Boise State vs Fresno State Picks and Prediction for Saturday October 10 2026
The final game of the week six college football schedule will feature a battle between the Boise State Broncos and the Fresno State Bulldogs. Valley Children’s Stadium will be the setting with kickoff set for 10:30 pm EST. This game will take place on Saturday October 10 2026 and can be viewed on the CW Network. The Broncos are a seven point favorite and the total is currently 48.5. Stay on top of the college football season with our free college football predictions.
Boise State a College Football Playoff Contender
The Boise State Broncos dropped their season opener at Oregon by a touchdown, but are still the favorites to earn the Group of Six automatic qualifier spot into the College Football Playoff. The Broncos (4-1) have reeled off four straight victories and have scored at least 32 points during the streak. On Saturday, erupted for 28 points in the first half and cruised to a 37-18 home victory versus Utah State.
Boise State RB Dylan Riley found the end zone twice in the first 23 minutes and finished with 93 yards on the ground. Senior QB Maddux Madsen was an efficient 17-of-21 passing for 244 yards and a pair of touchdowns. Freshman WR Rasean Jones added 88 receiving yards for the Broncos, who converted 8-of-13 third down attempts.
Boise State features the second best rushing attack (226.6 ypg) in the Pac 12 Conference and is scoring a shade below 35 points per game. The Broncos have scored 15 touchdowns in 21 red zone opportunities and own a plus three turnover margin. Boise State ranks third in the conference in total defense and allows 20.6 points per contest.
Fresno State Has Eyes on the Pac 12 Conference Crown
The Fresno State Bulldogs are playing in their first season in the Pac 12 Conference and are led by second year head coach Matt Entz. The Bulldogs (4-1) were shutout in a season opening loss at USC, but have rebounded nicely with four consecutive victories by a 139-43 margin. On Saturday, Fresno State limited Washington State to 182 yards and forced two turnovers to earn a 26-6 road victory.
The game was tied 6-6 at halftime, but Fresno State took the lead for good on a Josiah Freeman three-yard touchdown run. Freeman contributed seven catches for 61 yards and QB Jayden Mandal threw for 245 yards. Junior DL Dylan Hampsten added two sacks for the Bulldogs.
Fresno State wants to run the ball and control the clock on offense. The Bulldogs are averaging 153.8 yards on the ground and are scoring close to 28 points per game. Fresno State must improve in the red zone, where they have scored just ten touchdowns in 21 trips. The Bulldogs lead the Pac 12 in total defense and are limiting the opposition to 16.4 points per contest.
Boise State vs Fresno State Picks and Prediction
Pick: Fresno State +7
Boise State has been the most dominant non Power Four team over the last couple of decades, but Fresno State has won three straight meetings. Last year, the Bulldogs dominated the Broncos on the blue turf by a 30-7 final score. Boise State is banged up at the running back position and Fresno State will cover this number at home.
Pick: Under 48.5
Boise State could be limited on offense and is dealing with some key injuries. Freshman WR Rasean Jones leads the Broncos with 359 receiving yards and is listed as questionable with a head injury. The Bulldogs rank 106th nationally in tempo and Boise State ranks in the middle of the pack in that category. 24 points should be enough for the winning team, so take the under.