Kentucky Wildcats vs. Georgia Bulldogs Picks and Prediction for Saturday, October 4, 2025
Use Code SSWC We are locked into early SEC action on Saturday with our Kentucky vs. Georgia predictions. The Wildcats (2-2 SU, 1-3 ATS) fell on the road against South Carolina last weekend, 35-13, as +5.5 underdogs. The 12th-ranked Bulldogs (3-1 SU, 0-3-1 ATS) caught their first loss of the season against No. 17 Alabama, 24-21, as -2.5 favorites at home. This matchup kicks off at Noon EST and if you need more of a boost in your handicapping, try our NCAAF Betting Picks.
Kentucky struggles in conference
The Wildcats have dropped their first two SEC tilts and in their first road game of the season last weekend, they struggled mightily. They had a 10-7 lead after the first quarter, but South Carolina outscored them 28-3 the rest of the way. Kentucky’s offense turned the ball over four times and mustered only 232 total yards and 15 first downs in the loss. The defense gave up 341 yards and 19 first downs.
The Kentucky offense ranks 13th in the conference in scoring, with an average of 27 points per game, and yardage, with 347 total yards per game. They have the least productive passing game in the conference, averaging 159 yards per game. Cutter Boley threw for 124 yards and two interceptions in last weekend’s loss. The freshman has thrown for 402 yards, 2 TDs and 2 INTs, with two-plus starts under his belt. Boley was sacked six times versus South Carolina, and the Wildcats' line has yielded nine sacks. Four players have over 100 receiving yards and Willie Rodriguez leads the team with 134 yards and 19.1 yards per reception. The running game ranks ninth in the conference with 188 yards per game, led by Seth McGowan’s 387 yards, seventh in the SEC.
Defensively, Kentucky is giving up 26 points and 396.5 total yards per game. They have the fourth-worst rushing defense in the conference, giving up 147 yards per game while opponents average 3.8 yards per carry against them. Versus the pass, the Wildcats are allowing 249.5 yards per game, third worst in the SEC. They are tied for fourth in the league with four interceptions, but their seven sacks are tied for 11th. Alex Afari Jr. leads the team with 31 tackles, with a sack. Steven Soles Jr. and Mi’Quise Humphrey-Grace have two sacks apiece.
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Team notes
- Jacob Kauwe is a perfect 12-12 on PATs and 8-8 on field goal attempts, with a long of 51 yards.
- McGowan is tied for fifth in the country with seven rushing touchdowns.
- They are last in the SEC with 74 first downs.
- Their 22 penalties are the third fewest in the conference.
Georgia looks to turn the tide
Coming off a big overtime win against No. 15 Tennessee, the Bulldogs were unable to remain unbeaten as they fell to Alabama for a third straight year and for the 10th time in their last 11 meetings. Unable to score in the first and fourth quarters, the offense had 357 yards and 17 first downs in the loss. Defense kept Alabama off the board in the second half but also gave up 397 yards and 21 first downs.
Georgia’s offense ranks ninth in the SEC in scoring, averaging 34.5 points, and eighth in yards, averaging 442 per game. They are fourth in the conference in rushing, averaging 213.5 yards per game, 26th best in the country. Four players have at least 145 rushing yards and Chauncey Bowens has a team-high 240 yards with three touchdowns. The passing attack is producing 228.5 yards per game. Gunner Stockton had a season-low 130 yards passing in the loss to Alabama. The junior completed 69.7% of his passes this season and has five touchdowns through the air, while also rushing for three. Seven players have caught at least five passes for the Bulldogs. Colbie Young is the top target, leading the team with 17 catches and 238 receiving yards.
On defense, Georgia is giving up 19.5 points and 324 total yards per game, both 12th in the SEC. Their rushing defense is seventh-best in the conference, with an average of 91.3 yards per game against them. Against the pass, they are giving up 232.8 yards per game, the fourth-worst mark in the SEC. The Bulldogs’ front has failed to put much pressure on the opposition, securing only five sacks to go with three picks. Chris Cole has 18 tackles and is responsible for three of the team’s sacks. CJ Allen had a team-high 30 tackles to go with a sack and two pass deflections.
Team notes
- Peyton Woodring has yet to miss a kick, going 16-16 on PATs and 4-4 on FGs.
- Nate Frazier is tied for first in the SEC in scoring with an average of 12 points per game.
- The Bulldogs are 5-6 on fourth down chances and their .833 conversion percentage is tied for ninth in the nation.
- Tied for seventh in the nation in fewest penalties with just 16.
Kentucky vs. Georgia Picks
Spread Pick for Kentucky vs. Georgia
- Kentucky +21 (5 units)
This series has been a one-sided affair with Georgia owning a 64-12-2 SU lead in the head-to-head, including wins in the last fifteen meetings. Kentucky got smacked around in their first road game last week, but two weeks prior took No. 20 Ole Miss to the limit before falling by a touchdown. So, they do have the capabilities to remain close. How can they do so against the 12th-ranked team in the country? Kentucky would do well to lean a bit more on their passing game here, considering Georgia’s lack of backfield pressure. It would likely also keep the Bulldogs second-guessing some things. If they can establish the pass, then they can get their run game moving, subsequently eating the clock. Georgia will also look to stuff the ball down Kentucky’s throat via their ground game, which they should be able to do without too much of an issue. Regardless, time will be ticking and that will favor the Wildcats. Kentucky has found a way to stay in these games of late, going 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings between the programs. Georgia is 0-3-1 ATS this season.
Take Kentucky getting the points.
Over/Under Pick for Kentucky vs. Georgia
- Under 48.5 (4 units)
This matchup features two bottom-half offenses in the SEC in terms of scoring, but both also have bottom-half defenses. When they met last season, they combined for 25 points and hit the under against a 45-point total. Both teams rely more in their running games and the pass, and they like to methodically gain yards. Passing is likely not going to be a major feature of this matchup. With more running comes a moving clock, so this should move along at a good pace as well. Kentucky has scored 24 points or less in three of its four games and Georgia has scored 28 points or less in two of their last three games. The under is 7-3 in the last ten meetings between the schools.
Take the under.
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