Colorado State vs Texas State Picks and Predictions for Thursday, October 15, 2026

Colorado State (2-3, 0-1 Pac-12) visits Texas State (2-3, 0-1 Pac-12) on Thursday at UFCU Stadium in San Marcos, Texas. The opening kickoff is at 8:00 PM ET on CBS Sports Network. Both teams are tied for sixth in the Pac-12 standings. Colorado State has lost three consecutive games, most recently falling 56-26 against Oregon State. Texas State suffered a 31-29 defeat at San Diego State in its latest outing. The Bobcats are favored by 11.5 points, with the total at 67.5. Build your bankroll with our free NCAAF picks.

Colorado State Tries to End Three-Game Skid

Colorado State has allowed at least 41 points in three consecutive defeats, including 56 against Oregon State and 59 against UTSA. The Rams also surrendered 41 points to BYU after opening the season with victories over Wyoming and Southern Utah. Colorado State has averaged 37.4 points per game, scoring 58 against Southern Utah and 45 against UTSA. However, those offensive performances have not prevented the Rams from dropping below .500. Their defense has allowed 193 points across five contests, averaging 38.6 per game.

Colorado State has produced 1,366 passing yards and 876 rushing yards, averaging 5.8 yards per rushing attempt. Mel Brown leads the ground attack with 409 yards and three touchdowns on 41 attempts, while Durell Robinson has added 266 yards and four scores. K'saan Farrar has thrown for 649 yards, and Hauss Hejny has recorded 619 yards and 10 touchdown passes. RJ Vick leads the receivers with 367 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Oumar Diomande has 51 tackles, and CJ Blocker has collected three interceptions.

Injuries: Hauss Hejny is questionable. G. Houser and T. Foster are out.

Texas State Shows Strong Offensive Form

Texas State has won two of its last three games, defeating North Texas 49-35 and Incarnate Word 63-10 before losing 31-29 against San Diego State. The Bobcats opened the season with losses to Texas and UTSA but have scored at least 26 points in four consecutive games. Texas State has averaged 34.8 points per contest, including 112 points across its two victories. The Bobcats have also surrendered 166 points through five games, with opponents averaging 33.2 points.

Quarterback Brad Jackson has completed 66.7% of his passes for 1,226 yards, 13 touchdowns and five interceptions. Torrance Burgess Jr. leads the rushing attack with 614 yards on 84 attempts, averaging 7.3 yards per carry. Davian Jackson has added 315 rushing yards and five touchdowns. Chris Dawn Jr. has caught 24 passes for 304 yards and four scores, while Beau Sparks has contributed 244 receiving yards. Texas State has averaged 263.6 rushing yards per game. On defense, Tymere Jackson leads with 2.5 sacks.

Injuries: J. Sample and Kylen Evans are questionable. C. Snodgrass is out.

Key to the Game

Texas State has a clear advantage in rushing production, averaging 263.6 yards per game compared to Colorado State's 175.2. Burgess has rushed for 614 yards, while Brad Jackson has thrown 13 touchdowns. Colorado State has struggled to stop opponents, surrendering 156 points during its three-game losing streak. However, the Rams have offensive weapons capable of scoring quickly, particularly Brown, who averages 10 yards per rushing attempt. Texas State needs to limit those explosive plays while taking advantage of Colorado State's defensive problems.

Colorado State vs Texas State Game Pick

• Texas State -11.5 (-110)

Texas State has the offensive numbers to exploit Colorado State's defensive struggles. The Rams have allowed 156 points during their three-game losing streak, including 59 against UTSA and 56 against Oregon State. Brad Jackson has thrown 13 touchdowns, while Burgess has averaged 7.3 yards per rushing attempt. Colorado State has scored consistently, but its defense has struggled against stronger opponents. Texas State has scored at least 49 points twice this season, and the Bobcats have enough offensive weapons to win comfortably and cover at home.

Colorado State vs Texas State Over/Under Pick

• Over 67.5 (-110)

The over fits the scoring numbers from both teams. Colorado State has averaged 37.4 points per game, while Texas State has averaged 34.8, producing a combined average of 72.2. The Rams have allowed at least 41 points in three consecutive games, and the Bobcats have scored 26 or more in four straight contests. Colorado State has dangerous runners in Brown and Robinson, while Texas State features Burgess and Brad Jackson. Both offenses have enough production to push this matchup over 67.5 points.