Arkansas State vs. Kennesaw State Picks and Prediction, Saturday, September 20, 2025
In a non-conference matchup between a couple of 1-2 teams, Kennesaw State plays host to Arkansas State. Not only do these teams have the same record but their lone wins were facing FCS teams. If you are looking for the full score info for this game and other free NCAAF picks, look no further than this Arkansas State vs. Kennesaw State prediction.
Arkansas State comes into this game as the favorite, posted at -4.5 with a total of 56.5.
Arkansas State Puts a Scare into Big Dog
In their last game, Arkansas State was at home and put a scare into 14th-ranked Iowa State in a 24-16 loss. While they had a balance on offense and had 387 yards, they gave up 454 yards and had 10 penalties for 90 yards. Jaylen Raynor passed for 222 yards with no TD and an INT and also led the team with 83 rushing yards and a TD with Chauncy Cobb leading the way with 81 receiving yards. The Red Wolves covered the spread as a big 21-point favorite, and they have covered in two of their three games.
- Raynor (692 yards 4 TD 3 TD) has three INT and only one TD in the last three games.
- Raynor (138 yards) is also the team’s leading rusher and Kenyon Clay (120 yards 1 TD) is the second leading rusher and is only averaging three yards per carry.
- Cobb (215 yards) leads the team in receiving yards and Corey Rucker (105 yards 1 TD) is the only other player in triple digits in receiving yards.
- On the season, Arkansas State was crushed in their lone road game in a 56-14 loss to Arkansas.
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Mack Gets first Win for Kennesaw State
In Kennesaw State’s last game, they were at home in a 27-13 win over FCS Merrimack, which was the first win for new head coach Jerry Mack. In the game, the Owls outgained the Warriors 369 yards to 294 yards, rushed for 173 yards, and committed the only turnover. Amari Odom passed for 108 yards with a TD, Dexter Williams II passed for 236 yards with no TD and an INT, and Diggs and Williams II combined to rush for 97 yards. Kennesaw State failed to cover as a 17-point favorite and has failed to cover the spread in the last two games after doing so in the opener.
- Odom (284 yards 1 TD 1 INT) and Williams II (236 0 TD 1 INT) have split time in the last two games, and a starter has not been named.
- Coleman Bennett (139 yards) is the team’s leading rusher and the last game for 66 yards was his best of the season.
- Three players have at least 106 receiving yards, led by Gabriel Benyard (208 yards 1 TD), who is averaging 17.3 yards per catch.
- The win over Merrimack was Kennesaw State’s first home game of the season.
Arkansas State vs. Kennesaw State Pick
Spread Pick for Arkansas State vs. Kennesaw State
- Arkansas State -4.5 (4 units)
Kennesaw State got its first win of the season in its last game but they were not impressive, beating an FCS foe and they failed to cover. On the other hand, Arkansas State lost their last game but put up a fight and covered the spread, facing 14th-ranked Iowa State. Both teams have issues on defense but the Red Wolves played solid D in their last game. Neither team ranks in the top 88 in the nation in run or pass defense. Regarding the Arkansas State vs. Kennesaw State prediction, the Red Wolves will take confidence from their last game and play better on both sides of the ball, winning and covering the spread.
Over/Under Pick for Arkansas State vs. Kennesaw State
- Under 56.5 (4 units)
While both of these teams have issues on the defensive side of the ball, neither has close to a dynamic offense, which is why I am leaning towards the Under. Kennesaw State only ranks 121st in the nation in ppg (15 ppg), only scored 27 points facing an FCS team in their last game, and in their first two games, they only scored nine points in each one. Arkansas State only ranks tied for 95th in points per game (24 ppg) and has only totaled 30 points in the last two games. This game will be a defensive battle but it will not be a high-scoring affair either, which is why the Under is the pick.
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