Western Kentucky vs Marshall Prediction and Picks - December 10, 2025
It's the Conference USA College Basketball action on Wednesday evening, and we have a Western Kentucky vs Marshall prediction ready to rock and roll. Western Kentucky enters this contest at 6-2 on the year, and they are off an 80-79 home win over Evansville. Marshall checks in off an 88-81 loss at Ohio for their 3rd loss in a row, which drops them to 5-4 on the year. The Hilltoppers have won the last eight games in this series. Continue reading to see our Western Kentucky vs Marshall prediction.
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Hilltoppers Squeeze Past Evansville
Western Kentucky’s most recent game was an 80–79 win over Evansville on December 6, where Ryan Myers came off the bench to score 27 points and Teagan Moore added 15. The Hilltoppers survived a furious second‑half rally from the Purple Aces, holding on despite Evansville hitting 14 threes. It was WKU’s second straight win after dropping two in a row, pushing them to 6–2 overall.
Offensively, Western Kentucky averages 85.6 points per game while shooting 44.2% from the field. Moore leads the team at 19.6 points and 6.0 rebounds per game, while freshman Armelo Boone chips in 12 points and 4.5 boards. Myers’ breakout against Evansville showed the depth of scoring options, and Bryant Selebangue has been steady inside with 7.4 rebounds per game. The Hilltoppers also get to the line frequently, averaging 22.3 free‑throw makes per game (4th nationally), which has been a major factor in their offensive success.
Defensively, WKU allows 78.4 points per game, and opponents shoot 41.4% from the field. They rebound well (41.3 per game) and force turnovers with active guard play, but their perimeter defense has been shaky, giving up 34.2% from three. LJ Hackman has been a defensive spark with 2.1 steals per game, while Selebangue anchors the paint. Against Marshall’s balanced attack, the Hilltoppers will need to tighten up their rotations and avoid giving up open looks from deep.
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Marshall Suffers 3rd Loss In A Row
Marshall’s most recent game was an 88–81 loss to Ohio on December 6, where Noah Otshudi led the Herd with 21 points on 8‑of‑11 shooting. Wyatt Fricks added 18 points and eight rebounds, but Marshall couldn’t overcome Ohio’s hot shooting from beyond the arc, as the Bobcats hit 11 threes and pulled away late. The defeat marked Marshall’s third straight loss, dropping them to 5–4 overall.
Offensively, Marshall averages 80.1 points per game while shooting 46.5% from the field and 36.1% from three (91st nationally). Fricks leads the team at 14.7 points per game, while Otshudi (12.8 PPG) and Jalen Speer (12.9 PPG, 5.8 APG) provide steady backcourt production. Matthew Van Komen, the 7‑4 center, adds 10.4 points and 7.8 rebounds, giving Marshall size inside. The Herd share the ball well with 17.3 assists per game, and their ability to spread the floor with multiple shooters makes them dangerous when they’re in rhythm.
Defensively, Marshall allows 79.6 points per game, and opponents shoot 43.6% from the field. They rebound at a solid clip (37.8 per game) but have struggled to contain penetration and close out on shooters. Van Komen provides rim protection with 2.6 blocks per game, but the Herd’s perimeter defense has been inconsistent. With Western Kentucky’s ability to attack off the dribble and get to the line, Marshall will need to stay disciplined defensively to avoid giving up easy points.
Western Kentucky vs Marshall Pick
Western Kentucky vs Marshall Spread Pick
- Marshall PK (4 Units)
Marshall feels like the right side to back at pick’em, especially with how they’ve been playing despite the recent skid. Their most recent outing was an 88–81 loss to Ohio on December 6, where Noah Otshudi scored 21 points and Wyatt Fricks added 17 with eight rebounds. The Herd shot 49% from the field but couldn’t overcome Ohio’s 11 made threes, dropping their third straight game. Even so, Marshall averages 80.1 points per game and shoots 46.5% overall, with Fricks, Otshudi, and Jalen Speer (12.9 PPG, 5.8 APG) forming a balanced trio. Their ability to spread the floor with 36.1% shooting from deep and share the ball (17.3 assists per game) makes them dangerous, especially at home.
Western Kentucky is coming off an 80–79 win over Evansville on December 6, where Ryan Myers erupted for 27 points off the bench and Teagan Moore added 15. The Hilltoppers survived despite Evansville hitting 14 threes, and while they average 85.6 points per game, their defense has been shaky, allowing 78.4 points per game and opponents to shoot 34.2% from three. WKU gets to the line often (22.3 free‑throw makes per game, 4th nationally), but Marshall’s size with Matthew Van Komen (7‑4, 7.8 rebounds per game) and their ability to contest shots inside could neutralize that edge. With Marshall’s balanced scoring and home‑court advantage, PK feels like a strong position, as the Herd should be able to control tempo and bounce back from their recent losses.
Western Kentucky vs Marshall Over/Under Pick
- Over 163.5 (5 Units)
The Over 163.5 makes sense in Western Kentucky–Marshall given how both teams have been playing. Western Kentucky’s most recent outing was an 80–79 win over Evansville on December 6, where Ryan Myers exploded for 27 points and the Hilltoppers leaned on their free‑throw production to survive despite Evansville hitting 14 threes. WKU averages 85.6 points per game and gets to the line more than almost anyone in the country (22.3 makes per game, 4th nationally), which keeps their scoring totals high. Marshall, meanwhile, just dropped an 88–81 game to Ohio on December 6, and they average 80.1 points per game while shooting 46.5% from the field and 36.1% from three. With both teams struggling defensively — WKU allowing 78.4 points per game and Marshall giving up 79.6 — this matchup has the makings of a shootout, making the Over 163.5 a strong angle.
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