Army vs. Kansas State Prediction and Picks - September 6, 2025
Army Black Knights vs. Kansas State Wildcats: Week 2 Showdown
The College football season moves into week 2 with a matchup between the Army Golden Knights vs the Kansas State Wildcats. Look inside for our prediction and picks. The Army Black Knights (0-1) will face the Kansas State Wildcats (1-1) on September 6, 2025, at 5:00 PM EDT at Bill Snyder Family Stadium in Manhattan, KS, with the game broadcast on ESPN. The weather is expected to be 71°F at kickoff. Army’s starting quarterback Dewayne Coleman enters with 129 passing yards and 100 rushing yards in 2025, while Kansas State’s Avery Johnson has thrown for 591 yards and five touchdowns. Army is coming off a 30-27 double-overtime loss to Tarleton State, while Kansas State narrowly defeated North Dakota 38-35.
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Army’s Gritty Performance Falls Short in Opener
Army’s season began with a dramatic 30-27 double-overtime loss to Tarleton State on August 29. The Black Knights led 24-10 in the third quarter before surrendering 14 unanswered points, ultimately falling in the second overtime. Quarterback Dewayne Coleman accounted for 229 total yards (129 passing, 100 rushing) but threw 2 interceptions. Running back Hayden Reed broke loose for a 37-yard touchdown, part of Army’s 280 rushing yards. The defense allowed 344 total yards but forced two sacks, including one by Eric Ford. Turnovers proved costly as Army committed three in the second half. Head coach Jeff Monken emphasized improvement: "We have to believe we’re better than what we showed."
Army averages 131 passing yards (114th nationally) and 280 rushing yards (15th nationally) per game, showcasing their triple-option dominance. However, their 30 points allowed per game ranks 107th defensively. Linebacker Andon Thomas leads the team with 14 tackles, while receiver Noah Short has 81 receiving yards. Army’s -3 turnover margin in Week 1 highlights ball-security issues. Coleman is listed as probable after limited practice this week, with Monken stating, "He’s a tough guy, so I imagine he’ll be ready." Wide receiver Liam Fortner (undisclosed) is questionable.
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Kansas State Survives Scare Against North Dakota
Kansas State needed a last-minute touchdown to defeat North Dakota 38-35 on August 30. Quarterback Avery Johnson orchestrated an 81-yard drive, culminating in a 6-yard game-winning pass to Joe Jackson with 42 seconds remaining. Johnson finished with 318 passing yards and 3 touchdowns, while receiver Jayce Brown hauled in 12 catches for 109 yards and a score. The Wildcats amassed 461 total yards but allowed 354 to North Dakota, including 5.7 yards per play. Defensive end Tobi Osunsanmi recorded his third sack of the season, but the secondary struggled, yielding 8.1 yards per pass attempt.
Kansas State’s Avery Johnson has completed 67% of his passes for 591 yards and 5 touchdowns this season, supported by running back Joe Jackson’s 106 rushing yards. The Wildcats average 295.5 passing yards (23rd nationally) but just 126.5 rushing yards (86th). Defensively, they allow 29.5 points per game, with linebacker Austin Romaine tallying 18 tackles. Head coach Chris Klieman criticized his team’s "awful eye discipline" after the North Dakota game, a concern against Army’s misdirection offense. Running back Dylan Edwards (ankle) and tight end Linkon Cure (knee) are questionable.
Army vs. Kansas State Pick
Spread Pick for Army vs. Kansas State
- Army Black Knights +17.5 (5 Units)
Army is 1-4 against the spread (ATS) in its last 5 games but 6-1 ATS in its last 7 road games. Kansas State is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games and 1-5 ATS in its last 6 home games. The Wildcats have failed to cover 17.5-point spreads in 4 of their last 5 games as favorites. Army’s triple-option offense has kept games within the spread in 7 of their last 10 as underdogs. The Black Knights are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games, while Kansas State is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 September contests. Given Army’s ball-control offense and Kansas State’s defensive vulnerabilities, taking Army +17.5 is the recommended play.
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rob Vincilleti | +1,502.00 |
| 2 |  Pro Sports Picks | +1,421.00 |
| 3 |  Brick Haus Sports | +634.00 |
| 4 |  David Delano | +492.00 |
| 5 |  Michael Briggs | +355.00 |
Over/Under Pick for Army vs. Kansas State
- Over 46.5 (5 Units)
Army’s games have gone over the total in 4 of their last 5 contests, averaging 57 total points this season. Kansas State’s games have hit the over in 5 of their last 7 home games, with their last game totaling 73 points. The Wildcats’ offense averages 38.5 points, but their defense allows 29.5, contributing to a 68 combined points per game average. The over is 4-1 in Kansas State’s last 5 home games, while the under is 4-1 in Army’s last 5 non-conference matchups. With a posted total of 46.5, the over has value given Kansas State’s offensive explosiveness and Army’s defensive struggles. Bet the over 46.5 points with confidence! Good Luck!
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