Fresno State vs San Jose State Picks and Prediction for Saturday, November 29, 2025
The Fresno State Bulldogs travel to CEFCU Stadium to take on the San Jose State Spartans at 10:30 p.m. ET on FS1. Fresno State is 7-4 after a loss in its last contest, while San Jose State is 3-8 and has lost three consecutive contests. Fresno State is 4-3 in the Mountain West, while San Jose State is 2-5. Check out our NCAAF predictions for Fresno State vs San Jose State.
Fresno State Looks to Close Strong
The Bulldogs are averaging 25.1 points per game while allowing 20.6. The offense generates 345.5 yards per game, relying on a rushing game that averages 161.2 yards per game. Quarterback E.J. Warner has thrown for 1,673 yards with 11 touchdowns and 10 interceptions while completing 68.9 percent of his passes. Running back Rayshon Luke leads the ground game with 663 yards on 99 carries and six touchdowns. Josiah Freeman leads the receivers with 423 yards and five scores.
Fresno State's strength is defense. The Bulldogs allow only 299.5 total yards per game. The pass defense is 9th nationally at 164.7 yards allowed per game, and the rush defense surrenders 134.8. The defense generates pressure, gets off the field, and holds opponents to just 20.6 points per game. Fresno State's +2 turnover margin has helped stabilize them even when the offense does not produce. Red zone scoring remains a problem, with a 76.3 percent conversion rate that ranks 118th.
The Bulldogs last took the field in a 28-17 loss against Utah State on Nov. 22. Warner threw for 187 yards on 23 of 33 passing with a touchdown and an interception. Luke broke free for 81 yards and a score on just four carries while adding 32 receiving yards on six catches. Jahlil McClain posted 45 yards and a touchdown on two receptions. The Bulldogs moved the ball but failed to generate enough sustained drives.
Injuries
- K. Thunderbird (LB) questionable
- M. Owusu (DL) questionable
- J. Briggs (CB) questionable
- C. McHarg (OG) out
- S. Scott III (DL) out.
- E. Dasmann (OG) out
- A. Asiata DL OUT
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San Jose State Looks to End on a High Note
San Jose State is averaging 22.1 points per game. The offense has put up good yardage totals at 418.8 yards per game, led by a passing attack that is 9th nationally at 298.5 yards per contest. Quarterback Walker Eget has thrown for 3,058 yards with 17 touchdowns and nine interceptions while completing 59 percent of his attempts. Steve Chavez-Soto leads the rushing attack with 398 yards and seven touchdowns. Danny Scudero has recorded 1,240 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns on 84 receptions.
San Jose State allows 31.7 points per game and 403.7 total yards. Opponents have had success through the air as the Spartans are giving up 255 passing yards per contest. The rush defense allows 148.7 yards, and the pass defense has struggled to generate stops. It has not helped that the -11 turnover margin has put the defense in difficult spots all season. Time of possession has also been a factor, as the Spartans average only 28:22.
In its last matchup, San Jose State was defeated by San Diego State 25-3 on Nov. 22. Tama Amisone passed for 104 yards on 15 of 27 passing with an interception. He added 75 rushing yards on 13 carries. Chavez-Soto rushed for 51 yards on 14 carries and added two receptions for minus two yards. Scudero caught 12 passes for 79 yards. The offense moved the ball in spurts but failed to finish its drives with points.
Injuries:
- W. Eget (QB) questionable
- M. Serna (OG) questionable
- L. Turner-Gooden (S) questionable
- J. Norwood (LB) questionable
- J. Bey (S) questionable
- T. Chen (OG) questionable
- D. Moleni (OG) out
- F. Chalk IV (RB) out
- J. Bates (RB) out
- Z. Carter (LB) out
- G. Carrillo (CB) out
- M. Riley (WR) out
Fresno State vs. San Jose State Pick
Spread Pick for Fresno State vs. San Jose State
- Fresno State -2.5 (4 Units)
Fresno State has the matchup advantage with the better defense and more consistent run game. The Bulldogs allow just 299.5 yards per game and match up well with a San Jose State offense that has struggled to score despite moving the ball well. Fresno State's rush offense should help control possessions, and the +2 turnover margin is a meaningful advantage over San Jose State's -11. If Fresno State does not throw interceptions, the Bulldogs should cover the short number.
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| 2 |  Pro Sports Picks | +1,421.00 |
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| 4 |  David Delano | +492.00 |
| 5 |  Michael Briggs | +355.00 |
Over/Under Pick for Fresno State vs. San Jose State
- Under 45.5 (4 Units)
The under fits based on recent struggles in converting drives into points by both teams. Fresno State's defense is in the top 15 in total yards allowed and ninth in pass defense. San Jose State scores only 22.1 despite strong total yardage totals. Fresno State averages 25.1 and has had issues finishing in the red zone. Both teams’ most recent games fell well short of this total, and the defensive matchup favors another low-scoring outcome.
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