Wichita State Shockers vs Boise State Broncos Prediction and Picks - November 18, 2025
Use Code SSWC Tuesday evening on the college hardwood, and we have a Wichita State vs Boise State prediction ready to rock and roll. The Shockers come in off a 95-74 home win over Loyola-Illinois to move to 3-0 on the year. The Broncos enter this contest at 3-1 on the year and off a 62-58 home win over Montana State. Continue reading to see our Wichita State vs Boise State prediction.
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Wichita Rips The Ramblers
Wichita State rolled to 3-0 with a 95-74 win over Loyola-Illinois, and it looked like a group that knows exactly who it is. The guards set the tone early and never let up, and the frontcourt cleaned up everything around the rim. Xavier Giles has been the sparkplug, piling up 19.7 points per game on 60.6% shooting and a blistering 63.6% from three, while AJ Kindell’s shotmaking (57.7% FG, 66.7% from deep) gives them another efficient perimeter threat. W. Berg anchors the middle with 12.0 points and 7.7 boards, steady touches, and a reliable 76.9% at the line.
There’s real balance here. AB Boyd contributes 11.0 points and 6.0 rebounds with 41.7% from three, AC Gray adds 10.7 points and a perfect free-throw line so far, and AF Williams chips in all-around production—7.7 points, 6.0 rebounds, 3.3 assists—with 91.7% at the stripe. AA Okorafor brings high-percentage finishing (70.0% FG), 4.0 rebounds, and 2.0 blocks in limited minutes, and AE Battie’s 5.7 boards help them win the effort plays. Even in spot roles, guys like AH Hill, AG Amuneke, and J. Konchar-style utility pieces (steals, blocks, hustle) have filled gaps without forcing the issue.
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If there’s a nit to pick, it’s ball security—Giles, Boyd, and Okorafor have each had some turnover-heavy stretches—but the scoring depth and rebounding have more than covered it so far. Against Boise State, the formula doesn’t need to be complicated: keep the perimeter rhythm, keep feeding Berg inside, and let the committee approach on the glass carry the day. If the Shockers value the ball and continue to get efficient looks from Giles, Kindell, and Boyd, they’ll give themselves a strong platform to keep the early-season momentum rolling.
Broncos Squeak By Montana State
Boise State enters this matchup at 3-1 after grinding out a 62-58 home win over Montana State. It wasn’t their cleanest offensive performance, but the Broncos leaned on defense and timely shot-making to secure the victory. Through four games, they’ve shown resilience in close contests, finding ways to close late even when the offense stalls. That ability to win tight games has helped them build confidence early in the season, and they’ll look to carry that momentum into their meeting with Wichita State.
The Broncos’ attack has been led by forward Andrew Meadow, who’s averaging 15.8 points while shooting 55% from the field and 42.1% from three. He’s been complemented by Jaden Buchanan, who adds 12.5 points per game with efficient perimeter shooting and strong rebounding at 5.3 boards per contest. Guard Davin Andrews has provided steady playmaking with 11.0 points and 5.0 assists per game, while Simon Ahrens has chipped in 11.0 points on 41.2% from deep. Depth contributions from players like Drew Fielder (11.5 PPG) and P. Carmichael (5.8 PPG) have given Boise State multiple scoring options, even if the overall shooting percentages have been streaky.
Defensively, Boise State has been solid, holding opponents under 70 points per game and limiting three-point shooting to just 30.2%. Parolin has provided rebounding and energy off the bench, while Andrews and Buchanan have been active in generating steals and disrupting passing lanes. The Broncos’ ability to defend the perimeter and force opponents into tough looks has been a key factor in their early success. Against Wichita State, they’ll need Meadow and Buchanan to continue producing offensively while leaning on their defense to slow down the Shockers’ balanced attack. If they can keep the game in a half-court setting and control tempo, Boise State has the tools to make this another competitive battle.
Wichita State vs Boise State Pick
Wichita State vs Boise State Spread Pick
Wichita State +9.5 (2 Units)
Wichita State looks like the right side catching 9.5 points. The Shockers have opened the season with three straight wins, including a 95-74 blowout of Loyola-Illinois where multiple players contributed across the board. Xavier Giles has been electric, averaging nearly 20 points per game on elite shooting splits, while AJ Kindell and W. Berg provide steady scoring and rebounding support. With AB Boyd and AC Gray also in double figures, Wichita has shown the kind of balanced attack that can keep them competitive against tougher opponents. That depth makes them dangerous as an underdog, especially when they’re controlling the glass and spreading the scoring load.
Boise State has talent, led by Andrew Meadow and Jaden Buchanan, but their offense has been streaky and they’ve leaned heavily on defense to grind out wins. The Broncos managed just 62 points in their latest victory over Montana State, and without consistent shooting they can be vulnerable to teams that push tempo and attack from multiple spots. Wichita State’s ability to get production from several different players gives them a chance to hang around and cover this number. With Giles and Kindell in rhythm and Berg anchoring the paint, the Shockers have the tools to keep this matchup tight and make +9.5 a valuable play.
Wichita State vs Boise State Over/Under Pick
- Over 153.5 (2 Units)
The Over 153.5 looks like a strong angle here given the way both teams have been playing. Wichita State has multiple double-digit scorers and just put up 95 points in their win over Loyola-Illinois, while Boise State leans on Andrew Meadow, Jaden Buchanan, and Davin Andrews to keep their offense steady. The Shockers’ depth and pace combined with the Broncos’ ability to knock down perimeter shots suggest this matchup could open up quickly. With both sides capable of spreading the floor and pushing tempo, the scoring potential points toward a game that clears 153.5.
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