Florida Atlantic (FAU) Owls vs Navy Midshipmen Pick and Prediction October 25th, 2025
Use Code SSWC Navy will be hosting Florida Atlantic on Saturday at 3:30 p.m. EST in Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium. Check out our Florida Atlantic Owls vs Navy Midshipmen pick and prediction here!
FAU is currently eighth in the AAC with a 2-2 conference record and a 3-4 record overall. They are 1-3 on the road, but a win here could boost themselves up tremendously. Meanwhile, Navy is at the top of the conference with a 6-0 overall record and a 4-0 conference record. Army ended up at the top of the conference last year, so now Navy is licking its chops at the opportunity to stay at the top. A win here would solidify their spot even further. The Midshipmen are favored by fourteen points in this one while the total is set at 62.5 points. Can the Owls earn an upset win on the road?
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Owls on the Prowl
FAU will need to have a short-term memory, as they got crushed by USF in their most recent contest by a score of 48-13. Caden Veltkamp went 35/50 for 244 yards, one touchdown, and one interception on the day. The ground game was virtually non-existent for the Owls, with Kaden Shields-Dutton earning a team-high 25 yards on seven carries. Asaad Waseem led the receiving core with eight catches for 56 yards, while Michael Kirch caught the only TD pass for FAU. Dillion Williams had seven tackles and one tackle assist to lead the defense and Gavench Marcelin had a sack on the day.
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Veltkamp is the primary QB for the Owls with a 66% completion percentage for 2025 yards, 15 touchdowns, two rushing touchdowns, and 10 interceptions. Germari Sands has the most yards rushing with 308 while obtaining 59 carries. Shield-Dutton has the most rushing touchdowns with four and is second in yards rushing with 184 on 40 carries. Easton Messer has the most receiving yards and receptions with 560 and 60, respectively. However, Asaad Waseem has caught the most TD passes with five compared to Messer's one. Tyler Stolsky has the most total tackles on the team with 4,5 while Williams has the most solo tackles with 30. CJ Doggette Jr. has a team-high three sacks to his name, and Wendol Philord has a team-high five passes defended. Interestingly, nobody has caught an interception thus far for the Owls. Thirteen players are listed on the injury report for the Owls, but all are considered questionable. Philord is the biggest name out of the list.
Navy Not Losing
Navy earned a narrow 32-31 victory over Temple in their latest outing on Oct. 11. Blake Horvath completed only 6/16 passes for 141 yards and a touchdown, but he led the rushing attack with 155 yards on the ground. He carried the ball 19 times and scored twice, including a late touchdown and a two-point conversion pass in the final seconds. Eli Heidenreich caught a team-high three passes for 72 yards, but Cody Howard had the lone receiving touchdown. MarcAnthony Parker had eight tackles and four tackle assists to lead the defense while Adam Klenk had the only sack for the Midshipmen.
Horvath is the primary QB for the Midshipmen in their variation of the Wing-T offense, completing 64.2% of his passes for 980 yards, seven touchdowns, and three interceptions. He is also the leading rusher with 98 carries, 640 yards, and eight touchdowns. FB Alex Tecza is second on the team with 64 carries for 409 yards and five touchdowns. Heidenreich is by far the #1 receiver on the team with 23 receptions for 485 yards and four touchdowns. To put it in perspective, nobody else on the team has more than eight receptions or 128 yards. Parker continues to lead the defense with a team-high 52 total tackles and 25 solo tackles. Landon Robinson is the main pash rusher with five sacks to his name, while four others are tied for second with 1.5. Irabonoise Oniha has the most passes defended with six and Justin Ross is one of three players to have at least one interception on the season for Navy. Twelve players are listed on the injury report for Navy, with Ross listed as one of the eight questionable players for Saturday's game. The rest are listed as out.
FAU vs. Navy Pick
Spread Pick for FAU vs Navy
- FAU +14 (4 units)
Despite their demoralizing loss to USF in the previous game, the Owls have covered their last two of three against the spread. Navy has had a hard time doing that against their opponents, failing to cover in their last three in a row and four of five. Except the first game of the season and their game against USF, FAU has managed to score 26+ points in each game. Navy has scored less than 40 points in four of its last five games. Therefore, assuming FAU continues to score around its average, I doubt Navy does enough on offense to cover. Navy has given up 30+ points in back-to-back games against Temple and Air Force, so the potential for FAU to score a lot is there. Navy's pass defense has been iffy in their last two games, even against a run-happy Air Force squad. The total is also quite high, giving me more confidence that the oddsmakers expect both teams to score.
Over/Under pick for FAU vs Navy
- Over 62.5 (4 units)
Navy has hit the over in five of their six games played this season and FAU has hit the over in the majority of their contests as well. Navy's defense has given up 30+ points in back-to-back games, and they have scored 32+ points in all but one game this season. Horvath is nearly unstoppable as a runner, but you can't just play Navy for the run anymore because Heidenreich is a great receiver. FAU has scored 26+ points in five of their seven contests this year and neither defense impresses me enough to take the under despite the high total. Neither team has anybody out for this upcoming contest due to injury, and I expect FAU's offense to come out much stronger after scoring only 13 points the previous week.
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