Fordham vs North Dakota State Picks and Prediction for Saturday September 5 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 09/02/2026, 04:05 AM ET

Fordham enters at 0-1 when it travels to face 1-0 North Dakota State on Saturday, September 5. The Bison are massive 38.5-point favorites with a total of 56.5. North Dakota State has a 96% projected win probability, but the SportsGrid model projects only a 26-point margin, creating a substantial gap against the spread. Get into the action with our free college football picks.

Fordham Gets a Huge Cushion

Fordham is clearly overmatched on paper, but +38.5 provides more than five touchdowns of protection. The Rams don't need to threaten an upset. They need to find a couple of scoring drives and prevent North Dakota State from generating a complete runaway.

North Dakota State Should Win Easily

The Bison are one of the premier programs at the FCS level and have a major advantage in this matchup. But winning and covering 38.5 are entirely different propositions.

Fordham vs North Dakota State Picks and Prediction

Pick: Fordham +38.5

Fordham +38.5 is a strong model-value play. SportsGrid projects North Dakota State by only 26, leaving more than 12 points between the projected margin and market spread. The Bison can win 42-10 and still fail to cover.

Pick: Under 56.5

I'll take Under 56.5. Fordham's offensive contribution is the key. North Dakota State can dominate with something around 42-10, which stays below the total.

Final Picks: Fordham +38.5 and Under 56.5

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