Auburn vs Mississippi State Picks and Predictions for Saturday, November 14, 2026

Auburn heads to Starkville on Saturday to play Mississippi State at Davis Wade Stadium. The Tigers are 5-4 overall and 3-4 in the SEC, putting them 12th in the conference standings. Auburn picked up a 26-23 win over Arkansas last weekend. Mississippi State is 4-5, sitting 13th in the SEC with a 2-5 conference record. The Bulldogs lost 25-23 to Vanderbilt on Saturday and have now dropped five consecutive games. ESPN2 will carry the game at 12:00 pm ET. Auburn enters as a 2.5-point favorite, with the total at 50.5. Check our free college football picks for more Saturday action.

Auburn Looking to Build on Arkansas Win

Auburn needed a win against Arkansas last Saturday and managed to get one, beating the Razorbacks 26-23 at home. The Tigers had lost their previous two games, falling 45-15 to Ole Miss and 38-17 to LSU. Auburn also has a 27-24 road victory over Georgia on its recent schedule, but the Tigers haven't been able to string wins together. Saturday's trip to Mississippi State gives Auburn another opportunity to build on a positive result.

Quarterback Byrum Brown has completed 64.8% of his passes for 1,740 yards, with 11 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Brown has also been Auburn's leading rusher, gaining 605 yards and scoring eight times on the ground. Jeremiah Cobb has contributed 396 rushing yards, while Omar Mabson II has 263. Keshaun Singleton leads the receivers with 491 yards, followed by Chas Nimrod with 440. On defense, Elijah Melendez has 67 tackles and four sacks, while AnQuon Fegans has three interceptions.

Injuries: E. Smith and N. Davenport are out. H. Herring is questionable.

Mississippi State Searching for a Win

Mississippi State came close against Vanderbilt last Saturday but fell 25-23 at home. That was the Bulldogs' fifth straight defeat, following losses to Texas, Oklahoma, LSU and Alabama. The offense had been shut out 31-0 by LSU and managed only three points against Texas, so scoring 23 against Vanderbilt was an improvement. Still, Mississippi State hasn't won since before October. The Bulldogs need to finish drives and avoid another close loss.

Kamario Taylor has passed for 1,460 yards, 17 touchdowns and four interceptions, completing 65.4% of his throws. His status is questionable, making the quarterback situation important to monitor. Fluff Bothwell leads the ground game with 613 yards and three touchdowns, but he's also questionable. Anthony Evans III has 61 catches for 711 yards and five touchdowns, while Sanfrisco Magee has 471 yards and eight scores. Defensively, Jardin Gilbert leads the Bulldogs with 53 tackles, and Will Whitson has 3.5 sacks. Mississippi State has intercepted only two passes.

Injuries: T. Williams and B. Mitchell are out. A. Williams, J. Freeman, Fluff Bothwell and Kamario Taylor are questionable.

Key To The Game

Brown's ability to run could make the difference against Mississippi State. Auburn has rushed for 1,403 yards, and Brown accounts for 605. The Bulldogs have questions surrounding Taylor and Bothwell. If either is unavailable, Mississippi State could struggle to keep pace with Auburn's ground game.

Auburn vs Mississippi State Game Pick

• Auburn Tigers -2.5

Auburn hasn't been consistent, but the Tigers just beat Arkansas and already have a road victory over Georgia. Brown's dual-threat ability gives Auburn a way to create offense against a Mississippi State team riding five straight losses. The Bulldogs played Vanderbilt close, yet they've struggled to score regularly and have question marks at quarterback and running back. Auburn's defense has produced 10 interceptions, another concern for Mississippi State. With the spread under a field goal, I like the Tigers to cover on the road.

Auburn vs Mississippi State Over/Under Pick

• Under 50.5

Mississippi State scored only 18 combined points against LSU, Oklahoma and Texas before putting up 23 against Vanderbilt. Auburn has also had trouble finding points, scoring 15 at Ole Miss and 17 against LSU. Both teams have rushing options, but neither has shown a reliable passing attack lately. Brown could control possessions on the ground, and the uncertainty surrounding Taylor makes a high-scoring Bulldogs performance difficult to count on. With both offenses facing questions, I'm taking the under 50.5.