Kansas State Wildcats vs Oklahoma State Cowboys Prediction and Picks - November 15, 2025
Big 12 College football action on Saturday afternoon, and we have a Kansas State vs Oklahoma State prediction locked and loaded for you. The Wildcats enter this game off a 43-20 drubbing at the hands of Texas Tech at home to fall to 4-5 on the year. Oklahoma State is just 1-8 on the year and they come in off a 38-21 road loss to Kansas. Kansas State won last year's meeting by a score of 42-20. Will this game be any closer? Read on to see our Kansas State vs Oklahoma State prediction.
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Wildcats Look To Keep Bowl Hopes Alive
Kansas State heads into Stillwater with a 4–5 record, but the Wildcats know this game is critical if they want to keep bowl hopes alive. Quarterback Avery Johnson has been the centerpiece of the offense, throwing for nearly 2,000 yards with 16 touchdowns while also adding mobility on the ground. His dual‑threat ability has kept defenses honest, and when paired with running back Joe Jackson, Kansas State has shown flashes of balance. Wide receiver Jayce Brown has been Johnson’s most reliable target, hauling in 630 yards and four scores, giving the Wildcats a dependable option in the passing game.
The Wildcats’ offense has been inconsistent at times, but they’ve proven capable of moving the ball against weaker defenses. Averaging just under 30 points per game, they’ve leaned on Johnson’s ability to extend plays and Brown’s knack for finding space in coverage. The offensive line has had its struggles, particularly in pass protection, but when they’ve been able to establish rhythm, Kansas State has looked dangerous. Against an Oklahoma State defense that ranks near the bottom nationally in yards allowed, the Wildcats should have opportunities to sustain drives and finish in the red zone.
Defensively, Kansas State has been middle of the pack, allowing just under 28 points per game. They’ve been vulnerable against the pass, but their ability to force turnovers has kept them competitive, ranking 20th nationally in turnover margin. The Wildcats will look to pressure Oklahoma State quarterback Zane Flores and force mistakes, while relying on their linebackers to contain Rodney Fields Jr. in the run game. If they can control the line of scrimmage and capitalize on turnovers, Kansas State has the tools to leave Stillwater with a much‑needed win.
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Cowboys Look To End 8-game Slide
Oklahoma State returns home at 1–8 overall and still searching for its first Big 12 victory. The Cowboys have struggled on both sides of the ball, averaging just 15 points per game while giving up nearly 39. Quarterback Zane Flores has shown flashes, throwing for 931 yards, but turnovers have been an issue, with three interceptions and only two touchdowns through nine games. Running back Rodney Fields Jr. has been the most consistent weapon, rushing for 476 yards, though the lack of scoring punch has made it difficult for the Cowboys to keep pace. Wideout Gavin Freeman has been the top target, recording 358 yards and three touchdowns, but the passing game has lacked explosiveness.
The Cowboys’ offense has been plagued by inefficiency, ranking near the bottom nationally in total yards. They’ve struggled to sustain drives, converting just 30% of their third downs, and red zone production has been a glaring weakness. Against Kansas State’s defense, which thrives on forcing turnovers, Oklahoma State will need to play clean football and avoid giving the Wildcats short fields. Flores will have to be decisive, and Fields Jr. must find ways to grind out yards against a defense that has been vulnerable at times against the run.
Defensively, Oklahoma State has been one of the worst units in the country, allowing over 440 yards per game and ranking dead last in passing defense. Opponents have consistently exploited their secondary, and the Cowboys have struggled to get off the field on third downs. The bright spot has been the occasional playmaking ability of their linebackers, but the lack of depth and discipline has led to breakdowns. Facing Johnson and Brown, the Cowboys will need to tighten coverage and find ways to generate pressure. With the home crowd behind them and a halftime ceremony honoring Justin Blackmon, Oklahoma State will be motivated, but they’ll need their best performance of the season to avoid a ninth straight loss.
Kansas State vs Oklahoma State Pick
Kansas State vs Oklahoma State Spread Pick
- Kansas State -20 (2 Units)
Kansas State -20 looks like the right side because the Wildcats have shown they can overwhelm weaker opponents with their balance on offense and opportunistic defense. Avery Johnson’s dual‑threat ability gives them a clear edge against an Oklahoma State team that has struggled to stop anyone, and with Jayce Brown providing reliability in the passing game, Kansas State should be able to move the ball consistently. Add in Joe Jackson’s ability to grind out yards on the ground, and the Wildcats have multiple ways to attack a defense that ranks near the bottom nationally in both points and yards allowed.
On the other side, Oklahoma State simply hasn’t had the firepower to keep games competitive, averaging just 15 points per contest while giving up nearly 39. Zane Flores has struggled with turnovers, and the Cowboys’ inability to sustain drives has left their defense on the field far too long. That’s a recipe for Kansas State to build an early lead and keep piling on as the game wears on. With bowl eligibility still in play, the Wildcats have plenty of motivation, and against a team that’s been outmatched all season, laying the 20 points feels justified.
Kansas State vs Oklahoma State Over/Under Pick
- Under 53 (1 Unit)
The Under 53 feels like the right call because neither offense has shown the consistency to light up the scoreboard, and both defenses have enough strengths to keep this game contained. Kansas State has averaged under 30 points per game and often relies on Avery Johnson’s legs and short passing to grind out drives rather than explosive plays, while Oklahoma State has struggled all season to generate points, putting up just 15 per contest. The Cowboys’ inability to sustain drives has left their defense exposed, but even then, opponents have often built leads methodically rather than in quick bursts. With Kansas State likely to control tempo and Oklahoma State fighting to avoid mistakes, this matchup sets up more as a grind than a shootout, making the Under 53 a logical play.
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