Army Black Knights vs Navy Midshipmen Prediction and Picks - December 13, 2025
College football action on Saturday Afternoon, and we have an Army vs Navy prediction locked and loaded for you. Army enters this game at 6-5 on the year, and they are off a 27-24 road win over UTSA. Navy comes in off a 28-17 road win over Memphis to move to 9-2 on the year. Navy won last year's game by a score of 31-13. Read on to see our Army vs Navy prediction.
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Army Stuns UTSA On The Road
Army’s most recent game was a 27–24 win over UTSA on November 29, where quarterback Cale Hellums rushed for 90 yards and a touchdown while Noah Short added 127 yards on the ground with a score. The Black Knights leaned on their option attack to grind out drives, and a late defensive stand sealed the victory, giving them momentum heading into the rivalry matchup.
This Army team lives and dies by the run. They average 256.9 rushing yards per game (6th nationally), with Hellums leading the way at over 1,000 yards and 15 touchdowns. Short has been a strong complement with 552 yards, while Dewayne Coleman adds depth. Passing is almost an afterthought — Army averages just 78.3 yards per game through the air (136th nationally) — but Brady Anderson has been their big-play threat, averaging nearly 30 yards per catch with two touchdowns. The offense is deliberate, built to control tempo and wear down defenses.
Defensively, Army has been solid, allowing 22.5 points per game (42nd) and ranking in the top half nationally in both passing and rushing yards allowed. They give up 357 total yards per game (45th), with linebacker Andon Thomas leading the unit in tackles. The Black Knights don’t force many turnovers (7 takeaways, 92nd nationally), but they play disciplined football and limit explosive plays. Against Navy’s high-powered rushing attack, Army’s ability to stay assignment-sound will be critical.
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Defense Steps Up In Win Over Memphis
Navy’s most recent game was a 28–17 win over Memphis on November 27, where quarterback Blake Horvath threw for 100 yards and a touchdown while rushing for 54 yards and another score. Running back Alex Tecza carried the load with 103 yards and two touchdowns, and Eli Heidenreich added 64 receiving yards. The Midshipmen controlled the line of scrimmage and closed out the Tigers with a strong fourth quarter.
This Navy offense has been explosive all season, averaging 478.2 total yards (12th nationally) and leading the country in rushing at 328.2 yards per game. Horvath has been the centerpiece, piling up over 1,000 rushing yards and 14 touchdowns while also passing for 1,390 yards and nine scores. Tecza has been a steady force with 772 rushing yards, and Woodson adds versatility with 414 yards and six touchdowns on the ground. Heidenreich has emerged as a legitimate receiving weapon, posting 805 yards and four touchdowns, giving Navy balance when they choose to throw.
Defensively, Navy has been vulnerable, allowing 438.6 yards per game (117th) and struggling against the pass (281.1 yards allowed, 130th nationally). They surrender nearly 30 points per game (94th), and turnovers have been scarce (just 5 takeaways, 121st nationally). Linebacker MarcAnthony Parker leads the team in tackles, while Landon Robinson has been their top pass rusher with 6.5 sacks. The Midshipmen rely on their offense to outscore opponents, but in a rivalry game where possessions are limited, their defense will need to step up.
Army vs Navy Pick
Army vs Navy Spread Pick
- Army +6 (4 Units)
Army +6 feels like the right side in this rivalry because of how they match up stylistically. Their most recent outing was a 27–24 win over UTSA on November 29, where quarterback Cale Hellums rushed for 90 yards and a touchdown while Noah Short added 127 yards on the ground. That performance was a reminder of how Army leans on its option attack to control tempo and shorten games. With the Black Knights averaging 256.9 rushing yards per game (6th nationally) and rarely turning the ball over (just 9 giveaways, 8th fewest), they’re built to keep things close. Even if Navy’s offense is more explosive, Army’s ability to grind out drives and limit possessions makes them a tough underdog to put away.
Navy, meanwhile, comes in off a 28–17 win over Memphis on November 27, powered by Blake Horvath’s dual-threat ability and Alex Tecza’s 103 rushing yards. The Midshipmen lead the nation in rushing (328.2 yards per game) and average nearly 36 points, but their defense has been shaky, giving up 438.6 yards per game (117th) and struggling badly against the pass (281.1 yards allowed, 130th nationally). That vulnerability gives Army a chance to hang around, especially if they can hit a few timely throws off play-action. With the Black Knights’ defense allowing just 22.5 points per game (42nd), they’re well-positioned to keep this rivalry tight, and grabbing the +6 looks like the sharper side.
Army vs Navy Over/Under Pick
- Under 38 (5 Units)
The Under 38 makes sense in Army–Navy given how these two teams play and the history of the rivalry. Army’s most recent outing was a 27–24 win over UTSA on November 29, powered by Cale Hellums and Noah Short on the ground, while Navy comes in off a 28–17 win over Memphis on November 27, led by Blake Horvath’s dual‑threat performance. Both offenses are built around the run — Army averages 256.9 rushing yards per game (6th nationally) and Navy leads the country at 328.2 rushing yards (1st) — which means the clock will be moving constantly and possessions will be limited. Add in Army’s defense allowing just 22.5 points per game (42nd) and Navy’s tendency to lean on long drives, and this matchup sets up perfectly for a grind where points are at a premium, making the Under 38 the sharper angle.
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