Army vs. UAB Picks and Prediction, Saturday, October 4, 2025

By: Jason Green Published 10/02/2025, 05:16 PM ET
Army vs. UAB prediction
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In an AAC matchup at Proactive Stadium in Birmingham, Alabama, UAB (2-2) plays host to Army (1-3). Both teams are coming off losses and each are looking for their first conference win. If you are looking for the full score info for this game and other free NCAAF picks, look no further than this Army vs. UAB prediction.

Army comes into this game as a 7-point favorite with the total sitting at 57.5.

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Bad Start for Army

In their last game, Army suffered a 28-6 road loss to East Carolina on September 25, where they were outscored 21 in the first half. They were outgained 431 yards to 290 yards and while they forced two turnovers and only had one, they only converted two of 15 third downs. Dewayne Coleman passed for 36 yards and rushed for 51 yards and Noah Short rushed for 127 yards. The Black Knights failed to cover as a 4-point underdog and they are 1-3 ATS on the season.

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  • Like usual Army is all about the run in their option offense, ranking fourth in the nation in rushing yards per game while ranking second-to-last in passing yards per game.
  • Coleman (266 yards 2 TD 2 INT) is also the leading rusher with 268 yards and three TD but is only averaging 3.9 yards per carry.
  • The Black Knights have four players who have rushed for at least 215 yards and Short (256 yards) is a WR who also has 119 receiving yards.
  • On the season Army is 1-1 on the road.
  • One of the big matchups in this game is Army and their balanced rushing attack facing UAB and their 128th-ranked rushing defense.

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UAB Can’t Stop a Top 25 team

In their last game, UAB was on the road and was crushed, losing 56-24 against 15th-ranked Tennessee. They were outgained 510 yards to 394 yards and gave up 235 rushing yards, while they only rushed for 23 yards. Jalen Kitna passed for 364 yards with two TD and an INT, Kaleb Brown led five players with at least 38 receiving yards with 79 and a score, and Isaiah Jacobs was the lead rusher with only 19 yards. The Blazers did cover as a massive 39-point underdog, and they are 2-2 ATS on the season.

  • UAB is just the opposite of Army in that they are led by a passing offense that ranks 13th in the nation in passing yards per game and only 111th in rushing yards per game.
  • Kitna (1,256 yards 8 TD 3 INT) has passed for over 300 yards in each of the last three games.
  • The Blazers have four players with at least 159 receiving yards, led by Corri Milliner (268 yards 3 TD), who missed the last game and is listed as questionable to face Army.
  • Jevon Jackson (280 yards 3 TD) is the lead rusher and only had three yards on five carries in the last game after totaling 111 yards in the previous two games.
  • On the season, UAB is 2-0 at home.
  • The Blazers will be facing an Army defense that ranks 66th in the nation against the pass and 76th against the run.

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Army vs. UAB Pick

Spread Pick for Army vs. UAB

  • Army -6.5 (+4 Units)

UAB has lost two games against good teams and one of their wins came against an FCS team, with the other a narrow 3-point win over a one-win Akron team. The Black Knights already have more losses this season than all last season, when they went 12-2, including a 44-10 home win over UAB. The question is which army team will show up? The one that lost badly in their last game and who has lost to an FCS team or the one that beat a Kansas State team on the road that began the season in the top 25? In terms of the Army vs. UAB prediction, the Blazers will get their points with a solid aerial attack but the Black Knights will get more, as UAB will not be able to stop the run. Army will not blow out UAB like last season, but they will get the win and cover the spread.

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Over/Under Pick for Army vs. UAB

  • Over 57.5 Β (+4 Units)

UAB’s last game went Over, while Army’s last game went Under, and I am leaning towards the Over in this game. The Black Knights only scored six points in their last game, but scored 44 facing UAB last season. They have one of the best rushing offenses in the nation and they will rack up the rushing yards and points, facing a Blazers run defense that only ranks 128th in the nation. Army ranks in the middle of the pack when it comes to pass defense, and UAB ranks 13th in the nation in passing yards per game. Even facing two solid teams in their losses, including a top 25 one, they still scored 24 points in each game. They will put up a pretty high total and with the Army besting that, take the Over in what will be a high-scoring game.

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