Kent State vs. Oklahoma Picks and Prediction, Saturday, October 4, 2025
Use Code SSWC In a non-conference matchup at Memorial Stadium in Norman, Oklahoma, fifth-ranked Oklahoma plays host to Kent State. This is a matchup between a Kent State team that is 1-3, with their only win coming against an FCS team, and an OU squad that is undefeated and has its sights set on the college playoffs. Right here in this Kent State vs. Oklahoma prediction, you can get the full score info and other free NCAAF picks.
Oklahoma is a massive favorite posted at -45.5 and a total of 54.
Kent State will be Hard-Pressed to Snap Their Skid
Kent State has lost three in a row since winning its season opener, facing an FCS team, and they have lost its last 25 games facing FBS opponents. They have already faced two ranked teams and have been blown out in both, including their last game, where they were on the road and lost 66-10 to seventh-ranked Florida State. In that game, they were outgained 775 yards to 206 yards and gave up nearly 500 rushing yards. Dru DeShields passed for 129 yards with a TD and an INT, and Gavin Garcia led the way with 40 rushing yards. The Flashes failed to cover as a 45-point underdog and they are 2-2 ATS on the season.
Sign Up Get $30 Premium Picks Credit + Exclusive Offers
Subscribe Now
- Kent State ranks second to last in the nation, giving up an average of 44 ppg.
- Kent State has not played since Sept. 20
- Kent State has lost 25 straight games to FBS opponents.
- The Golden Flashes have been outscored 159-52 in their three-game losing streak.
- DeShields (642 yards 5 TD 1 INT) has passed for over 129 yards in only one of four games this season.
- Garcia (175 yards) is the leading rusher and is only averaging three yards per carry.
- The Flashes will have another tall task moving the ball against an Oklahoma team that ranks fifth in the nation in pass defense and ninth in rushing defense.
Oklahoma Well Rested and Massive Favorite
Not only is Oklahoma a massive betting favorite but they are rested coming off a bye week. In their last game, they were at home and beat 22nd-ranked Auburn 24-17. They outgained the Tigers 303 yards to 271 yards, but only rushed for 32 yards and had the only turnover. The win was a costly one, as QB John Mateer, who was a Heisman front-runner, broke his hand and is out for a month. He still stayed in the game and passed for 271 yards with a TD and Isaiah Sategna III had 127 receiving yards and a score. The game was a Pick with OU favored by seven points and they had covered the spread in the previous two games.
The Sooners have four players averaging at least 50 receiving yards per game. Tight end Jaren Kanak leads the way with 76.8 yards per game.
- Mateer (1,215 yards 6 TD3 INT) is also the leading rusher with 190 yards and with him out Michael Hawkins Jr. will get the start and last season in four starts passed for 783 yards with three TD.
- Javonnie Gibson, a transfer from Arkansas-Pine Bluff, is expected to make his season debut. He suffered a broken leg in spring practice.
- Cornerback Elie Bowen is also expected to return from injury.
- Rival Texas is up the following week.
- While OU ranks 17th in the nation in passing yards per game, it only ranks 105th in rushing yards per game
- TE Jaren Kanak leads four players with over 200 receiving yards with 307.
Kent State vs. Oklahoma Pick
Spread Pick for Kent State vs. Oklahoma
- Kent State +45.5 (+4 Units)
Kent State is not a good team, but they have been getting their money playing top 25 teams on the road. They were throttled in their last game and they are simply not good on either side of the ball. However, they have scored in double digits in points in their two blowout losses, where they covered the huge spread in one of them. OU is coming off a bye, but they will be without their star QB Mateer and leading rusher, who is out for a month with a hand injury. They should also look ahead to Texas, which is usually their game of the year. They have not scored more than 42 points in either of their blowout wins and even in their opener, facing an FCS team, they did not run up the score in a 35-3 win over Illinois State. Regarding the Kent State vs. Oklahoma prediction, the Sooners will win easily but not run up the score or score a ton of points, which is why Kent State is the pick to cover.
Over/Under Pick for Kent State vs. Oklahoma
- Over 57.5 (+4 Units)
In both of Kent State’s games facing ranked teams, they gave up over 60 points in each one but I am still leaning towards the Under in this game. The total has gone under for every game for Oklahoma this season and in their two blowout wins, they did not score more than 42 points. The Sooners faced an FCS team on their opener and scored 35 points. They will put up a high total but they will not run up the score against a weak Flashes squad and that is the main reason the Under is the pick for this game.
Betting on College Football?
- Bet with other College Football fans at the best sportsbooks
- Sign up today and get started with the latest college football sportsbook promos
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
New Users – Bet $5 Get $200 in Bet Reset Tokens for 5 Days
