Alabama Crimson Tide vs Auburn Tigers Prediction and Picks - November 29, 2025
Saturday evening SEC College football action, and we have an Alabama vs Auburn prediction locked and loaded for you. Alabama comes in off a 56-0 home win over Eastern Illinois to move to 9-2 on the year. Auburn is off a 62-17 home win over Mercer, but they are still just 5-6 on the year. Alabama has won the last five in this series. Can Auburn break the string and gain bowl eligibility at the same time? Read on to see our Alabama vs Auburn prediction.
When it comes to college football selections, our College Football predictions are stellar.
Bame Rips Eastern Illinois In Tune Up For Iron Bowl
Alabama’s most recent game was a 56-0 rout of Eastern Illinois on November 22, a tune-up before the Iron Bowl where the Crimson Tide dominated in every phase. Six different players scored touchdowns, including two apiece from Kevin Riley and AK Dear, while the defense held the Panthers to just 34 total yards. Ty Simpson, Austin Mack, and Keelon Russell all saw time under center, and Alabama piled up 539 yards of offense in the blowout.
The Tide’s offense has been steady but not overwhelming this season, averaging 344.9 yards per game with 236.7 through the air and 108.2 on the ground. Simpson has thrown for nearly 3,000 yards with 22 touchdowns, but turnovers have been an issue, including two interceptions against Eastern Illinois. Germie Bernard has been the top receiver with 676 yards and six scores, while Daniel Hill has added balance in the backfield with 410 rushing yards and three touchdowns. Alabama’s offensive line has been inconsistent, but when they protect Simpson, the passing game can stretch defenses.
Defensively, Alabama has been one of the SEC’s best, allowing just 18.5 points per game (16th nationally) and holding opponents to 313 total yards per contest. Linebacker Justin Jefferson and safety Bray Hubbard have anchored a unit that thrives on pressure and turnovers. The Tide have been particularly strong against the pass, limiting opponents to 192 yards per game, and their ability to generate sacks has kept them in control. Against Auburn’s dual-threat quarterbacks, Alabama’s defense will be tasked with containing mobility while forcing the Tigers into long-yardage situations.
Sign Up for StatSalt News Alerts, Get Free Picks and Discounts
Subscribe Now
Tigers Have A Field Day Against Mercer
Auburn’s last game was a 62-17 win over Mercer on November 22, highlighted by freshman quarterback Deuce Knight’s breakout performance. Knight accounted for 401 yards and six touchdowns, throwing for 239 yards and two scores while rushing for 162 yards and four more. Malcolm Simmons added 149 receiving yards, including a 91-yard touchdown, and the Tigers’ defense contributed with a pick-six from Elijah Melendez.
The Tigers’ offense has been inconsistent this season, averaging 362.5 yards per game and scoring 22.7 points per contest. Ashton Daniels, who was held out against Mercer to preserve eligibility, is expected to return for the Iron Bowl. Daniels has thrown for over 1,300 yards with six touchdowns, while Jeremiah Cobb has led the rushing attack with 936 yards and four scores. Auburn’s receiving corps is headlined by Cam Coleman, who has 682 yards and five touchdowns, giving the Tigers a reliable deep threat. Knight’s performance against Mercer showed the future is bright, but Daniels’ return provides veteran stability for this rivalry clash.
Defensively, Auburn has struggled, allowing 30.5 points per game (112th nationally) and giving up 377.9 total yards per contest. Linebacker Xavier Atkins has been a standout with 7.5 sacks and 81 tackles, but the unit has been vulnerable against both the run and the pass. The Tigers have shown flashes of playmaking ability, like Melendez’s interception return against Mercer, but consistency has been lacking. Facing Alabama’s balanced offense, Auburn’s defense will need to generate turnovers and limit explosive plays to keep the game close.
Alabama vs Auburn Pick
Alabama vs Auburn Spread Pick
- Alabama -5.5 (4 Units)
Alabama -5.5 feels like the right side because the Crimson Tide have been far more consistent defensively, holding opponents to just 18.5 points per game (16th nationally) and limiting them to 313 total yards per contest. Their front seven has been disruptive, and the secondary has kept passing attacks in check, allowing only 192 yards per game through the air. That kind of defensive profile matches up well against Auburn, whose offense has been inconsistent and reliant on flashes from young quarterbacks. With Ty Simpson leading a balanced passing attack and Germie Bernard providing a reliable target, Alabama has the tools to build a lead and force Auburn into uncomfortable situations.
On the other side, Auburn’s defense has been a liability, giving up 30.5 points per game (112th nationally) and struggling to stop both the run and the pass. Even with playmakers like Xavier Atkins, the Tigers have been unable to consistently get off the field, which is dangerous against an Alabama team that thrives on long, methodical drives. Auburn’s offense showed life against Mercer, but stepping up against Alabama’s defense is a completely different challenge. With the Tide’s ability to control tempo and capitalize on Auburn’s defensive lapses, laying the -5.5 looks justified in a rivalry where Alabama’s strengths align perfectly with Auburn’s weaknesses.
Alabama vs Auburn Over/Under Pick
- Under 46.5 (5 Units)
The Under 46.5 makes sense in the Iron Bowl because both Alabama and Auburn have leaned on defenses that dictate tempo, with the Tide allowing just 18.5 points per game and Auburn surrendering 377.9 yards per contest but tightening in spots. Alabama’s offense has been steady but not explosive, averaging 22.6 points per game, while Auburn has struggled to find consistency, sitting at 22.7 points per outing. Rivalry games often turn into physical battles at the line of scrimmage, and with both teams relying on methodical drives rather than quick strikes, this matchup profiles as a grind where points come at a premium, keeping the total below the number.
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
Bet $5 & Get $150
