Arizona State vs. Utah Prediction and Picks for Saturday, October 11th, 2025
Use Code SSWC One of the marquee conference matches this weekend comes in the Big 12, with the #21 Arizona State Sun Devils (4-1, 2-0 B12) heading north to take on the Utah Utes (4-1, 1-1 B12). We’ve got you covered with our Arizona State vs. Utah prediction. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:15 ET from Rice-Eccles Stadium in Salt Lake City, UT. Looking to win big this football season? We have the best College Football Picks to help you out!
#21 Sun Devils Win Third Straight Game
The Arizona State Sun Devils are coming off of a CFP run in 2024-25 under Coach Kenny Dillingham, and this group looks primed to make another run at postseason football. Arizona State is off to a solid 4-1 start, with their lone loss coming on the road against Mississippi State (24-20) back in Week 2. They’ve since rattled off three consecutive wins, taking down Texas State (34-15), Baylor (27-24), and #24 TCU (27-24), most recently. From this point, the Sun Devils are priced at +400 to make the CFP again, while sitting at +700 to win the Big 12 title. They’re 3-2 ATS and 4-1 to the under.
The Sun Devils have a sophomore quarterback in Sam Leavitt leading the way. He has thrown for 1,039 yards on a 63.1% completion rate, adding eight touchdowns and three picks. Leavitt also has 281 rushing yards and five touchdowns on the ground, but it’s RB Raleek Brown (506 yards, 2 TD) leading the way in the run game. Out wide, All-American WR Jordyn Tyson is the biggest threat, and he has 483 yards and seven touchdowns on 39 receptions.
- Arizona State’s offense has been decent this season, ranking 62nd in scoring (27.0 PPG), while putting up 416.0 yards per game (37th).
- On the defensive side, the Sun Devils are 38th this season, allowing 21.8 points per game. In terms of yardage, they’re 25th, conceding 318.5 yards per contest.
Utes Bounce Back, Hammer Mountaineers
The Utah Utes are always a force to be reckoned with under Coach Kyle Whittingham, and this year’s group is no different. Utah was humbled at home a few weeks back against #17 Texas Tech, losing in 34-10 fashion. However, the Utes sit at 4-1 overall, and their most notable victories are against UCLA (43-10) and West Virginia (48-14). Utah is currently sitting at +1000 to win the Big 12 title, and they’re a +450 longshot to make the CFP. From a game-by-game gambling angle, the Utes are 4-1 ATS and 3-2 to the over.
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In terms of personnel, it’s junior transfer quarterback Devon Dampier (formerly New Mexico) leading the offense this season. The Phoenix native has thrown for 1,027 yards on a 72.5% completion rate, adding 11 touchdowns and three interceptions. RB Wayshawn Parker, a transfer from Washington State, is the top rusher with 280 yards and three touchdowns on 42 carries (6.7 YPC). WR Ryan Davis (348 yards 2 TD) and TE Dallen Bentley (246 yards, 3 TD) are the top targets in the passing game.
- Offensively, the Utes are scoring 33.0 points per game (32nd), while averaging 457.0 yards per week (18th).
- Defensively, they are 13th in the country this year, conceding 16.0 points per game. They’re allowing 319.8 yards per contest, which is 26th.
Arizona State vs. Utah Pick
Spread Pick for Arizona State vs. Utah
- Arizona State Sun Devils +5.5 (-108) (5 units)
I’m taking Arizona State, and this is probably one of my favorite bets of the weekend. The Sun Devils are 10-2 SU in their last 12 games, and they’ve also covered the spread in 10 of their last 12 games. In my opinion, they’ve proven to be a serious competitor on the national stage, and I will gladly take the 5.5 points in this one.
On the flip side, Utah has had one of the easiest strengths of schedule in the country. And, in their lone game when stepping up in competition, Utah got demolished 34-10 at home by Texas Tech. I’m willing to fade QB Devon Dampier and this Utes offense against another elite defense. Even if Utah wins this game outright, Arizona State has the Sam Leavitt-Jordyn Tyson duo to potentially come through the back door and cover, or simply keep the game within a single possession from the get-go. The Sun Devils have had an extra week of prep as well, and I just think it’s outrageous for this spread to even be outside of Utes -3.0.
Over/Under Pick for Arizona State vs. Utah
- Under 48.0 (-110) (5 units)
Another reason why I like the Sun Devils is that there’s simply not going to be a lot of scoring in this game, essentially making the 5.5 points that we’re getting more valuable. I will give props to Utah’s defense. They’ve been impressive this season, limiting the opposition to 14 or less points in 80% of their games. Utah’s 34-10 loss to Texas Tech was also a lot closer than the final score reflects due to a late onslaught in garbage time from the Red Raiders.
Meanwhile, ASU’s defense has held up well. They’re allowing only 21.8 points per game against FBS-level competition (38th). They’re 4-1 to the under this season. Both of these offenses rank inside the top 35 in rushing play percentage as well. So, with two elite defenses and a couple of run-heavy offenses, you can start to see the path to a low-scoring affair. I think we land in the the 17-13 range, or maybe reach the 20-17 range. Give me the under in this battle of physical, familiar foes.
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