BYU vs Texas Tech Prediction, Picks, Odds and Line Movement for December 6, 2025
The Big 12 action continues Saturday at AT&T Stadium as BYU meets Texas Tech in a rematch of their November 8 showdown. The Red Raiders won that meeting 29-7 and enter this matchup as a sizable favorite once again. Our full BYU vs Texas Tech prediction breaks down updated odds, line movement, key matchups, and expert picks. For more analysis across the slate, check out the latest college football picks.
Quick Picks and Prediction
- Spread Pick: Texas Tech -13
- Total Pick: Under 50
- Projected Final Score: Texas Tech 27, BYU 10
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Odds and Line Movement
Opening Odds
| Team | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| BYU | +12.5 | 50 |
| Texas Tech | -12.5 | 50 |
Current Odds
| Team | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| BYU | +13.5 | 50 |
| Texas Tech | -13.5 | 50 |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Time | BYU | Texas Tech | Public (%,$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/02 | 11:45:56am | 12½-108 | -12½-112 | TTU 84%, 59% |
| 12/02 | 02:54:19am | 13½-115 | -13½-105 | TTU 82%, 60% |
| 12/01 | 06:07:22pm | 12½-110 | -12½-110 | TTU 89%, 60% |
| 12/01 | 05:28:17pm | 13½-118 | -13½-104 | TTU 87%, 56% |
| 12/01 | 05:27:59pm | 13½-110 | -13½-110 | TTU 89%, 57% |
| 12/01 | 05:04:56pm | 12½-105 | -12½-115 | TTU 89%, 57% |
| 12/01 | 11:35:23am | 13½-110 | -13½-110 | TTU 89%, 62% |
| 11/29 | 05:00:17pm | 12½-110 | -12½-110 | TTU 85%, 50% |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under | Public (%,$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/01 | 11:48:10pm | 50½o-108 | 50½u-112 | O87%, O93% |
| 11/29 | 05:00:17pm | 50½o-110 | 50½u-110 |
BYU and TTU Key Matchups and Handicap
Texas Tech earned a dominant 29-7 win over BYU on November 8, jumping out to a 26-0 lead and holding the Cougars out of the end zone until halfway through the fourth quarter. The Red Raiders’ defense was excellent in that game, allowing only 17 first downs and 4.9 yards per play while forcing BYU’s freshman quarterback Bear Bachmeier into 188 passing yards with an interception. Star tailback LJ Martin was held to just 35 rushing yards on 3.5 yards per carry.
Since that game, Texas Tech has arguably become even stronger. Their only loss this season came without starting quarterback Behren Morton, and since his return the Red Raiders have covered five-straight point spreads while outscoring opponents by an average of 35.0 points per game. During that same stretch, their defense has been elite, surrendering only 7.2 points per game and ranking top-10 nationally in EPA per play, success rate, passing defense, and rushing defense metrics.
BYU, meanwhile, enters at 6-1 straight-up and against the number over their last seven games, with their lone loss in that span coming against Texas Tech in the earlier meeting. The Cougars out-gained the Red Raiders 579-451 in that game and held a massive 32-18 edge in first downs, but four interceptions from quarterbacks Amari Odom and Dexter Williams II doomed their upset bid.
Kennesaw’s double-overtime win over Liberty last week and BYU’s own walk-off field goal victory over Western Kentucky show that both teams can thrive in pressure moments, but Texas Tech’s advantages in consistency, defensive dominance, and quarterback play all remain clear.
BYU and TTU Betting Trends
- TTU is 5-0 ATS in its last five games.
- BYU is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games.
- Six of TTU’s last eight games have gone over the total.
- Texas Tech won the first meeting 29-7.
BYU and TTU Key Injuries and Notes
- BYU: No major new injuries reported; coaching noise surrounding Kalani Sitake may be a storyline.
- Texas Tech: Fully healthy with starting QB Behren Morton continuing to elevate the offense.
ATS and Total Picks
- Spread: Texas Tech -13
- Total: Under 50
Final Score Prediction
Texas Tech 27, BYU 10
Stats to Know for BYU vs Texas Tech
- Texas Tech allows just 7.2 points per game during its five-game winning streak.
- BYU has lost its only matchup against the Red Raiders this season.
- TTU’s defense ranks top-10 nationally in EPA per play allowed.
- The first meeting featured only 36 combined points.
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