Bowling Green vs. Cincinnati Picks and Prediction, Saturday, September 6, 2025
In a non-conference game on Saturday, the Cincinnati Bearcats (0-1) play host to the Bowling Green Falcons (1-0). Bowling Green was impressive on defense in their opener, but they were facing an FCS team, and Cincy played a much better team in Nebraska and narrowly lost on the road. Here in this detailed Bowling Green vs. Cincinnati prediction you can get the full score info and other free NCAAF picks.
Cincinnati comes into this game as a big favorite posted at -21.5 with a total of 46.
Fast Start for Bowling Green for George’s First Win
In their season opener, Bowling Green was at home in a 26-7 win over FCS Lafayette, where they scored a TD on the opening kickoff and the win was the first for new coach and ex-Heisman winner Eddie George. While the Falcons played solid defense, holding the Leopards to only 177 total yards, they only had 266 yards and while they rushed for 159 yards, they only averaged 3.7 yards per carry. Drew Pyne passed for 109 yards with no TD and no INT and Kaderris Roberts and Chris McMillian combined for 112 rushing yards. The Falcons failed to cover as a 21-point favorite and the total went Under.
- Bowling Green was 7-6 last season and lost in a bowl game.
- Coach George was at Tennessee State before Bowling Green and brought a few players from there, including his son DT Eriq George (12.5 tackles for loss last season) and cornerback Jalen McClendon (four INT last season).
- Most of the top skill position players are new ones from the portal and Pyne was their big addition and was 8-2 with 22 TD as a starter for Notre Dame in 2022.
- Their key facing Cincy may be stopping the run, which they did facing Lafayette but they are a FCS team.
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Turnovers Kill Cincinnati
In their season opener at a neutral site Cincinnati lost to Nebraska 20-17, where they had two turnovers, including getting picked off in the end zone with 34 seconds remaining. They did not force any turnovers and were outgained 356 yards to 271 yards but did have 202 rushing yards. Brendan Sorsby threw the costly late pick and only passed for 69 yards but rushed for 96 yards and two TD and Tawee Walker rushed for 53 yards. The Bearcats covered the spread as a 6-point underdog and the total went Under.
- Last season, Cincy was 5-7, missing out on a bowl, but played in the killer Big 12 and lost a few close games.
- They have a stout run defense led by DL Dontay Corleone, who has been a three-time All-Conference selection.
- Last season Sorsby passed for 2,813 yards with 18 TD and 7 INT and was the second leading rusher with 447 yards.
- Evan Pryor was the third-leading rusher last season with 418 yards and in the opener rushed for 29 yards on five carries.
- Tawee Walker rushed for 864 yards for Wisconsin last season.
- The Bearcats have the run game but the WR corps is a major question mark.
Bowling Green vs. Cincinnati pick
Spread Pick for Bowling Green vs. Cincinnati
- Bowling Green +21.5 (+4 Units)
Cincinnati lost a tough game in their first one, facing a good team and while Bowling Green won, they were not overly impressive, facing an FCS team. Ex-Heisman winner Eddie Gorge is the new head coach and this will be a test for the Falcons, where most of their key skill players are new transfers. The Bearcats rushed for over 200 yards in the first game and have some solid backs and a good rushing QB. They will run the ball well in this game and their defense will play well. Regarding the Bowling Green Falcons vs. Cincinnati Bearcats, the Bearcats will get the win, but the Falcons have talent on both sides of the ball and they will cover, as they will not be blown out.
Over/Under Pick for Bowling Green vs. Cincinnati
Under 46 (+4 Units)
In the opener for both teams, each went Under and that is the pick I am leaning towards in this game. Bowling Green only scored 26 points in their opener and while they only gave up seven, they were facing an FCS team. Cincinnati was not bad on defense in their opener but had issues stopping the pass. However, they played good run D and also rushed for 202 yards. The Bearcats have a legit run game and they will run early and often, which will eat time off the clock. That and a good defensive effort from Cincinnati will lead to a lower-scoring affair, which is why the Under is the pick.
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