raiders.
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ricky Tran | +4,662.00 |
| 2 |  Mark Ruelle | +2,307.00 |
| 3 |  Nick Parsons | +2,193.00 |
| 4 |  David Delano | +2,049.00 |
| 5 |  Sean Higgs | +763.00 |
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Defense Steps Up In Win Over Milwaukee
Texas Tech comes into this matchup after an 80–63 win over Milwaukee on November 14, 2025, where their depth and defensive control carried them. Christian Anderson led the way with 18 points and seven assists, while Donovan Atwell provided perimeter firepower with five made threes en route to 17 points. Tyree Bryan chipped in 13 points, and LeJuan Watts added 10 points and nine rebounds, giving the Red Raiders balance across the lineup. J.T. Toppin was quieter offensively with seven points but still grabbed 10 rebounds, and freshman Luke Bamgboye made an immediate impact with four blocks in limited minutes. Texas Tech shot 43% from the field, 42% from three, and 93% from the line, while winning the rebounding battle 36–30.
Offensively, the Red Raiders have been sharp all season, averaging 88.3 points per game while shooting 46.1% overall and 38.1% from deep. Toppin has been the star, averaging 24.3 points and 11.7 rebounds, giving them a dominant interior presence. Anderson has emerged as a dynamic playmaker, averaging 19.5 points and nine assists per game, while Atwell adds another perimeter threat at 15.3 points per game. Watts contributes 14 points and 6.3 rebounds, rounding out a balanced attack that can score inside and outside. Their free throw shooting at 70.2% is average, but their ability to generate efficient looks across multiple positions makes them one of the more versatile offenses in the country.
Defensively, Texas Tech has held opponents to 70.3 points per game and just 41.7% shooting, ranking inside the top 100 nationally. Their perimeter defense has been strong, limiting opponents to 28.8% from three, while Toppin provides rim protection with 1.3 blocks per game. Anderson’s 2.8 steals per game highlight their ability to pressure guards and force turnovers, and their rebounding margin has been consistent at 38.5 per game. Against Wake Forest, Texas Tech’s size advantage in the frontcourt and disciplined defensive rotations should give them the ability to control tempo. If they can neutralize Harris’ scoring bursts and force Wake Forest into half‑court sets, the Red Raiders’ efficiency and balance could tilt the matchup in their favor.
Wake Forest vs Texas Tech Pick
Wake Forest vs Texas Tech Spread Pick
- Texas Tech -8.5 (3 Units)
Texas Tech laying -8.5 makes sense given their balance and defensive edge. The Red Raiders have multiple scoring options with J.T. Toppin dominating inside, Christian Anderson orchestrating the offense with nearly nine assists per game, and Donovan Atwell stretching defenses from deep. Their ability to shoot 38% from three and rebound consistently gives them control of tempo, while Wake Forest’s turnover issues (averaging 15 per game) play right into Tech’s pressure defense. In their win over Milwaukee, Tech showed how depth and efficiency can wear opponents down, and that formula matches well against a Wake Forest team that relies heavily on Harris and Spillers to carry the scoring load.
Defensively, Texas Tech has held opponents to just 41.7% shooting and 28.8% from three, while Wake Forest’s perimeter attack can be streaky outside of Harris. The Red Raiders’ ability to contest shots and dominate the glass should limit second‑chance opportunities, forcing Wake Forest into tougher looks. With Tech’s size advantage in the frontcourt and Anderson’s disruptive play on the perimeter, the matchup tilts toward the Red Raiders covering the number. If they control turnovers and maintain their shooting efficiency, Texas Tech has the tools to stretch the margin beyond double digits and justify the -8.5 line.
Wake Forest vs Texas Tech Over/Under Pick
- Under 158 (2 Units)
The Under 158 looks appealing because both teams’ defenses are stronger than their raw scoring averages suggest. Wake Forest can push tempo, but they also hold opponents to just 23% from three, which limits efficiency, while Texas Tech’s disciplined rotations have kept foes under 42% shooting overall. The Red Raiders’ ability to control pace through rebounding and half‑court execution often drags games into slower possessions, and Wake Forest’s turnover issues could further reduce clean scoring chances. With both sides capable of stretches of defensive control and neither likely to sustain 80+ points against each other’s strengths, the matchup sets up well for the total staying below 158.
