Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Boise State Broncos Picks and Prediction for Saturday, September 27, 2025

By: Arthur Reyes Published 09/25/2025, 04:51 PM ET
App State Mountaineers vs. Boise State Broncos Picks and Prediction for Saturday, September 27, 2025
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The Appalachian State Mountaineers (2-1) are coming off a tough loss on Sept. 13 after being off last week with a 38-22 road loss against the Southern Miss Golden Eagles. Junior quarterback AJ Swann struggled to get much going throughout the game as he completed 15-of-23 passes for 217 yards with zero passing touchdowns and three interceptions and a six-yard rushing attempt.

The Boise State Broncos (2-1) are looking to build upon their two-game winning streak as they are coming off Saturday’s 49-37 road victory over the Air Force Falcons. Junior quarterback Maddux Madsen played well in the game as he completed 13-of-23 passes for 276 yards and two passing touchdowns and an interception.

College gridiron clarity β€” NCAAF picks for App State Mountaineers vs. Boise State Broncos with key matchups.

Mountaineers Looking for Improvement

The App State Mountaineers are coming off a 38-22 loss on the road against the Southern Miss Golden Eagles on Sept. 13. App State was playing from behind for a majority of the game as they were able to post 22 points on 470 total yards (375 passing, 95 rushing) on the day. The big issue was the fact that they were turning the ball over too much as they threw three interceptions.

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The defense was unable to get much of anything going as the Mountaineers allowed the Golden Eagles to score 38 points on 389 total yards (279 passing, 110 rushing). Southern Miss was able to run the football as the team averaged 4.4 yards per rushing attempt. However, App State’s defense did not stay on the field for too often as Southern Miss had possession for only 23:24.

App State’s offense has struggled to score on a consistent basis as they are 89th in the NCAA with 25.3 points per game heading into this matchup. The defense has also been holding their own as they are 58th with 20.7 opposing points per game. AJ Swan leads the team with 879 yards passing with five TDs and four picks. He's completing 63.1% of his passes.

Injury Report for Appalachian State

  • Wide receiver Sam Mbake: Undisclosed (Questionable)
  • Quarterback JJ Kohl: Undisclosed (Questionable)
  • Wide receiver Davion Dozier: Undisclosed (Questionable)
  • Running back Kanye Roberts: Knee (OUT)

Broncos Looking Like a Threat

The Boise State Broncos are looking to continue dominating as they are coming off a 49-37 road win over the Air Force Falcons. The offense clocked as they were able to score 49 points on 592 total yards of offense (310 passing, 282 rushing). The team sustained drives as they recorded 21 total first downs by going 7-for-10 on third downs. The offense clicked with 11.5 yards per pass attempt, while the running attack with 9.1 rushing yards per carry.

The defense struggled to put the game away at any point and needs to improve. The Falcons finished with 37 points for 514 yards (246 passing, 268 rushing). They were able to keep drives going themselves as they were 8-for-14 on third downs while also being 2-of-3 on fourth down tries in the game. The defense for Boise State forced an interception, but failed to get many stops outside of it.

The Boise State Broncos have shown very few struggles to put points on the board as they are 46th in college football with 35.7 points per game scored. Their defense has been struggling as their 28.3 points per game allowed places them at 102nd in the sport. Maddux Madsen leads the Broncos with 808 yards passing and has tossed for five TDs and a pick.

Injury Report for Boise State

  • Defensive lineman Bol Bol: Undisclosed (Questionable)
  • Defensive lineman Sterling Lane II: Undisclosed (Questionable)
  • Running back Jambres Dubar: Undisclosed (Questionable)

App State Mountaineers vs. Boise State Broncos Pick

Spread Pick for App State vs. Boise State

  • Boise State Broncos -15.5 (5 units)

The App State Mountaineers have struggled to get much going, while the Boise State Broncos are one of the best in the entire sport. App State has recorded just six passing touchdowns and AJ Swann has struggled to find a consistent basis. Maddux Madsen, on the other hand, has been clicking to make the offense a full tier above. All in all, go with the Boise State Broncos to cover the spread as the better bet.

Over/Under Pick for App State vs. Boise State

  • Β OVER 61.5 ( 4 units)

These teams are moving the chains on a regular basis as the Broncos are 20-of-40 (50.0%) on third downs while the Mountaineers are 19-of-46 (41.3%) in those opportunities. Both defenses are struggling as they are coming off games where they were unable to get many stops, specifically in their previous game. Both quarterbacks are productive and can sling it. Go with OVER 61.5 POINTS in this game as the best option for this game here.

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