Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Troy Trojans Picks and Prediction for Saturday, November 1, 2025
Use Code SSWC We have an exciting Sun Belt Conference matchup in Week 10 of the college football season as the Arkansas State Red Wolves face off against the Troy Trojans in our Red Wolves vs. Trojans prediction. Set to take place inside Veterans Memorial Stadium on November 1st at 8:00 PM ET, this game, airing on ESPNU, will be an exciting matchup with two teams playing well in the conference thus far. Arkansas State is 4-4 (3-1 Sun Belt) so far, while Troy is currently 6-2 (4-0). With these teams on different streaks heading into this game, let's dive into the stats, injuries, and key insights for this matchup. Find the edge fast with NCAAF picks for the Arkansas State Red Wolves at Troy Trojans.
Red Wolves Looking to Pull Off Road Upset
The Arkansas State Red Wolves are on a three-game winning streak after a 34-24 home win over the Georgia Southern Eagles on Saturday. Their offense has been struggling as they are scoring 23.6 points per game this year, placing them 99th in the NCAA. Quarterback Jaylen Raynor has been holding his own this season as he has completed 201-of-303 passes (66.3%) for 1,876 yards with nine touchdown passes and six interceptions, as well as 104 carries for 326 yards (3.1 yards per attempt) with seven rushing touchdowns heading into this game. As a team, they are struggling to move the ball as they are ranked 91st in the country in total yards, averaging 377.6 per game. James Madison’s passing offense, which averages 235.4 yards per game, puts them at 59th in the sport. The rushing game, contributing 142.2 yards per game (103rd nationally), needs to improve throughout the season in order to get the ball moving throughout the field.
The Red Wolves’ defense is currently 97th in the sport with 28.5 points allowed per game. They are unable to limit the amount of yardage as they are 126th in the country with 434.4 total yards per game. Their passing defense in particular has been brutal as they rank 130th in Division I with a 69.6 opposing completion percentage. If Arkansas State can figure out how to limit the massive amount of yardage against them, they will be in a better spot to attack and win games.
Injury Report for Arkansas State
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- Defensive tackle Quincy Wright: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Safety Malik McConico: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Tight end Jabari Bush: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Tight end Tyler Little: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Running back Ja’Quez Cross: Knee (OUT)
Trojans Clicking Entering This Game
The Troy Trojans are looking to continue stepping up and stay in the win column as they are on a five-game winning streak after a 35-23 home win over the Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns in their last game. They are currently 65th in the NCAA with 29.1 points per game scored. The Trojans’ offense is being led by quarterback Tucker Kilcrease, and he has been able to complete 96-of-158 (60.8%) passes for 1,234 yards with nine passing touchdowns with three interceptions, while adding 79 rushing attempts for 152 yards (1.9 yards per carry) with four rushing touchdowns to add. Running back Tae Meadows is stepping up in the running game with his production as he has 99 rushes for 498 yards (5.0 yards per carry) with four touchdown runs on the as well as four catches for 19 yards (4.8 yards per reception) without any touchdown catches this year. Their total offense stands at 341.4 yards per game (107th in NCAA), with the rushing attack able to get 133.6 yards (97th). The passing game has been at a similar level with an average of 207.8 yards per game (92nd).
Defensively, Troy is giving up 24.3 points per game right now, which is tied for 68th in college football. The team has been getting stops at a good level as they are allowing 364.1 total yards per game (65th). They need to limit the opposing rushing game as they are 93rd with 4.4 yards per carry thus far.
Injury Report for Troy
- Quarterback Goose Crowder: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Running back Tae Meadows: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Offensive lineman Garner Langlo: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Defensive tackle Casey Fua’au: Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Offensive lineman Elijah Prather: Undisclosed (Questionable)
Arkansas State Red Wolves at Troy Trojans Pick
Spread Pick for Arkansas State vs. Troy
- Troy Trojans -7.5 (4 units)
Not getting the hook for this bet is tough, but the Troy Trojans have looked like the better team. This is going to be a close game between the teams, and the loser may be eliminated from competing for the Sun Belt Conference Championship. Even though this game is also important, there is the chance that Arkansas State looks ahead to next week to their road game against the leading team in the division: the Southern Miss Golden Eagles. Tae Meadows is dealing with an undisclosed injury and missed last week’s game, but being questionable is a good sign for a chance to get back on the field. Arkansas State’s offense is not scoring enough to they can keep up. Troy is also 3-1 ATS in their last four games against them, so take the Troy Trojans at home to cover.
Over/Under Pick for Arkansas State vs. Troy
- Over 52.5 (5 units)
Expecting to see points in this game should not be an issue with how these offenses are playing as of late. Arkansas State is scoring 26.7 points in their last three game,s while Troy is averaging 37.8 in their previous four games. Both sides have not had many issues extending drives this year as the Red Wolves are 50-of-125 (40.0%) on third-down attempts while the Trojans are 52-of-119 (43.7%) on their tries this season. Neither defense has been able to get off the field, and even if Meadows is ruled out, Kilcrease should continue to impress through the air. All in all, go with the over to hit in this game.
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